My nickname for Taylor Hall is “Chance” due to the fact that the Edmonton Oilers forward gets so many and helps his linemates get them too. If Hall was cashing at a normal scoring rate (he’s in the top 5 in shots on goal but has only three in the column that counts) we’d be talking about a breakout season.
The entire line is kicking ass and it’s a sight to see. For Oiler fans, the Nuge-Hall-Eberle trio is the best one we’ve seen since Horcoff-Smyth-Hemsky or Weight-Smyth-Guerin and if they hang around for a year or so we’ll have to seriously look at them as an all-time line (best Oiler line all-time? I’ll go Gretzky-Tikkanen-Kurri with Messier-Simpson-Anderson right up there).
For now, we can enjoy the pleasure of watching them toy with the opposition. Michael Parkatti is the man behind Boys on the Bus (it’s been on the blogroll for some time) and has been scoring each game and keeping track of even strength Corsi events–that’s 5×5, 4×4, etc. And the sheer brilliance of the Chance line is clear
EV CORSI, GAMES 1-14 (OILERS)
|RANK||NAME||SHOTS FOR||SHOTS AGAINST||NET CORSI||PER GAME|
Corsi is shot differential while you’re on the ice. If you and I are playing street hockey and Scarlett Johansson is sunning herself on the lawn at center ice, the shot differential would be about 200/0 per 20 minutes. You’d be +200, Scarlett would be acquiring a restraining order and I’d be happier than both of you. Gabe Desjardins does a great job of explaining Corsi here.
Desjardins: Corsi Number is the shot differential while a player was on the ice. This includes not just goals and shots on goal, but also shots that miss the net, and in some formulations, blocked shots. In other words, it’s the differential in the total number of shots directed at the net.
As noted above, Michael has 5×5, 4×4–all evens–in the numbers he’s collecting.
- That top line is going to be hell for the NHL through the end of the decade and beyond. This is even strength mind you, so the chart above is a ‘preview of coming attractions’ in that the only player on the club in the top 75 5×5/60 is Hall (2.32/60 puts him 71st). The tumblers will click.
- The Gagner-Hemsky line is well below par and that is job one for coach Krueger moving forward. I can’t quite figure it out–the numbers say the line is facing the soft parade with a solid zone start push. And remember, we’re not talking puck luck or shooting percentage here, this is just shots on goal, for and against, while these players are on the ice. They are (to borrow a phrase from Chris Berman) rumblin’, tumblin’, stumblin’ and you can’t blame it on Yakupov (as I have been trying to do, at least a little). This line is a concern.
- The 3line is all over, but that little cluster there that includes Hartikainen, Smyth, Horcoff and Paajarvi looks good to me. If the top 6 is humming, a 3line that is just under par would be acceptable. Right? I’d also like to see the Nordic Line back together, at least for a time.
- The 4line looks pretty bad here, but when you consider their zone starts I don’t think it’s as dire as it may appear. Belanger and Eager’s zone finishes are solid considering where they’re starting from.
My thanks to Michael for sharing his numbers, check out his blog it’s excellent.
Anything I missed?