POETRY IN MOTION

North American sports fans have been regaling their heroes in song and rhyme since the first pitch, the first faceoff, the first run off tackle. When I was a kid, hockey had famous lines—the GAG line, the French Connection—and before that, baseball brought us the Cubbies dynamite infield. Tinker to Evers (pronounced, I believe, Eeeevers) to Chance helped Chicago to the pennant in 1906, 1907, 1908, and 1910—the 1908 win coming via Merkle’s boner. I am watching Connor McDavid skate today, on ice located in St. Petersburg. I cannot find the words, but there is something of the magic in his ability to move on skates. If I could, I would, write a song or poem about the day McDavid became the fastest thing in St. Petersburg and the Sapsan train’s whistle blew forlorn.

tinker

In Edmonton, we like the pairs. Gretzky to Kurri, Messier and Anderson, Coffey and Huddy, Hall and Ebs, and on it goes. Connor McDavid has test driven a few options, notably Jordan Eberle, Benoit Pouliot and Patrick Maroon. I suspect more will be coming along shortly—in fact, young Drake Caggiula could be the next batter to come to the plate. He is a fascinating prospect, because there are some exceptional things about him—notably speed—and he could cash in dozens and dozens of goals as time goes by. When it was announced he signed, my first reaction was to downplay it, mostly because the Justin Schultz story turned out so poorly for all involved. I still think that is the best plan, but we cannot ignore the impressive spectacle of a young man betting on himself in this way. I am cheering for him, hope he makes it. Suspect he will be famous either way.

  • Drake Caggiula: “Obviously, my goal is to make the Edmonton Oilers and play in the NHL.That’s what you grow up dreaming about—playing in the NHL. If I can’t play there right away, my goal is to have a great year in Bakersfield.” Source
  • Peter Chiarelli: “He’s got a terrific skill package. He can fly. He’s five-foot-10 and 185 pounds and really strong. He’s got core strength and protects the puck very well. He’s fearless, he gets in on the forecheck. He’s got elements of his game that will allow him to play even though he’s not huge. He’s a gritty, skilled guy.” Source

You never know. We haven’t tracked this young man for four years, so maybe he was getting zoomed by his linemates and he spends very little time in the show. His one weakness—size—isn’t really a weakness at all (ask Martin St. Louis or any number of players and he isn’t 5.05 or anything). A great bet. Hope he makes it.

CHIARELLI’S FREE AGENT SIGNINGS

  1. May 12, 2015. Signed G Eetu Laurikainen.
  2. July 1, 2015. Signed D Andrej Sekera to a six-year contract
  3. July 1, 2015. Signed C Mark Letestu to a three-year contract.
  4. October 6, 2015. Signed Signed F Braden Christoffer to a three-year, entry-level contract.
  5. March 13, 2016. Signed LW Jere Sallinen to a one-year deal.
  6. April 7, 2016. Signed G Nick Ellis to an entry-level deal.
  7. May 7, 2016. Signed F Drake Caggiula to an entry-level deal.

Have I missed any? Guys like Talbot and Davidson were signed, but they are extensions and came via trade and the draft, respectively. Among the seven names here, I count Sekera as a real success, Letestu as a signing that can be defended, and the rest are still to be determined. Fair? I like the three bets this spring more than the Laurikainen and Christoffer bets, but it is too soon to know.

One thing I believe we can say with authority: It is hard to look at that list and argue Peter Chiarelli is obsessed with size.

I am hopeful the Oilers can acquire Travis Hamonic, but am not counting on it. Many posters feel the Islanders are between a rock and a hard place, and that Garth Snow will trade his defenseman for something less than full value. I suspect Snow will be very stubborn on getting more than value and the asking price may be so high Peter Chiarelli chooses to move on and find another solution. Seriously. There is no reason for Snow to make a fair deal when he can make a better one, and the pressure does not lie with him. As summer fades and his rights remain in Brooklyn, doubt that pushes a trade. Expect an unfair deal, or no deal at all. That is my guess.

BOB GREEN’S WHITEBOARD

In February, I wrote about Bob Green’s list of players who might be available via college and the CHL—and on the weekend one of those players landed in Edmonton.

