Peter Chiarelli drilled a big fly into the July night in 2006, 36 days after he was named Boston Bruins GM. He grabbed Zdeno Chara from the Ottawa Senators and added a cornerstone piece to a Stanley team. Will he duplicate it in his first 100 days as Oilers GM?
- Pierre Lebrun: “I’m sure the Boston Bruins would match no matter what, but it’s interesting to hear rumblings of teams contemplating the idea of an offer sheet for restricted free agent Dougie Hamilton. We haven’t seen a whole of offer sheets the past few years, but the idea here is that the Bruins are right up against the cap and are vulnerable to it. It’s believed the Edmonton Oilers general manager (and former Bruins GM) Peter Chiarelli is in fact tossing around the idea internally. How much fun would that be? But seriously, the Oilers are in need of help on the blue line so it would make sense. Thing is, I doubt they’re the only team thinking of doing it.” Source
Music! Fantastic. I wrote about Hamilton as a target this week and it’s a very sweet—if risky—idea. The dollars invested in Hamilton would mean the cap crunch arrives earlier than we thought but holy lord things would get fun in a quick hurry. The McDavid entry-level deal would get very interesting in a heartbeat.
NUTS AND BOLTS
Fluto Shinzawa of the Boston Globe broke down the money in a recent article:
- Shinzawa: A team that signs a player to an offer sheet worth $5,478,986 to $7,305,316 annually would have to cede first-, second-, and third-round picks. The Bruins would match in the lower tier of that segment. They might think twice about approaching the upper limit.The price becomes higher in the next segment. To sign a player for $7,305,316 to $9,131,645 annually, a team would have to give up two firsts, one second-, and one third-round pick. As highly as the Bruins think of Hamilton, this would be a steep price to pay. Source
speeds is the resident cap genius among the Oilosphere’s brain trust, suspect he has very specific thoughts on the matter. For now, let’s use $7M times 10 years as a starting point, with a Shea Weber style poison pill payout at the beginning just for fun. Cool? The roster suddenly becomes far different and we also have a sticky relationship with the cap;
- Goal ($3.75) Cam Talbot 1.45; Ben Scrivens 2.3
- Defense ($25.319) Dougie Hamilton 7.0; Niki Nikitin 4.5; Justin Schultz 3.675est; Mark Fayne 3.65; Andrew Ference 3.25; Oscar Klefbom 1.244; Martin Marincin 1.0est.
- Center ($14.688) Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 6.0; Connor McDavid 3.775; Anton Lander .988; Boyd Gordon 3.0; Leon Draisaitl .925
- Left Wing ($13.575) Taylor Hall 6.0; Benoit Pouliot 4.0; Iiro Pakarinen .925; Matt Hendricks 1.85; Luke Gazdic .800.
- Right Wing ($14.485) Jordan Eberle 6.0; Nail Yakupov 2.5; Teddy Purcell 4.5; Rob Klinkhammer .725; Tyler Pitlick .760est.
- Estimated Cap Ceiling: $71 million
- Roster: $70.817 million
Leon’s bonuses aren’t included so it’s tight—AND I’m assuming Talbot here as the inexpensive starter in goal. If you add Dougie Hamilton, you probably move Justin Schultz. That’s one way of fixing things. Also not sure $7M gets it done. Ideally Nikitin and Ference move too, and the Oilers find useful replacements. That’s a big bloody job for one summer. Love the idea of Dougie Hamilton as an Oiler and dearly wish for a moment of clarity from this organization where they can find a Jason Smith or Steve Staios for less than full price. Badly need that kind of addition.
Todd Nelson drawing interest from Grand Rapids, Wilkes Barre and Charlotte. Could be done with the Oilers. More on TSN's Insider Trading.
— Darren Dreger (@DarrenDreger) June 9, 2015
Todd Nelson was good for the Edmonton Oilers and his parting gift (should it come to pass) is Anton Lander. He came to the Oilers at a time when they simply couldn’t get out of their own way and he helped build a farm team from nothing. I hope he has a long and successful career as an NHL coach and believe he will.
- Bruce Garrioch:Sources say Murray would like a young player who has the potential to be top six forward and a high draft pick in return. Source
That’s a lot for Lehner, depending on how you look at it. He’s not close to being ideal for the Oilers (.905SP, concussion issues, $2.225M cap hit times two) but goalies are voodoo and there was a time when Lehner was thought to be hot stuff. I wouldn’t give up a pick in the top 75, let alone adding Bogdan Yakimov or Anton Slepyshev. There are better goalies who should be available and the concussion worry is a big damn deal. Too risky for me. Thoughts?
Talbot remains the most attractive option and of course Antti Niemi’s availability via free agency is of interest because Todd McLellan is the new Oilers coach. One wonders if the Oilers are shopping for one or two goalies this summer—it is possible the club could add Talbot, Lehner and retain Scrivens, with the loser of the backup battle heading to Bakersfield to share the net with Laurent Brossoit. Remember, the GM and coach are not tied in any way to last year’s roster, certainly not to the point where Ben Scrivens would have ownership of an NHL job at this time.
LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE
A busy morning as we’re at the Ranch to do the Lowdown. Scheduled to appear, TSN1260 beginning at 10:
- Bruce McCurdy, Cult of Hockey. We’ll discuss the possibility of a Hamilton OS sheet, Lehner as Oilers G, Martin Marincin and Mark Fayne.
- Sean Beissel, Campus Director for Donnan Hockey. We’ll talk about the value of a mentor in development.
- Scotty Bowman. Seriously.
- Rob Vollman, ESPN. We’ll discuss the Oilers situation in goal, plus the idea of trading one of the young guns.
- Scott Cullen, TSN. ‘Hawks current situation, Hamilton offer sheet.
10-1260 text, @Lowetide on twitter. It’s an outdoor broadcast! Should be a blast!