For some unknown reason, many Oiler fans appear to delight in Jordan Eberle’s fall in shooting percentage (from 18.89 to 12.03). On the way to making their point, they may have missed another one: Jordan Eberle is a fine NHL player.
JORDAN EBERLE 10-11
- 5×5 points per 60: 1.82 (4th among regular forwards)
- 5×4 points per 60: 3.94 (3rd among regular forwards)
- Qual Comp: 3rd toughest among regular forwards
- Qual Team: 8th best teammates among regular forwards
- Corsi Rel: 8.7 (2nd best among regular forwards)
- Zone Start: 49.3% (8th most difficult among regular forwards)
- Zone Finish: 51.6% (6th best among regular forwards)
- Shots on goal/percentage: 158/11.4% (5th among F’s>100 shots)
- Boxcars: 68gp, 18-25-43 (led the team in points as a rookie)
- Plus Minus: -12 on a team that was -52.
JORDAN EBERLE 11-12
- 5×5 points per 60: 3.08 (1st among regular F’s, 2nd in NHL)
- 5×4 points per 60: 4.77 (4th among regular F’s)
- Qual Comp: 5th toughest among regular forwards
- Qual Team: 3rd best teammates among regular forwards
- Corsi Rel: 5.7 (5th best among regular forwards)
- Zone Start: 60.7 % (2nd easiest among regular forwards)
- Zone Finish: 54.5% (best among regular forwards)
- Shots on goal/percentage: 180/18.9% (1st among F’s>100 shots)
- Boxcars: 78, 34-42-76 (led the team in points for 2nd year in a row)
- Plus Minus: +4 on a team that was -26.
JORDAN EBERLE 12-13
- 5×5 points per 60: 2.31 (2nd among regular forwards)
- 5×4 points per 60: 3.46 (7th among regular forwards)
- Qual Comp: 3rd toughest among regular forwards (top line opp)
- Qual Team: best teammates among regular forwards
- Corsi Rel: 21.9 (best among regular forwards)
- Zone Start: 51.1% (5th most difficult among regular forwards)
- Zone Finish: 50.0% (8th best among regular forwards)
- Shots on goal/percentage: 133/12.03% (3rd among F’s>70 shots)
- Boxcars: 48, 16-21-37
- Plus Minus: -4 on a team that was -15.
- What do the numbers tell us? Eberle actually outpeformed RE (48, 14-18-32) and despite many people suggesting he was a disappointment that simply wasn’t the case. Now, I don’t think he’s going to be delivering on that new contract, but the idea that Eberle isn’t a good NHL player is crazy. I think people reacted to the crazy predictions and then it got a little silly.
- Okay, Dad. Fine, fine.
- He’ll never approach what Hall did 5×5 this season. Actually, Eberle’s 5×5/60 was 2nd in the entire NHL last season behind Malkin. Skilled guy, sweet hands and dynamite in close.
- You’re just dying to say ‘but he’s no Hall’ aren’t you? Hall’s a #1 overall, as is Nuge and Yak. Jordan Eberle was chosen 22nd overall in 2008 and hasn’t done one damn thing to disappoint since then. It’s a ridiculous thing to say he’s no Hall. Ridiculous.
- So he’s covering his draft bet? Look, this is the last time we talk about this, but here you go. Jordan Eberle was drafted 22nd overall in 2008, and is 2nd in goals and 4th in points among players from that draft. Barring injury, this is going to be one of those draft picks they’re asking Stu MacGregor about when he’s 90. It was a helluva pick.
- Can he anchor a line like Hall? Eberle (imo) is similar to Sam Gagner in that his skill set is very high and he could have success as the best player on his line; however, when placed with someone like Hall, it’s fire.
- What makes him so good? He’s wicked smart, and he is touched by God in the offensive zone–finding the right spot near the net, finding the puck in a crowd. He is a dynamite passer–this is an underrated skill–and his shot is quick, accurate and deadly. It might become his signature item, despite all the passing ability and puck wizardry. He has eyes in the back of his head, his passes have correct pace, his shot still surprises goaltenders three years in.
- What is his outer marker? If we say Eberle will score 20-25 goals and 60-65 points per 82 gp, is that a reasonable line in the sand? I think it is based on his first three seasons. Then his outer marker would probably be last season (76 points) and his low end is likely in the 40’s. I think that’s fair.
- What can’t he do? Play center, push the river like Hall, intimidate physically and live up to that contract. Love Eberle, but that’s what he can’t do.
- What can he be? Eberle has established that he can score at evens and I do think his PP will be better in many seasons. He’s cerebral, adjusts well. I think he could be a 1line and 1PP option for years and help his team win games. That is just a helluva hockey player.
- Why this song? You can’t break the ties that bind. That’s Eberle. He’s always going to be the guy who came in at the beginning and grabbed the spotlight with Hall. They are the beginning–long ago separating themselves from Paajarvi– and they are the center of the cluster. Jordan Eberle is bound to the Oilers, Oilers bound to Eberle. He’s family.
- What could go wrong? The contract, of course. It’s already out there like the freaking Hindenburg.
The Lowdown with Lowetide hits the air at 10 this morning on Team 1260. Podcast (from Team 1260 website) is usually up within a few minutes of broadcast, and we’ll have more open line again today (great calls btw, thanks!). Scheduled to appear:
- Bruce McCurdy from the Cult of Hockey. Bruce will tell us what’s up in the heavens, and we’ll discuss the Oilers off-season, MacT’s epic press conference and some playoffs.
- Jim Byers, play by play man for the OKC Barons. Young Oiler prospects like Rajala and Marincin are finishing up their first AHL seasons and I’ll ask Jim how they’re doing in the playoffs.
- Harrison Mooney from Puck Daddy and the Vancouver Sun. We’ll talk Canucks, Don Cherry and God knows what else. Mooney is a very interesting guy.
- Dustin Nielson from Team 1260’s Nielson and Fraser. We’ll talk draft, hockey pools and of course Oilers.
Hope you can tune in!