  • LW Dryden Hunt, Moose Jaw Warriors. A strong skater having a terrific year, he is 15-8-23 in his last 10 WHL games. He is 6.01, 201 and would be a fantastic get in an area of need.
  • F Drake Caggiula, University of North Dakota. Another terrific scorer (23GP, 15-15-30), he has good speed and a range of skills. 5.10, 180.
  • D Troy Stecher, University of North Dakota. Righthanded blue with all kinds of offense (28GP, 5-14-19) and he is an excellent skater. 5.10, 190.
  • R Nick Betz, Erie Otters. This player comes via Brock Otten and his excellent OHL Prospects site, and Betz is a big power winger with average speed. What makes him interesting is size (6.04, 220) and offense (47GP, 15-24-39) that appears to be attached to net-front presence. Source

Erie’s season is over and I wonder about Nick Betz. He would be an interesting addition to the team and could develop into a solid pro. He seems to scratch an organizational itch, and may (like Caggiula) alter the final draft list.

CHIARELLI ASSET LIST

  1. No. 4 overall selection (looks more and more like this could be dealt)
  2. Benoit Pouliot (Increasingly likely)
  3. Jordan Eberle (Oilers can sign a replacement, but he had chem with 97)
  4. 2017 1st round selection (certainly in play)
  5. Young LHD (Darnell Nurse, Brandon Davidson, Griffin Reinhart) (this list may depend on the health of both Klefbom and Davidson. If one or both are not expected to be full speed by TC, this may not be an avenue)
  6. Nail Yakupov (if they get a reasonable offer, he is exiting the system)
  7. Cap space (Edmonton might be able to get a player like Bozak on the cheap because of it)

CHIARELLI SUMMER LIST

  1. Top-pairing D to partner with Klefbom (Travis Hamonic/Jason Demers)
  2. Second-pairing RHD to partner with Sekera (Tyson Barrie/Sami Vatanen)
  3. Acquire RHC with some skill (Small group available. Andrew Shaw? Tommy Wingels? Tyler Bozak?)
  4. Offload unwanted contract (Lauri Korpikoski)
  5. Backup goalie (Jhonas Enroth)
  6. Find value contracts (Davidson, Maroon, possibly Caggiula)
  7. Re-stock the system partly through Euro, college and CHL signings (Caggiula, but also Ellis and Sallinen)
  8. Build up the system (especially forwards) via draft (big summer)

CAGGIULA

LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE

A busy, fun show this morning TSN1260. Scheduled to appear:

  • Scott Burnside, ESPN. Quarterfinals getting close to finding a winner, plus the coaching carousel was moving on the weekend.
  • Andrew Bucholtz, 55-Yard Line. CFL draft goes tomorrow, suspect the Eskimos take someone on the defensive side of the ball.
  • Guy Flaming, Pipeline Show. Guy has been onside with Drake Caggiula as a legit NHL prospect for some time, we will find out why.
  • Brad Elliott Schlossman, Grand Fords Herald. Most of what we have been able to gather in the last 48 hours comes from Schlossman, so we will go to the source and find out about Caggiula.

10-1260 text, @Lowetide on twitter. Go Canada!

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119 Responses to "POETRY IN MOTION"

  1. Oil2Oilers says:

    I am interested in seeing Caggiula with the other prospects I hope he attends the post draft rookie camp.

    OT I may have a last minute stop over in NYC Saturday afternoon through Monday morning. Any advice and suggestions welcome.

  2. Jethro Tull says:

    “I am hopeful the Oilers can acquire Travis Hamonic, but am not counting on it. Many posters feel the Islanders are between a rock and a hard place, and that Garth Snow will trade his defenseman for something less than full value. I suspect Snow will be very stubborn on getting more than value and the asking price may be so high Peter Chiarelli chooses to move on and find another solution. Seriously. There is no reason for Snow to make a fair deal when he can make a better one, and the pressure does not lie with him. As summer fades and his rights remain in Brooklyn, doubt that pushes a trade. Expect an unfair deal, or no deal at all. That is my guess.”

    Exactly the thing I’ve been banging on about. Snow just has to show willing in just trying to trade Hamonic. Then he can say “hey, I tried, but there wasn’t a deal to be had. We value you that much, Travis.”

    Unless Hamonic’s agent decides to play hardball. This will get messier the longer it goes on. It’s the only leverage the Hamonic camp has.

  3. Woodguy says:

    *** SPAM ***

    New Because Oilers:

    Oiler RHD Search #2 – Tyson Barrie

    http://becauseoilers.blogspot.ca/2016/05/oiler-right-shot-dman-search-2-tyson.html?m=1

    *** END SPAM ***

  4. Clay says:

    I recall everyone (including me) being happy with the Christoffer signing at the time. He certainly showed well last summer. Not that he’s a bust or anything, but he’s certainly a good example of the threat of small sample sizes.

