The Edmonton Oilers are in San Jose tonight, many believe this will be the beginning of the end for the good Corsi’s. Edmonton has some exceptional numbers on display when we marry the boxcars to the fancystats. Taylor Hall is a bloody machine, you could put him on the 74-75 Washington Capitals and he’d post 2/60 at 5×5. Do you like Boyd Gordon? You’re going to love him in a minute.
OILERS FORWARDS IN A BOX, AFTER 27 GAMES
|PLAYER||BOXCARS||PROJ14-15||CORSI FOR %||OZ STARTS||5X5 PER 60|
|BENOIT POULIOT||20gp, 3-5-8||75, 11-19-30||51.2||62.5||2.11|
|TAYLOR HALL||21gp, 8-9-17||76, 29-33-62||52.6||58.9||2.04|
|NUGENT-HOPKINS||25gp, 6-11-17||80, 19-35-54||51.6||58.7||2.00|
|JORDAN EBERLE||26gp, 5-12-17||81, 16-37-53||55.1||61.6||1.96|
|IIRO PAKARINEN||5gp, 1-0-1||93.8||1.86|
|DAVID PERRON||27gp, 4-10-14||82, 12-30-42||51.6||69.0||1.82|
|STEVE PINIZZOTTO||9gp, 1-1-2||64, 7-7-14||43.3||20.0||1.74|
|TEDDY PURCELL||27gp, 4-8-12||82, 12-24-36||54.6||62.3||1.28|
|BOYD GORDON||27gp, 4-3-7||82, 12-9-21||47.1||16.3||1.11|
|NAIL YAKUPOV||27gp, 4-4-8||82, 12-12-24||48.6||75.0||1.10|
|MARK ARCOBELLO||27gp, 5-4-9||82, 15-12-27||49.9||69.2||1.03|
|LEON DRAISAITL||27gp, 2-4-6||82, 6-12-18||52.0||80.0||0.84|
|MATT HENDRICKS||23gp, 2-3-5||78, 7-10-17||47.2||11.9||0.79|
|JESSE JOENSUU||20gp, 2-2-4||75, 8-8-16||46.3||12.5||0.62|
|TYLER PITLICK||3gp, 0-0-0||38.1||0.00|
|LUKE GAZDIC||6gp, 0-0-0||66.7||0.00|
- Hall—Nuge—Eberle are the only line scoring at good to very good levels.
- The team misses Pouliot.
- David Perron is doing his damndest, not having a veteran 2C on this team is such a shame.
- Purcell’s OZ start and Corsi number should translate to move 5×5 offense. Agree?
- Boyd Gordon, you magnificent bastard!
- Nail and Leon need to add a lot of 5×5 offense to be considered average. A lot.
- Mark Arcobello can’t make this go, he’s over his head offensively. Damn shame, because he’s a smart player.
OILERS DEFENSE IN A BOX, AFTER 27 GAMES
|PLAYER||BOXCARS||PROJ14-15||CORSI FOR %||OZ STARTS||5X5 PER 60|
|OSCAR KLEFBOM||7gp, 0-1-1||62, 0-9-9||57.4||46.8||0.48|
|KEITH AULIE||10gp, 0-0-0||54.2||48.7||0.00|
|JEFF PETRY||26gp, 2 -3-5||81, 6-9-15||51.9||42.3||0.40|
|MARTIN MARINCIN||12gp, 0-1-1||51.1||48.7||0.33|
|MARK FAYNE||27gp, 1-4-5||82, 3-12-15||50.5||47.6||0.61|
|NIKITA NIKITIN||22gp, 2-3-5||77, 7-10-17||50.3||55.0||0.53|
|JUSTIN SCHULTZ||26gp, 2-9-11||81, 6-28-34||49.5||61.2||1.09|
|ANDREW FERENCE||24gp, 1-1-2||79, 3-3-6||46.8||42.6||0.28|
- This is ranked by Corsi, OZ starts and when viewing it that way Jeff Petry is a God (27 today btw).
- Andrew Ference is having a stronger season than one year ago.
- Klefbom is having a nice season, early days.
- Marincin should be in the NHL.
BRANDON DAVIDSON RECALL?
