Do you remember those two draft day trades that involved Los Angeles and St. Louis? How did they work again? Who won? Well, who is winning? Why do we care? Well, it was an early Craig MacTavish trade and since he’s being evaluated in the forensics department let’s have a lash and see what this thing looks like under the hood.
- First trade: Edmonton trades 37th overall (Valentin Zykov) to Los Angeles for 57th overall (William Carrier), 88th overall (Anton Slephyshev) and 96th overall (Kyle Platzer).
- Second trade: Oilers trade 57th overall (William Carrier) to St. Louis for 83rd overall (Bogdan Yakimov), 94th overall (Jackson Houck) and 113th overall (Aidain Muir).
It’s basically (for Oiler purposes) Valentin Zykov for Bogdan Yakimov, Anton Slepyshev, Jackson Houck, Kyle Platzer and Aidan Muir. I like to include William Carrier in our look-see (and did it last time) because it’s part of the thought process that went into the deal and it’s fun to see how things are working out.
2013-14 BOXCARS AND NHLE’S
|VALENTIN ZYKOV (QMJHL)||53, 23-40-63||1.19||82, 11-18-29|
|WILLIAM CARRIER (QMJHL)||66, 22-43-65||0.985||82, 8-16-24|
|BOGDAN YAKIMOV (KHL)||33, 7-5-12||0.364||82, 14-9-23|
|JACKSON HOUCK (WHL)||69, 34-27-61||0.884||82, 12-9-21|
|AIDAN MUIR (USHL)||54, 14-27-41||0.759||82, 6-11-17|
|ANTON SLEPYSHEV (KHL)||36, 3-5-8||0.222||82, 5-9-14|
|KYLE PLATZER (OHL)||66, 22-14-36||0.545||82, 8-5-13|
This is pretty much exactly what the bets were on draft day from what I can see, and they remained that way in draft +1 season (2013-14) according to the NHLE’s. I know the limitations of the equivalencies, but they do offer an effective line in the sand for grading out prospects from different leagues. It isn’t a guarantee but it’s something.
In the 2013 draft, Edmonton GM Craig MacTavish dealt down twice, both times passing on a player who projected (in their draft seasons) to be a better NHL prospect moving forward. In exchange for doing it, the Oilers:
- Bought five bullets and bet their scouts could find a gem in the mist
- Allowed an entire round (Nic Petan, Tristan Jarry) and most of another round (Eric Comrie) to fly by before selecting.
Year one complete Edmonton was running in place, their men behind Zykov and Carrier. Let’s have a look at how year two is going.
2014-15 BOXCARS AND NHLE’S
|KYLE PLATZER (OHL)||33, 17-28-45||1.36||82, 13-21-34 (+21)|
|VALENTIN ZYKOV (QMJHL)||16, 6-12-18||1.13||82, 9-19-28 (-1)|
|JACKSON HOUCK (WHL)||32, 13-15-28||0.875||82, 10-12-22 (-1)|
|ANTON SLEPYSHEV (KHL)||40, 6-7-13||0.325||82, 10-11-21 (+7)|
|AIDAN MUIR (NCHC)||17, 4-5-9||0.529||82, 8-10-18 (+1)|
|BOGDAN YAKIMOV (AHL)||27, 2-8-10||0.370||82, 3-11-14 (-9)|
|WILLIAM CARRIER (AHL)||30, 2-3-5||0.167||82, 3-3-6 (-18)|
So far this season, Kyle Platzer has been on fire and it’s reflected here. Zykov is exactly where he was one year ago in NHLE but the Platzer has enjoyed a breakout year in the OHL (remember he was obscured in his draft year playing for London, a deep team).
A few things:
- Zykov is trending well, as this update from Rink Royalty suggests. He’s a big winger with skill and speed, and I think he’s probably still the best player on this list.
- Kyle Platzer is enjoying a breakout season and if he can sustain this year’s success he might be the man who wins the bet for MacTavish. At training camp, he impressed with his two-way ability and those boxcars above come in a tremendous junior league. Oilers need to get him signed, this is a fine prospect.
- William Carrier is now a Buffalo Sabres prospect and he’s not getting a lot done in the AHL. Touted as a PF type, he’s not really big and it’s probably reasonable to assume he’s having a tough time getting TOI in Rochester these days (see Hamilton, Pitlick, Moroz etc in OKC). I’d caution against calling him a bust or fail, he just turned 20 for crying out loud.
- Anton Slepyshev has to get out of the KHL. Even with limited minutes he shows reasonably well here but the guy has real speed and skill. Sign him too.
- Aidan Muir is having a decent season. Edmonton has no pressure to sign him.
- Bogdan Yakimov is well down the list but he’s still my choice to emerge as the best among the Edmonton group. He had some injury issues early and the offense is shy so far but he showed very well at TC and is an absolute load.
- Houck is a bit of a concern. He ran in place while staying in the same leagye (as did Zykov) and that’s not a good sign. Yakimov and Carrier are down but have changed leagues, Houck is scoring at the same levels year over year in the same league. I think they’ll sign him but that’s an issue.
Here’s how I look at this deal: I’m happy with Yakimov as the proxy for a second-round pick (seriously, he’s an excellent prospect despite the AHL boxcars) and with Platzer as a sweetener this trade is looking good for Edmonton at this time. Last time we looked at this deal I wrote:
- The coolest bullet in the chamber is Zykov. The distance between him and Yakimov is not (to my eye) enough to justify the addition of Houck and Slepyshev who I rate as legit prospects.
This time, a slight change: The coolest bullet in the chamber may be Zykov, but the distance between him and Yakimov is not (to my eye) enough to justify the addition of Platzer and Slepyshev. And I’ll linger just a moment longer to suggest the best player in the group may be Kyle Platzer.
See you next time!