  5. Acumen says:

    I wonder what Reinhart nets us in a trade. I’ve always undervalued him based on trade returns, draft position and general verbal, I do wonder if he could net us our RHC as the principle piece of a trade. With his cheap contract and potential to settle in as a character defender, does he get it done for an Andrew Shaw? Maybe a Curtis Lazar?

    If we do it makes it easier to trade a C for a D from a position of total strength.

  6. jonrmcleod says:

    Speaking of the inability to “find the words”:

    https://pbs.twimg.com/tweet_video/CiBZPLaUUAQVaKx.mp4

    Without speech!

  7. The Trade Guy says:

    Thing with Hamonic is his agent very likely already went public with it to some extent (how it got leaked)

    I don’t know what the issue is with his family and why he’d want to be closer to home but it must be fairly serious and I think he’ll be a professional as long as he thinks Garth Snow is being accommodating.

    If you’re the Oilers you like his skill and Hamonic’s services are probably needed by the Oilers moreseo then any team in the NHL but you probably don’t pay full price for a guy who might have serious distractions off the ice. (again no idea what the issue is)

  8. Oil2Oilers says:

    jonrmcleod:
    Speaking of the inability to “find the words”:

    https://pbs.twimg.com/tweet_video/CiBZPLaUUAQVaKx.mp4

    Without speech!

    Beautiful, Beautiful, Beautiful

  9. jake70 says:

    It’s poetry in motion
    He turned his focused eyes up ice
    As deep as any ocean
    As sweet as any harmony
    But he blinded me neuroscience
    (he blinded me with neuroscience!)
    Failed me in geometry, hey-ey, huh, huh

  10. Woodguy says:

    I wonder if TOR would do Bozak for Yak and Korpse?

  11. Ca$h-McMoney! says:

    Woodguy:
    I wonder if TOR would do Bozak for Yak and Korpse?

    If they do it’s because they don’t listen to anything Kyle Dubas has to say.

  12. dustrock says:

    Woodguy:
    *** SPAM ***

    New Because Oilers:

    Oiler RHD Search #2 – Tyson Barrie

    http://becauseoilers.blogspot.ca/2016/05/oiler-right-shot-dman-search-2-tyson.html?m=1

    *** END SPAM ***

    I wonder how much difference having a different/better system makes – you’d probably have to ask a coach or former player.

    Meaning, is Barrie (and all of the Colorado D) particularly bad at preventing shots against, or is Roy simply a terrible coach who doesn’t have a good system?

    If Barrie comes here with McLellan’s (theoretically) better coaching, does his CA improve?

  13. Ducey says:

    So I decided to look at Tkachuk’s playoff scoring.

    He is 16 19 20 39. Pretty good.

    His linemates Marner (16 16 25 41) and Dvorak (16 12 20 32) are doing pretty well too.

    The OHL website says Tkachuk has 8 G and 6 A on the PP. I counted and got 9 G and 8 A on the PP. So 17 of his 39 points have come on the PP. A further 5 have been on empty netters.

    So he has 17 points 5 x 5 not including empty netters.

    I decided to see how many of his points were scored without a contribution (so G or A) from Marner or Dvorak. A: 3 of 39

    It seems evident that:

    a) London has a very good team. They are 14 – 2 and average 4.8 goals a game
    b) the line of Tkachuk – Dvorak – Marner is massive part of their offense. They have scored 61% of the team’s goals (47/77).
    c) that Tkachuk does not do much of anything away from his linemates (3 points)

    I would guess that London has followed their tradition of playing the shit out of their top guys and their TOI is thru the roof.

    I have not seen him play, but am guessing a good chunk of Tkachuk’s value is as a complementary, PP player who has been zoomed by big minutes and very good linemates.

  14. Rondo says:

    Ducey,

    Interesting breakdown.

    You definitely get more ice when you have top players on your line.

  15. blainer says:

    Beware of Garth Snow.

    Chia should have other options out there. Move on from Hamonic if the asking price is too high.

    If we are trading Nuge and or Nurse we should be targeting Karlsson.

    Or… go the safe route and trade for Vatenen and try to sign Demers.

  16. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    Oil2Oilers:
    I am interested in seeing Caggiula with the other prospects I hope he attends the post draft rookie camp.

    OT I may have a last minute stop over in NYC Saturday afternoon through Monday morning. Any advice and suggestions welcome.

    That’s not a lot of time and I have a ton of potential suggestions.
    1) How many times have you been to NYC?
    2) Do you like museums/performing arts?
    3) Are you mobile and able to walk around a lot?
    4) Do you care a lot about food?
    5) Are you on a tight budget or have a little bit to spend on unique experiences?

