Let’s say for the sake of argument Peter Chiarelli and Glen Sather are talking about Cam Talbot, and let’s say Chiarelli is pumping No. 33 overall and Sather wants No. 16. Let’s say that’s a non-starter and Sather moves from No. 16 and asks after Nail Yakupov, even offering JT Miller for the Russian and a lesser pick. Let’ say Chiarelli then offers No. 33 this year and something from next year’s draft (third-round pick) for Talbot.
Talbot trade watch continues. Expect he gets traded this week. Buf, Edmtn, SJ and Dallas in the mix. Great contract requires high return.
— Darren Dreger (@DarrenDreger) June 22, 2015
You and I know that a one-year contract is NOT a great deal to acquire (asset is going to cost, and then require re-signing) but it’s silly season. And then suddenly it’s draft week and we’re now to a point where Edmonton may not be in a good position with regard to acquiring Talbot. Backup plans have been mulled, the thought of giving up No. 16 has been rejected, and that third-round pick next year may be needed in a deal for a defenseman this summer. THEN Old man Crazy gets on the horn and asks for the Russian AND No. 16 overall. Nail Yakupov is in a bad spot as an Edmonton Oiler. That’s a fact.
LOWETIDE FINAL TOP 30, 2015
- C Connor McDavid, Erie Otters (OHL) All our trials, lord, soon be over.
- C Jack Eichel, Boston U (NCAA) Size, speed, skill, he’s a bull. Monster talent.
- R Mitch Marner, London Knights (OHL) Fantastic skater, sublime skill. Catch a fire.
- D Noah Hanifin, BC (NCAA) The entire package, signed, sealed and delivered. Stunning passer.
- C Dylan Strome, Erie Otters (OHL) Darryl Sittler without the edge. Exceptional hands.
- D Ivan Provorov, Brandon Wheat Kings (WHL) Russian Coffey. He can pick it on D, too.
- R Mikko Rantanen, TPS Turku (SML) Big W can beat you wide or smash his way to the net.
- C Mathew Barzal, Seattle Thunderbirds (WHL) ISS compares him to Claude Giroux. Lordy.
- D Zach Werenski, Michigan (NCAA) Big two-way D with complete range of skills. Quality.
- R Evgeni Svechnikov, Cape Breton (QMJHL) Voracek meets Tarasenko. Mercy.
- R Timo Meier, Halifax Mooseheads (QMJHL) Strong, thick, skilled. Gunner.
- D Jeremy Roy, Sherbrooke Phoenix (QMJHL) Big brain, skilled. Born Oiler. Great passer.
- C Travis Konecny, Ottawa 67’s (OHL) Modern Bobby Clarke. Great motor, surprising skill.
- R Nick Merkley, Kelowna Rockets (WHL) Dynamic offensive winger, playmaker like Hemsky.
- C Anthony Beauvillier, Shawinigan (QMJHL) Substantial offensive F, money in FO circle.
- C Pavel Zacha, Sarnia Sting (OHL). Complete PF: Size, speed, skill. He’d be top five with results.
- C Joel Eriksson Ek, Farjestad (SHL) Impressive C, complete player with significant offense.
- L Lawson Crouse, Kingston Frontenacs (OHL) Big, strong, fast, offensively shy.
- C Kyle Connor, Youngstown (USHL) Explosive offensive player with skill, intelligence.
- L Jake Debrusk, Swift Current (WHL) Quality scoring prospect. Reminds me of Eberle.
- C Jansen Harkins, Prince George Cougars (WHL) Smooth, skilled, creative, aggressive.
- D Jakub Zboril, Saint John Sea Dogs (QMJHL) Two-way D, solid offense. Noticeable.
- D Thomas Chabot, Saint John (QMJHL) Size, speed, skill, good defenseman. Could go higher.
- R Daniel Sprong, Charlottetown Islanders (QMJHL) Sniper, quick, skilled.
- D Oliver Kylington, Farjestad (SHL) Unsafe at any speed? Could be a major home run.
