ISLANDERS AT OILERS, G40 2014-15

The rest of this season and summer could be called ‘in search of the next Curtis Joseph’ and for me that’s a major item on the docket of Craig MacTavish over the next six months. It may be that college goalie everyone is interested in, it may be Andrei Vasilevskiy or it may be Antti Niemi but that move has to get done. MacT is building up the middle via the draft table (Darnell Nurse, Leon Draisaitl, Bogdan Yakimov) but the goaltender looks to be via free agent signing or trade. I’m not going to pontificate on the Scrivens—Fasth combination because for me that’s always a better bet than a 30+ option (Hiller) because even if he does have a good season, it’s another year over and you’re left with Boog Powell 1975. There is no sustain in acquiring good players at the end, especially for a building team. The next Curtis Joseph, that should be the target.

eberle12

  • Bruce Garrioch: The belief is MacTavish is willing to talk about any player on his roster, but there will be a lot of focus on winger Jordan Eberle because he appears to be the odd man out if the Oilers decide to make another move. Source

I don’t see Edmonton trading Eberle unless that’s the key element in a deal for a major addition at D or G. Who might it be? Well it can’t be Brent Seabrook because he’s a UFA in 2016 and it can’t be Tyler Myers and I’m don’t know why the Oilers would deal him for three parts. I think it’s more likely (and prudent) we’ll see the Penguins pick (acquired for Perron) added to Martin Marincin and perhaps something else for a real D or G. I know, three-for-one, but in this case it only makes sense.

Oilers can’t make that Penguins pick, that pick won’t help them until long after Taylor Hall has left the building. The time is now. Right now.

klink

CHECKING LINE!

MacT completed his checking line with the Perron trade, acquiring Rob Klinkhammer to go with Boyd Gordon and Matt Hendricks. Klinkhammer is a good possession player and this line (if they roll this line) should be an effective one. I’d bet money the Oilers sign the new hire long before July 1 if he plays well. A pure MacT type with good analytics. More please.

HE SHALL BE LEON! (UPDATED)

You know, it’s funny, because Leon is like the ‘anti-Gagner’ in that young Sam scored like crazy as a teenage rookie but never did get the possession numbers under control and could never push the river. Leon can’t post the numbers, but his teenage possession stats are solid. I know that’s at least a little about teammates but credit where due this is a different player. I love Leon’s future and am convinced sending him back is the right thing to do. He’s going to be a terrific Oiler.  Interesting “CHL” instead of “WHL in Rishaug’s tweet, probably nothing.

Go Canada! I’ve very much enjoyed watching Darnell Nurse this WJ’s and I think it’s clear he is both a quality prospect and in need of pro seasoning. I know the Oilers love to elevate their players immediately upon turning pro (or earlier) but would like to remind you of Larry Robinson, who spent time in the AHL before dominating NHL players for two decades. Nurse isn’t Robinson, but he does have many of the same tools. Important to get it right with Darnell.

GO GO BOGDAN!

yakimov rodgers 14-15

I wondered when we were going to see some offense from Bogdan Yakimov because he has all good arrows with this organization. Sometimes in life things are supposed to work out for people and Bogdan has a lot of momentum:

  1. A MacTavish draft
  2. Good KHL season suggesting offensive ability and history of playing against men
  3. Strong training camp

However, until recently he wasn’t getting much done offensively. A strong performance last night has him 2-4-6 in his last 7 games, with 26 shots on goal. The Oilers may have a solid forward on the way via Oklahoma City who came through the draft—a most rare item during Edmonton’s Baron run in that city.

THE GAME TONIGHT

At some level, you have to absolutely be impressed with Todd Nelson. Since Craig MacTavish went back upstairs (and commenced making roster changes, lordy) the Oilers are 1-0-2 in three games. This can’t happen. As difficult as it is to wrap our heads around, losing is a good thing. WHY is it a good thing? Tune in tonight to the Canada—Slovakia game and watch Connor McDavid closely. That’s the goal, that’s the price, and the consolation is Jack Eichel. Third prize? A set of steak knives.

Losing. It’s the right thing to do. Someone tell Nelson!

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408 Responses to "ISLANDERS AT OILERS, G40 2014-15"

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  1. Woodguy says:

    godot10: The Eakins Under-performance Effect on Absolutely Everything.