  17. rickithebear says:

    Kraz:
    Juolevi reminds me a lot of Karl Alzner. Both put up similar numbers in their draft years and play similar style of game. Alzner is a solid top 4 dman but I bet if Washington could pick again they would rather have a Voracek or Couture. If the Oilers keep the pick taking a forward is 100% the right move.

    (Who ever posted “one of these does not belong”) does not understands winning playoffs.
    Rhett Warner one of the best defenders of the HSCA area in playoffs, discussing Dallas, stated his this morning:
    “Great goal scoring! You need:
    4 GF to outscore 3 GA
    5 GF to outscore 4 GA
    most times 4 and 5 goals ain’t happening.”

    which means:
    1 GF to outscore 0 GA
    2 GF to outscore 1 GA
    3 GF to outscore 2 GA
    can we get us some HSCA D in top 4 minutes.
    of coarse wouldn’t mind EVP/60 like Doughty and Barrie.

    But you go ahead and get those bottom 90 HSCA OFF D cause the oilers will be one of the few teams to score
    4G X 82GM = 328G
    &
    5G X 82gm = 410G
    every game in regular season and Playoffs.

    Alzner
    Even 207 D
    1. ***Top 40 comp #37D***
    2. Top 50 EV TOI #41 D 17.99
    3. ***Top 50 HSCA D #50 9.98****
    4. #95 EVP/60 D .64

    PK 163 D
    5. ***Top 40 PKGA #36 4.93***

    Yup Washngton hates him
    that is why they went after
    Orpik 9.85 HSCA
    Niskanen 9.59 HSCA

    Doughty
    Even 207 D
    1. #110 comp faced
    2. #3 EVTOI 21.30
    3. ***#41 HSCA D 9.83***
    4. #106 EVP/60 D .64 18 EVP with his rate and TOI.

    PK 163 D
    5. #17 D PK TOI
    6. ***Bottom 40 PKGA D #130 7.81***

    Davidson
    Even 207D
    1. #111 comp faced
    2. #118 EVTOI 15.88
    3. ***#31 HSCA D 9.68***
    4. #114 EVP/60 .61 pretty 13 EVP in a season with TOI and EVP/60 rate

    PK 155 D
    5. #33 D PKTOI 2.56
    6. ***#18 D PKGA 3.91***

    Klefbom
    Even 207D
    1. #35 comp faced
    2. #88 EVTOI 16.88
    3.*** #57 HSCA D 10.12***
    4. ***#18 EVP/60 1.08*** 25 EVP for season

    PK 155 D
    5. #26 D PKTOI 2.62
    6. ***#19 D PKGA 3.95***

    Barrie
    Even 207D
    1. #109 comp faced
    2. #9 EVTOI 19.05
    3. ***#183 HSCA D 12.37*** Does his .88 EVP/60 outscore his truly horrific D.
    We spent 3 seasons watching Shultz. Jes………………..
    4. #45 EVP/60 .88 23 EVP for season

    PK 155 D
    5.Does not play enough PK TOI to qualify.
    6. Does not play enough PK TOI to qualify.

    Hamonic
    Even 207D
    1. #33 comp faced
    2. #5 EVTOI 19.86
    3. ***#184 HSCA D 12.45*** he has never shown an ability to defend the net.
    4. #88 EVP/60 .69 19 EVP for season

    PK 155 D
    5. #62 PKTOI 2.23
    6. #18 PKGA D 4.93

    K. Miller
    Even 207D
    1. #81 comp faced
    2. #110 EVTOI 16.18
    3. ***#39 HSCA D 9.87***
    4. ***#40 EVP/60 .91 *** 20 EVP for season

    PK 155 D
    5. Career PK TOI 2.35
    6. ***Career PKGA 5.48 top 40***

  18. speeds says:

    Fresh from signing North Dakota's Drake Caggiula, Oilers have signed Forward Patrick Russell from St Cloud State.— John Shannon (@JSportsnet) May 9, 2016

  19. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    blainer,

    Snow has some good deals: Boychuk and Leddy
    And some bad: Nederreiter for Clutterbuck

    I guess when he sours on a player he doesn’t mind cutting bait. Clearly he hasn’t soured on Hamonic and is still hopeful he stays or that someone pays full value.

    He may have soured on Strome and that may be the hidden worthwhile bet. If you can get Strome for something reasonable then it might make it easier to make another trade elsewhere to get a D.

