If the Edmonton Oilers are going to make the playoffs, value contracts need to appear and pretty damned quick. I can tell you true that Brandon Davidson and his $1.425 million contract will be a value deal, but are there any others? Back in 2005, coming out of the lockout and entering the cap era, Edmonton delivered six exceptional contracts from players who could help in a big way. Here they are.
- Marc Andre Bergeron ($931k). Bergeron played 1600 minutes in the 05-06 season, 350 of that on the powerplay. He delivered 2.74/60 with the man advantage but was pretty solid at EVs (1/60) and his 15-20-35 for the season was exceptional for the price.
- Ales Hemsky ($901,740). Hemsky played 1375 minutes in the 05-06 season, slightly over 400 of them on the powerplay. His PP/60 number (6.17) was very nice, his EV number 2.25 was impressive. That PP number helped him lead the team in scoring (19-58-77) and he delivered 6-11-17 in the playoffs too. A wonderful payoff for less than a million, a season to remember.
- Shawn Horcoff ($1M). Horcoff played almost 1600 minutes, almost 300 on the PP and 225 on the PK. In 05-06 he went 3-3-6 on the PK (about 1.6/60), went 4.82/60 on the PP and then 2.44 at EVs and this was against the other team’s good players. Music!
- Fernando Pisani ($611,800). In 05-06 he was excellent in the regular year and ridiculous in the postseason. Pisani played 1100 minutes in 05-06, 150 on the PP. He did a lot of heavy lifting at EVs and still managed to score 1.84/60 and 3.59 on the PP. Pisani was Guy Lafleur in the post season, 14-4-18 in a run I will never forget. At $611,800 he was ridiculous value.
- Jarret Stoll ($501,600). Stoll played 1500 minutes in 05-06, 410 on the PP and 200 on the PK. He was a pretty valuable hockey player. On the PP he was 4.53 and at EVs he was 2.35 on the way to 82gp, 22-46-68 totals. At the price, he was extremely valuable.
- Raffi Torres ($875,000). Raffi played 1100 minutes in 05-06, 224 of them on the PP. His EV number in 05-06 (2.07) and his PP number (2.95) were impressive and his physical game was beyond scary. At this price, he was a bargain.
2015-16 $1.5 million or less
- Patrick Maroon ($1.5 million). Maroon played 888 minutes in the 15-16 season (all in), 107 on the power play. He delivered 4.49/60 with the man advantage (again, this is both ANA and EDM) and 1.41/60 at 5×5. His Edmonton performance made him one of the most popular citizens in the city.
- Brandon Davidson ($1.425 million). Davidson played 979 minutes in the 15-16 season, 22 of that on the powerplay and 134 on the penalty kill. He delivered 5.41/60 with the man advantage (again, 22 minutes) and was decent at EVs (0.54/60). As good a bet for a value deal as there is for 2015-16.
Credit Peter Chiarelli for acquiring Maroon, he looks like a real find. Also, there could be several value contracts for 2015-16 who are currently on the roster. Among the candidates I see possibly over-delivering are Iiro Pakarinen, Jordan Oesterle, Anton Slepyshev, Jujhar Khaira. It is also possible Zack Kassian signs for $1.5 million and delivers, but can’t see that result from here. The Oilers are going to need some of these value contracts coming in this summer and through the next 12 months, because the drafted kids are going to get paid.
— James Liska (@james_liska) April 23, 2016
Ethan Bear is a player this blog identified about this time last season as being a talented two-way player. His 2015-16 season built on it, and he is now at a point-per-game in the playoffs. Terrific stuff. I think it is logical to suggest a contract with Edmonton gets done after his season ends (Caleb Jones already has his done, happened at the conclusion of his year) and that 2015 draft has some nice arrows. Miles to go, let’s not get ahead of ourselves, but good days.
PLEASE PARSING ME
I wrote about Erik Karlsson and P.K. Subban yesterday, put them on the blue sky shopping list. Several folks wrote back worrying over my sanity, and I get that for sure. However, important to remember that the rumors (especially about Subban) are in fact floating out in the ether.