- Jim Matheson: The Oilers could be calling up a farmhand Tuesday for the Sharks game with Nikita Nikitin (back) on injured reserve. It might be Brandon Davidson, and not Marincin, just because Marincin’s already been up and sat in the press box, which isn’t helping him any. Davidson was with the Oilers early in the season as he rehabbed from stomach muscle problems that hit him before training camp. Source
BARONS, LAST 10 GAMES
That Matty article suggests Kale Kessy was close to recall, suggesting (as we’ve discussed) good AHL performances will be rewarded by the organization (save Martin Marincin, apparently). Here are the boxcars over the last 10 games for OKC:
- D Brad Hunt 10, 5-9-14 +8
- C Jason Williams 9, 4-10-14 +8
- L Ryan Hamilton 9, 4-5-9 +9
- C Anton Lander 9, 4-5-9 +1
- R Matt Ford 9, 4-4-8 +9
- R Andrew Miller 9, 4-2-6 +4
- L Curtis Hamilton 10, 2-4-6 +1
- C Bogdan Yakimov 8, 0-5-5 +5
- D Jordan Oesterle 10, 1-4-5 +6
- R Iiro Pakarinen 9, 3-1-4 +3
- R Tyler Pitlick 7, 2-1-3 -1 (before recall)
- C Travis Ewanyk 10, 1-1-2 -2
- R Josh Winquist 2, 0-1-1 +1
- D Oscar Klefbom 3, 0-1-1 +3 (before recall)
- D Dillon Simpson 7, 1-0-1 E
- L Kale Kessy 7, 0-1-1 -1
- L Mitch Moroz 8, 0-1-1 -2
- C Jujhar Khaira 9, 0-1-1 E
- D Brandon Davidson 10, 1-0-1 +5
- R Steve Pinizzotto 1, 0-0-0 (before recall)
- C Kellen Lain 2, 0-0-0 E
- D Martin Marincin 3, 0-0-0 -1
- D David Musil 7, 0-0-0 E
- D Martin Gernat 8, 0-0-0 +1
AHL rookies underlined and it’s easy to see the success in OKC over the last 10 games comes from the AHL veterans. Is that a bad thing? Plenty of talk about it recently, I wrote about this four years ago and more recently here. There’s all kind of talk (Bob Stauffer, Neal Livingston) on the Al Gore about the best way to handle these young players and for me both sides make great points. In the absence of a CPHL (from my article four years ago) the best plan is to play these men every night. If they can’t make it in the AHL, then ECHL it is. Right? I do think there’s a problem if Matt Ford is playing and Mitch Moroz is not, but it looks like Todd Nelson is rotating players through with a healthy scratch for everyone.
Ideas for a better system? Beyond the CPHL (which is the best plan, but you need buy in from all 30 teams to create that league) the Oilers should own their own team and Denver boot the coach in terms of veterans. That is not the case now, and if the Oilers are serious about development then it’s going to take that kind of investment. I know most fans and media are blaming the scouts on this, but a generation after Tyler Pitlick, Curtis Hamilton and Ryan Martindale failed (and some of those guys started off well in the AHL, before injury) this scoring list suggests the veterans are pushing and the kids are playing minor roles.
Question: would you rather have that scoring list above, or the current AHL Flames list (rookies asterisked)
Poirier, Arnold, Van Brabant, Hathaway, Wolf, Agostino are all forwards and all have more points than Bogdan Yakimov. I’m no expert, but could we create a scenario in which the Flames’ organization is doing a better job of developing their rookie AHL talent? And if that is the case, when we talk about failed drafting by Oilers scouts, could it be that precious development time is being spent poorly?
I don’t have the answer, but I am asking the question.
LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE
At 10 this morning, we hit the airwaves with a whole lotta chatter. TSN 1260, scheduled to appear:
- Jonathan Willis, Cult of Hockey and Oilers Nation. Jon and I get to talk about a win and a California trip. Fun fun fun!
- Guy Flaming, Pipeline Show. Talking Oil Kings struggles and some WHL talent making a noise in front of the 2015 draft.
- Alan Hull, Copper and Blue. Bloggers be making babies, but Hull has agreed to come on despite lack of sleep (baby is about 2 weeks old, could be hilarious if he falls asleep on the phone).
- Derek from Fear the Fin. Talking the new Christmas song (Sharks edition) and San Jose’s weird hockey season.
10-1260 text and @Lowetide_ on twitter. See you on the radio!