  20. godot10 says:

    Acumen:
    I wonder what Reinhart nets us in a trade. I’ve always undervalued him based on trade returns, draft position and general verbal, I do wonder if he could net us our RHC as the principle piece of a trade. With his cheap contract and potential to settle in as a character defender, does he get it done for an Andrew Shaw? Maybe a Curtis Lazar?

    If we do it makes it easier to trade a C for a D from a position of total strength.

    The Oilers have 2 proven NHL top 4D. Trading good D prospects for forwards when you have only two defensemen is not a good idea. Typically, because of injuries, one needs to use nine or ten D per season.

    The Oilers have three centres. Nugent-Hopkins, McDavid, and Draisaitl. Andrew Shaw is icing when the Oilers still have no cake…i.e. no D.

  21. Ducey says:

    PLD is 12 7 5 12 in the playoffs. He has 3 G and 1 A on the PP. No contributions to EN.

    His team has gone 7 – 6 and scored 34 goals (London has 77!). I can’t see any pattern as to who might be zooming who or even who PLD’s line mates are (I also didn’t look that hard). PLD is 5th in scoring on this team. The leader has 16 points.

    I am not sure who will be better between PLD and MT but PLD is living in a different world as far as teams and teammates.

  22. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    speeds:

    Yes, we have a representative from Denmark in the fold. “It is I! Patrick the Dane!”

    Where are Rosencrantz and Guildenstern when you need them?

  23. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    godot10: The Oilers have 2 proven NHL top 4D.Trading good D prospects for forwards when you have only two defensemen is not a good idea.Typically, because of injuries, one needs to use nine or ten D per season.

    The Oilers have three centres.Nugent-Hopkins, McDavid, and Draisaitl.Andrew Shaw is icing when the Oilers still have no cake…i.e. no D.

    Also, what’s with all the Andrew Shaw love of late. 1 year ago people were talking about how he was an overpaid checking C and Chicago would try to dump him if there were any takers. Now he had one okay stretch and people want to trade Reinhart for him?

    This isn’t a criticism of anyone. I just want to understand what has happened to change the narrative on this player so much?

  24. Ducey says:

    speeds: Patrick Russell

    Southpaw hating LT should be happy. A RW.

    41g 20 21 41. Only two years of college. Didn’t blow away the USHL (49 pts in 55 games) three years ago. 6’1″ 205. 23 yrs old. Born in Denmark.

  25. godot10 says:

    NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”: Yes, we have a representative from Denmark in the fold. “It is I! Patrick the Dane!”

    Where are Rosencrantz and Guildenstern when you need them?

    Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are dead! -).

  26. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    godot10: Rosencrantz and Guildenstern are dead! -).

    Thank you for noticing my set-up for that one and taking it; then again I should have expected nothing less from a thespian!

  27. Chachi says:

    rickithebear,
    Who ever posted “one of these does not belong”

    That was me!

    I do not understand most of what you post and I am certain that there must be some gold in the mountains of junk that you post. If I ever discover the Rosetta Stone that allows me to interpret your posts without getting a migraine I am sure I would have a great appreciation for your work.

    However, in my opinion when you post that “Rhett Warner one of the best defenders of the HSCA area in playoffs” what I understand is that there is some small connection to reality that you have lost which allows things like this to slip into your posts. Rhett Warrener was not one of the best defenders in any area ever and if your model is spitting out his name you should stab your model, shoot it, poison it, wrap it up in a chain and dump it into the middle of a lake because it is a bad bad bad model.

  28. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    And yes we have Shakespeare and Tom Stoppard references in a thread called “Poetry in Motion”

  29. Ducey says:

    From http://www.sbncollegehockey.com/2016/3/9/11182480/top-nhl-free-agent-prospects-in-the-ncaa?_ga=1.171563302.747160584.1462810350

    Russell is #6, Ellis is #5, Caggiula is #15

    Russell is a big bodied power forward that excels in the offensive zone. He’s not a fantastic skater, but his ability to move his feet and find open space in tough areas in front of the net make him a dangerous offensive threat. He has improved in his second season to become a more well-rounded player, by becoming better defensively and playing on the penalty kill for St. Cloud State.

  30. Ca$h-McMoney! says:

    Ducey:
    PLD is 12 7 5 12 in the playoffs. He has 3 G and 1 A on the PP. No contributions to EN.

    His team has gone 7 – 6 and scored 34 goals (London has 77!). I can’t see any pattern as to who might be zooming who or even who PLD’s line mates are (I also didn’t look that hard). PLD is 5th in scoring on this team. The leader has 16 points.

