Someone is going to get a helluva defenseman in the next 30 hours. Jeff Petry is an extremely useful blue and one of very few to slip trough the fingers of his drafting team while in the heart of his productive years. It’s a reflection of a losing organization. Self-inflicted wound, no other way to frame the issue. Petry won’t sign? Instead of blaming the player, perhaps we should reflect on the reasons why this young man isn’t extending with the Oilers. Most players with his ability would have been locked up long ago and that’s for sure. The sunk cost on Petry in terms of scouting, value of draft selection, development and deployment is enormous. At the very moment when Edmonton would be paying in full for his productivity, he’ll be sent away. Which isn’t an issue if the team is a defense factory, but it decidedly is not—now or at any time, really.
You’ll hear lots of venom today on twitter and elsewhere online about the Petry trade. “He was offered $20 million and turned it down” on one side and “no idea what the fuss is about” on the other side. It misses the point, all of it. When we ask ourselves ‘what makes the Oilers different?’ situations like Petry’s are solid examples. What team allows themselves into this predicament? Oh, those Oilers.
- Joe Haggerty, Comcast Sportsnet: On defense, a player like Jeff Petry out in Edmonton is an interesting name if the Bruins can get him for a second round pick. Source
The Bruins have their own pick, it would land around No. 46 overall and the players who should be available there (Ethan Bear, MacKenzie Blackwood, Noah Juulsen) are fine prospects. I think Edmonton is likely to receive one of the following packages:
- A second-round pick and a lesser prospect (say, Dalton Thrower from Montreal who is in the ECHL right now)
- A legit NHL prospect (I’ll say Ryan Sproul because we’ve mentioned him lots) plus maybe a deep draft pick
If MacT can get a first-round pick that would be a helluva deal but he’s hinted that a player a little closer to NHL-ready would have significant appeal, so Sproul or someone similar is probably about right. I don’t think we’ll be blown away by the return and that marches in lock step with the Hemsky deal a year ago. Edmonton does a splendid job of reducing the value on their players. If MacT gets Joel Edmundson and a fourth-round pick, then the Oilers should sign him now, today. Otherwise, they have no idea what they’re doing.
OILERS PLAYER CARDS, BLUE 2014-15
I’ve included Qual Comp this time (it was suggested the other day). This is via BehindtheNet (I have also used HockeyAnalysis.com and NHL.com in this player card) and the numbers here are Gabe’s but made to be easier to read (I’ve taken out the .00’s). What it tells us is that Marincin—Fayne are getting the tough competition and Ference—Petry are getting the difficult zone starts. To my eye, Dallas Eakins deployed defensemen according to ZS and was less concerned about opponent, while Todd Nelson appears to be matching a little harder and therefore the ZS numbers are closer to 50 for everyone. Last night’s EV TOI deployment:
- Justin Schultz 22:07
- Oscar Klefbom 20:40
- Martin Marincin 18:33
- Andrew Ference 17:19
- Jordan Oesterle 16:33
- Mark Fayne 14:41
Nelson had three Barons in the lineup (Klefbom, Marincin and Oesterle) and they all played significant minutes. If they do replace Todd Nelson, this golden period for AHL farm hands may end. It’s a significant issue. Seriously. If Klefbom, Marincin and others can survive and then prosper, the Oilers will enjoy better depth. One massive difference between Todd Nelson and Dallas Eakins is these kids and for me that’s reason enough to keep Nelson on as head coach.
Tim Erixon’s career trajectory looks like a balloon after it’s been blown up and then released without tying it: all over the place and without any real direction. Predicting his next arrow is impossible but there’s certainly enough intrigue about him for a waiver claim to be contemplated. His NHL career stats are about one season (78GP, 1-12-13) and The Hockey News bio on him suggests a range of skills including offensive acumen. He’s a lefty, meaning his presence could gobble up some Marincin minutes. Todd Nelson seems to believe Marincin has a chance.
“He’s leaps and bounds ahead of where he was… This summer will be important. He’s got to get stronger.” – Coach Nelson on Marincin
— Edmonton Oilers (@EdmontonOilers) March 1, 2015
There’s a player there. Steady as she goes, Martin Marincin. And for God sakes stay in Edmonton this summer and train like a manic!