    Remember when you said that BUF”s goalies were awesome because Ted Nolan was awesome and they wanted to play awesome for awesome Ted and he brought out the awesomeness in everyone?

    Enroth’s last 7 games:

    0.800
    0.886
    0.917
    0.892
    0.818
    0.879
    0.893

    Neuvirth’s last 5 games:

    0.556
    0.939
    0.846
    0.861
    0.919

    Wow.

    I guess Eakins snuck behind the bench and drained Nolan of his awesomeness.

    I guess Nolan is no longer a players coach and players don’t want to play for him and everything is not awesome.

    Or maybe…..you know…..variance.

  2. Dark Asia says:

    Tanking again is absolutely unacceptable and you should know better LT. These kids have endured managerial backstabbing and incompetence for years and deserve a bit of support and optimism that someone on Kingsway ins’t clueless. They’ve got three #1s and suck – why would four make any difference. Eakins is gone which is a step in the right direction, Nelson taking over is another, clean out pro/amateur scouting and the mgmt offices are next. DO that and people might believe this franchise is going somewhere. But tanking on purpose and missing the playoffs for a recording tying number of consecutive years is f’ing criminal.

  3. frjohnk says:

    With Eakins All situations

    Corsi 51.2%%

    PDO 96.2%
    Shooting % 7.4%

    Scoring Chances For 50.8% (14th)

    Percentage of TOI when leading 16%
    Percentage of TOI when tied 40%
    Percentage of TOI when trailing 44%

    After Eakins ( A.E.)

    Corsi 46.5%

    PDO 100.8
    Shooting % 9.8%

    Scoring Chances For 43.8% ( 27th)

    Percentage of TOI when leading 46%
    Percentage of TOI when tied 19%
    Percentage of TOI when trailing 35%

    So what is happening.

    Since Eakins has been fired, oilers are producing less scoring chances for, less shots for, less possession,

    but better

    shooting %
    save%

    score effects are in play here. Small sample size

  4. Dark Asia says:

    Tanking is unacceptable P2…

    The Oilers and many of their fans have become like crack addicts with respect to losing and getting a high draft pick. Feels good after a hit on the pipe during draft day – but the rest of the season is spent sleeping in doorways and eating garbage. Time for this franchise to put down the pipe and get clean.

  5. PhrankLee says:

    Dark Asia:
    Tanking again is absolutely unacceptable and you should know better LT. These kids have endured managerial backstabbing and incompetence for years and deserve a bit of support and optimism that someone on Kingsway ins’t clueless. They’ve got three #1s and suck – why would four make any difference. Eakins is gone which is a step in the right direction, Nelson taking over is another, clean out pro/amateurscouting and the mgmt offices are next. DO that and people might believe this franchise is going somewhere. But tanking on purpose and missing the playoffs for a recording tying number of consecutive years is f’ing criminal.

    Yeah, LT. You are such a negative Nelly.

    Pull yourself together, man.

    All these years feigning pragmatism, advocating a balanced approach and heart-warming anecdotes you’ve been setting us up for the Hitchcockian (not the coach, get some culture you boors) switch to doom sayer.

  6. Bryan says:

    PhrankLee: Yeah, LT. You are such a negative Nelly.

    Pull yourself together, man.

    All these years feigning pragmatism, advocating a balanced approach and heart-warming anecdotes you’ve been setting us up for the Hitchcockian (not the coach, get some culture you boors) switch to doom sayer.

    Well said!

  7. Bruce McCurdy says:

    frjohnk: score effects are in play here. Small sample size

    I’ll say. In 9 games, Oilers have held the lead 9 different times and the other teams have been pouring it on to get back in the game. Included are 2+ goal leads vs. Dallas, L.A. & Calgary, all of which featured a) significant tilting of the ice, and b) a blown lead. Not ’til last night were the Oilers able to hang on, and better, to build a lead back after the other guys cut into it.

    Don’t have time ahead/behind/tied just yet, but it would be Substantially different since Eakins got canned than before. And the sameple size is small enough to not provide much confidence in the Corsi figures themselves, let alone PDO.

  8. Lowetide says:

    PhrankLee: Yeah, LT. You are such a negative Nelly.

    Pull yourself together, man.

    All these years feigning pragmatism, advocating a balanced approach and heart-warming anecdotes you’ve been setting us up for the Hitchcockian (not the coach, get some culture you boors) switch to doom sayer.

    that’s me!

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