    I am not sure who will be better between PLD and MT but PLD is living in a different world as far as teams and teammates.

    I’m really nervous about MT.

    The gap in talent at the junior level can sometimes be staggering. Playing on a line like that… it’s not just Marner, it’s Dvorak too. Add that to the team’s reputation for saturating minutes for their top line.

    The Hurricanes for example were a high scoring team this year, and were led by a very good top few players in Burke, Wong, and Estephan. Excellent line at the junior level. Elite really by any metric.

    A line like that doesn’t hold a candle to Marner/Dvorak. Both those guys are certified too good for junior and it shows.

    Not to say MT isn’t a good player. Rather, I just think it creates far too much uncertainty. I’d rather take PLD or a Dman.

  31. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    Chachi:
    rickithebear,
    Who ever posted “one of these does not belong”

    That was me!

    Rhett Warrener was not one of the best defenders in any area ever and if your model is spitting out his name you should stab your model, shoot it, poison it, wrap it up in a chain and dump it into the middle of a lake because it is a bad bad bad model.

    “That was me!” Might as well have been “It is I!” Golden opportunity missed.

    As for the rest? Sounds like “Something is rotten in the State of Denmark” (or you say, in ricki’s model)

  32. jonrmcleod says:

    The Oilers have now signed 3 of the top 15 NCAA free agents on this list:

    http://www.sbncollegehockey.com/2016/3/9/11182480/top-nhl-free-agent-prospects-in-the-ncaa

  33. RPG says:

    Chachi: I do not understand most of what you post

    THIS! I can’t figure them out either. I’d love to understand them, but I’d likely have an easier time with Egyptian hieroglyphics.

  34. Chachi says:

    NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”: “That was me!” Might as well have been “It is I!” Golden opportunity missed.

    Guess I could have gone with “It wasn’t me” – Shaggy.

  35. Woodguy says:

    dustrock: I wonder how much difference having a different/better system makes – you’d probably have to ask a coach or former player.

    Meaning, is Barrie (and all of the Colorado D) particularly bad at preventing shots against, or is Roy simply a terrible coach who doesn’t have a good system?

    If Barrie comes here with McLellan’s (theoretically) better coaching, does his CA improve?

    As I state in the piece, that is why I use relative measures, so it removes the coaching bias.

    Even on a shit team like COL I expect the better players to have better relative measures like Barrie does with CF/60

    I agree that if the instructions to all the Dmen is “back up from the blue line to goal line” then it might be tough to stand out CA/60-wise

  36. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    RPG,

    Maybe a key would help:
    HSCA: high danger scoring chances against (aka “box protection” ability as ricki calls it)
    207D: number of D in the study is 207
    EVTOI: even strength time on ice, next to that he has the rank out of survey
    # comp faced: rank for quality of opposition faced. Bigger number means more sheltered. Smaller number means playing more tough situation
    PKTOI: penalty killing time on ice (Barrie doesn’t PK so he doesn’t qualify)
    PKGA: penalty killing goals against
    EVP/60: even strength points per 60 minutes

    Ricki doesn’t use prose but he is understandable once you get used to him.

  37. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    Chachi: Guess I could have gone with “It wasn’t me” – Shaggy.

    From Shakespeare to Shaggy. I think we’ve covered all the poets- at least all those that fall in the range of Shag-Shak

  38. russ99 says:

    Alright! The Oilers signed my brother.

    Well, some Danish guy who has the same name as my brother. LOL

  39. Ducey says:

    Patrick Russell Sophomore 41 20 21 41

    Mark Jankowski Senior 38 15 25 40

    Russell is a year older, but still, one is a UFA pick up, the other a 1st rounder (21st overall).

  40. TeeVee says:

    russ99:
    Alright! The Oilers signed my brother.

    Well, some Danish guy who has the same name as my brother. LOL

    Your name is Russ Russell? Well done to your parents.

  41. fifthcartel says:

    I’m not sure if Snow has as much leverage with Hamonic wanting to go closer to home. It’s been talked about it being a family issue and I’m guessing his agent would want to make sure it happens this off season and not have to go through this same song and dance again next season.

    Snow doesn’t have to trade him, but not trading him because of a family issue would look pretty bad on Snow and the Islanders. I feel like this is the reverse of the Boychuk trade, except now Chiarelli has the upper hand and will get a pretty solid deal. I don’t think they get more than fair value despite what Snow may want.