- R Zach Senyshyn, SSM Greyhounds (OHL) Fast train with skill and size. Could go higher.
- R Blake Speers, SSM Greyhounds (OHL) Exceptional speed, substantial skill.
- F Colin White, USNTDP (USHL) Fine skater, two-way player. Complete skills, a little shy offensively.
- D Travis Dermott, Erie Otters (OHL) Undersized, mobile defender. A gem.
- C Filip Chlapik, Charlotteteown (QMJHL) Two-way C, range of skills. 2C based on offense.
No matter what happens this week, the “Gods Must Be Crazy” summer of Oil will rock the NHL with the grand prize of the century, Connor freaking McDavid.
- Draft McDavid (and sign him)
- Find a quality goalie option (this is the Talbot/Lehner item)
- Acquire a legit top pairing blue (as always, clear as mud days before bullets fly)
- Sign a more offensive two-way F (I’m hoping for Soderberg)
- Ignore MacT re: Marincin (Or trade Marincin for someone goooooood)
I posted that list the other day, received significant push back from a few people saying it wasn’t enough. Sure, but here’s the deal: In order for me to add “second-pairing defender to take Jeff Petry minutes” we needed to see a buyout for Niki Nikitin or Andrew Ference. The window opened 48 hours after the conclusion of the Stanley Cup and remains open until the end of June. Plenty of time, and yet crickets currently. IF the Oilers find a way to buy out or trade one of the defensemen, and sign or acquire another blue? Fantastic! It’s a lot, impossible I’d say without moving one of Nikitin, Ference or Schultz. Let’s add a secondary, fantasy list:
- Buyout one of Nikitin or Ference
- Add a second-pairing Petry replacement
- Offload Ben Scrivens
- Add a second goalie of significant reputation
- Offload Teddy Purcell
- Add a “Pisani” who can mentor, score 15, and play a two-way role up and down the lineup
- Pouliot—Nuge—Justin Williams
Two things: I don’t think that’s even possible in one summer—unreasonable expectations, let’s call it—and I’m also not sure it’s wise to move Teddy Purcell and Ben Scrivens this summer. They are sunk costs, but Purcell is a veteran NHL player and Scrivens should regress to the mean. I understand the idea behind it (improve NOW, don’t waste a moment of time because McDavid’s entry-level deal starts ticking in October) but the smart play here—at least a little—is to take what the market gives you and keep your powder dry until you see the whites of their eyes (thank you Josey Wales). Make those moves if available, but let’s remember the extreme value of getting Nikitin, Scrivens and Purcell’s contracts off the books at season’s end. Rome wasn’t built in a day.
Reorganization in EDM continues. More scouting terminations expected today. Stay tuned.
— Mark Spector (@SportsnetSpec) June 22, 2015
The Oilers are going to be a stripped down group in Sunrise but the scouts on the floor during the 2015 draft will clearly be part of the future. The question now? How many will be left? Chiarelli took care of the OHL on the weekend, plus the two head men. I don’t wish anyone ill will, it’s tough to see people lose their jobs. It’s curious to see the bloodletting here while Scott Howson, Craig MacTavish and others remain. Ladies, it is IMPOSSIBLE to credibly lay blame at the feet of Kent Hawley and Brad Davis while also allowing MacT and Howson to slide. Surely this is the truth? I believe it is.
LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE
We’re back! Polka till you puke! OR, more sports talk. Scheduled to appear:
- Scott Burnside, ESPN. What a week! Trades! Free Agent Window opens! Draft! Awards! We’ll cover it all.
- Benjamin Massey, Maple Leaf Forever. Fantastic win for Canada in Vancouver yesterday. We’ll talk Women’s World Cup.
- Dennis King, Oilogosphere Icon. I want to get to the bottom of the MacT/Howson slide, we’ll speak of many things.
- Bob Weeks, Score Golf. WHAT a major! There’s 50 angles on the US Open story, we’ll cover maybe three.
10-1260 text, @Lowetide on twitter. Glad to be back!