"My intention is not to trade @PKSubban1. He's a very big part of this team and an elite defenseman." – Marc Bergevin
— Canadiens Montréal (@CanadiensMTL) April 11, 2016
Hmmm. Interesting turn of phrase. Now there can be misunderstandings with even the simplest statements, but it is kind of a strange sentence. It is miles from ‘PK Subban will be at Canadiens camp this fall, book it’ and the statement did not stop speculation.
Bergevin seemed to indicate that he would only trade PK Subban if he got an amazing deal that he doesn't expect. (Did I get that right?)
— BrianWilde (@BWildeCTV) April 11, 2016
Hmmm again. Parsing words here, but Wilde’s reaction was about like mine—window open at least a little. Probably nothing, let’s move along here, but something to keep in mind for the coming weeks. The thing I don’t see about Subban is a match with Edmonton. If Montreal is dealing Subban, surely they want a substantial defenseman with NHL experience in return. Edmonton doesn’t have that, and none of their youngsters—despite the clear potential of Oscar Klefbom and Darnell Nurse—are going to move the needle. Montreal is also one of the few teams who has a Taylor Hall (Max Pacioretty) so that is also a non-starter. The Habs are unlikely to have tremendous interest in the lottery pick.
What then, are they going to give Montreal for Subban? I do not see a deal.
Dean Lombardi, talking offensive dmen and the Norris Trophy, threw some shade at Erik Karlsson: "At least Paul Coffey was in the playoffs"
— Derek Neumeier (@Derek_N_NHL) April 13, 2016
Karma is a bitch. A sweet, beautiful bitch.
— Puck Drunk Love (@PuckDrunkLove) April 13, 2016
If Erik Karlsson is available… I will offer any 2 assets the Oilers have not including McDavid. Then probably a 3rd.
— Raider Jesse (@EdmontonRaider) April 12, 2016
Would you give up RNH in a potential Erik Karlsson trade?
— Big Daddy (@loc8ingoil) April 12, 2016
I think Jesse has it right. If Karlsson is available, the potential deal (say, Nuge, Eberle, Nurse for Karlsson, Clarke MacArthur and Curtis Lazar to make the money work) would clean out the forwards and you would probably still say yes. I very much doubt the Senators are insane, but you never know. It is shaping up as an interesting summer.
CHIARELLI WON’T MAKE A BIG TRADE LIKE THAT!
Peter Chiarelli’s major trades with the Boston Bruins.
- Traded Wayne Primeau, Brad Stuart and a fourth-round pick to Andrew Ference and Chuck Kobasew.
- Traded Brad Boyes to St. Louis Blues for Dennis Wideman.
- Traded Phil Kessel to Toronto Maple Leafs for two first-round picks and a second-round selection.
- Traded Dennis Wideman, plus first and third-round picks to the Florida Panthers for Nathan Horton and Gregory Campbell.
- Traded Tyler Seguin, Rich Peverley and Ryan Button to the Dallas Stars for Loui Eriksson, Reilly Smith, Joe Morrow and Matt Fraser.
- Traded Johnny Boychuk to NY Islanders for a package of draft picks.
One of the most interesting trades in Chiarelli’s back story was the acquisition of Johnny Boychuk. Colorado took him in 2002, and by spring 2008 he had played in only four NHL games. To give you an idea about how long Boychuk waited, Brandon Davidson has played in 63 NHL games during the same time frame. Chiarelli dealt Matt Hendricks for him, and Boychuk spent 78 more games in the minors—although he spiked offensively, scoring more points than he had ever scored, including junior. Boychuk’s rookie season was 2009-10, he was 25.
Anyone with a similar resume in the minors? Well, Morgan Ellis is somewhat similar, Brenden Kichton and Ryan Sproul too, and I do like Taylor Aronson based purely on math. Most of these men shoot right, and surely Peter Chiarelli will look for more balance in this area over the next eight weeks.
NEW TOP 60
I will publish a new top 60 for the 2016 draft at 5 this afternoon (Edmonton time). The U18s are definitely reflected in the new rankings, would love to hear your reaction to the tournament and who caught your eye. This tournament is absolutely a small sample size, but our only real chance to see a player like Dante Fabbro (or Tyson Jost) against their own age group at this level. Very instructive, bet scouts are revising their lists as they head to meetings (I believe they happen in the next few weeks across the NHL).