  42. Chachi says:

    NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”:
    RPG,

    Maybe a key would help:
    HSCA: high danger scoring chances against (aka “box protection” ability as ricki calls it)
    207D: number of D in the study is 207
    EVTOI: even strength time on ice, next to that he has the rank out of survey
    # comp faced: rank for quality of opposition faced. Bigger number means more sheltered. Smaller number means playing more tough situation
    PKTOI: penalty killing time on ice (Barrie doesn’t PK so he doesn’t qualify)
    PKGA: penalty killing goals against
    EVP/60: even strength points per 60 minutes

    Ricki doesn’t use prose but he is understandable once you get used to him.

    So what is the Bear to English prose translation of “Rhett Warrener”

  43. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    Chachi: So whatis the Bear to English prose translation of “Rhett Warrener”

    I think as I said, “Something’s rotten in the State of Demnark.”

  44. John Chambers says:

    Woodguy:
    I wonder if TOR would do Bozak for Yak and Korpse?

    I don’t think I could abide that.

    Rather than package Yakupov as part of a salary dump, I’d like to see the Oilers run:
    Hall – Nuge – Ebs (the line from the Kruger days)
    Maroon – McD – Yak

    At worst Yak will put up .6 ppg on McD’s wing and could be traded later for something more useful. At worst he finds his game and we own another young highly-talented RW.

    Chiarelli spoke at the year-end presser about how Yak is still very young and I think we should let him play in a spot where he’s likely to have some success.

  45. John Chambers says:

    fifthcartel:
    I’m not sure if Snow has as much leverage with Hamonic wanting to go closer to home. It’s been talked about it being a family issue and I’m guessing his agent would want to make sure it happens this off season and not have to go through this same song and dance again next season.

    Snow doesn’t have to trade him, but not trading him because of a family issue would look pretty bad on Snow and the Islanders. I feel like this is the reverse of the Boychuk trade, except now Chiarelli has the upper hand and will get a pretty solid deal. I don’t think they get more than fair value despite what Snow may want.

    The Winnipeg Jets are very stingy financially and appreciate players who like playing there.

    I foresee them dangling Trouba but asking for Hamonic +

  46. G Money says:

    NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”: HSCA: high danger scoring chances against (aka “box protection” ability as ricki calls it)

    As I noted in my last critique of Ricki’s analyses, it aggravates me that he obsesses on the use of a single statistic as the only, or at least definitive, assessment of defensive value – but doesn’t even understand the statistic that he’s using.

    HDSCA does incorporate box protection into its arcane calculational milieu. It also incorporates a number of other things ‘outside the box’ (pun accidentally intentional … I hope this insight does not inspire rage).

    The way in which it is defined and calculated also creates data sample issues that need to be understood.

    To summarize: It’s important to understand what HDSCA is and does or does not tell you before adopting it wholesale. It’s a useful tool but far from the end all be all.

    [Side note: I’ve been mulling writing an article that explains as simply as I can the methodologies behind a number of ‘danger’ metrics, and what I believe to be the strengths and weaknesses of each. Would this be of interest?]

  47. Chachi says:

    NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”: I think as I said, “Something’s rotten in the State of Demnark.”

    I will henceforth refer to “Rhett Warrener” as “Rosencrantz Guildenstern”, the best damn defenseman ever!

  48. Gret99zky says:

    Lowetide wrote:

    I am hopeful the Oilers can acquire Travis Hamonic, but am not counting on it. Many posters feel the Islanders are between a rock and a hard place, and that Garth Snow will trade his defenseman for something less than full value. I suspect Snow will be very stubborn on getting more than value and the asking price may be so high Peter Chiarelli chooses to move on and find another solution. Seriously. There is no reason for Snow to make a fair deal when he can make a better one, and the pressure does not lie with him. As summer fades and his rights remain in Brooklyn, doubt that pushes a trade. Expect an unfair deal, or no deal at all. That is my guess.

    I agree, LT. I am not counting on it either.

    Snow should not have to lose value on a player because he has requested to be traded. Snow has a signed players contract and should not be doing Pete Chi any favours.

    Pete Chi should not have to overpay for an asset who has asked to be traded. Although there is certainly need (RHD) Chia should not be doing Snow any favours.

    We learned from the CFP request that moving an asset for less than full value is a BIG mistake.

    We learned that overpaying for an asset, for certain need, does not always produce the desired effect. (Reinhart)

  49. godot10 says:

    John Chambers: I don’t think I could abide that.

    Rather than package Yakupov as part of a salary dump, I’d like to see the Oilers run:
    Hall – Nuge – Ebs (the line from the Kruger days)
    Maroon – McD – Yak

    At worst Yak will put up .6 ppg on McD’s wing and could be traded later for something more useful. At worst he finds his game and we own another young highly-talented RW.

    Chiarelli spoke at the year-end presser about how Yak is still very young and I think we should let him play in a spot where he’s likely to have some success.

    So you are playing McDavid with no one who can make and take a pass through the neutral zone with speed and tempo. Yep…put a ball and chain on each leg. Opposition coaches and D will love you as you intend to make McDavid one dimensional and make him play away from his strength by playing a dump and chase game instead of playing to his strength off the rush.

    McDavid’s Corsi with Maroon was already 5% lower than with Pouliot (though still a small sample size).

    In the long run, Corsi tells a truer story than PDO (Maroon’s shooting percentage). Pouliot’s had about five seasons of consistent play. Maroon has yet to demonstrate any consistency.

  50. russ99 says:

    TeeVee: Your name is Russ Russell? Well done to your parents.

    Nope, the Russ is short for my last name. 🙂

    And the 99 was for Wayne, chosen in the early days of the internet on minicomputers. Well before 1999. 🙂

  51. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    G Money,

    I’ve got all the time in the world for ricki, 90% of the time. 😉

    I know you do, too. This place is colourful in part due to people like him. I think we all take him a bit too seriously sometimes, and I don’t mind the old bear calling everyone names for being less clever than he. It’s obvious to me it’s part of the character, like from “Cheers” or something, and that it’s not, with one or two possible exceptions over the course of many years, a personal attack.

    So, engage to a point, but if you find yourself getting too mad over it, then it’s time to take a deep breath, step away from the keyboard, and go for a walk.

    Now that guy who calls himself “Steve Smith,” however, that guy is nothing but trouble! 🙂

  52. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    godot10: So you are playing McDavid with no one who can make and take a pass through the neutral zone with speed and tempo.Yep…put a ball and chain on each leg.Opposition coaches and D will love you as you intend to make McDavid one dimensional and make him play away from his strength by playing a dump and chase game instead of playing to his strength off the rush.

    McDavid’s Corsi with Maroon was already 5% lower than with Pouliot (though still a small sample size).

    In the long run, Corsi tells a truer story than PDO (Maroon’s shooting percentage).Pouliot’s had about five seasons of consistent play.Maroon has yet to demonstrate any consistency.

    I am with you 100%, Rosencrantz. Or is it Guildenstern?

    Pouliot is the superior player to Maroon, and the superior option for McDavid’s wing. Maroon is a solid 3LW. Expecting that ridiculous shooting percentage to maintain is asking too much. Remember Draisaitl’s ridiculous hot “re-start” when he came back? It was predictable he would come back down to Earth, and he was playing with Hall and has oodles more skill than Maroon.

    Maroon is going to shoot closer to 10% next year, even on McDavid’s wing (let’s even say McDavid boosts his shooting percentage by 2 points and give him 12). He’s still going to be a 15-20 goal guy, realistically. And like he himself said, he needs to attach rockets to his skates.

    I like Maroon plenty–more so than Kassian based on last year’s body of work. But we shouldn’t be counting on him to be more than 3LW and the “move up” option when Pouliot gets hurt (as he usually does).

  53. Hockey Buddha says:

    Interesting if Caggiula turns up aces. Imagine being able to throw these three lines (or some variation of the sort) out at opponents?

    Caggiula-McDavid-Kassian
    Hall-Draisaitl-Yakupov
    Maroon-Nuge-Eberle

    I don’t know anything about the Patrick Russell signing from the NCHC’s St. Cloud State Huskies but, hey, free forward with size and decent numbers.

    Schultz is playing quite a few minutes in Pittsburgh these days. Good for him.

  54. Ducey says:

    John Chambers: I don’t think I could abide that.

    Rather than package Yakupov as part of a salary dump, I’d like to see the Oilers run:
    Hall – Nuge – Ebs (the line from the Kruger days)
    Maroon – McD – Yak

    At worst Yak will put up .6 ppg on McD’s wing and could be traded later for something more useful. At worst he finds his game and we own another young highly-talented RW.

    Chiarelli spoke at the year-end presser about how Yak is still very young and I think we should let him play in a spot where he’s likely to have some success.

    Yak is already speaking about the Oilers in the past tense.

    Yakkity Yak won’t come back.

  55. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    Ducey: Yak is already speaking about the Oilers in the past tense.

    Yakkity Yak won’t come back.

    Don’t be so sure. Chia has already made clear he has a minimum asking price for Yak. If no one meets it, he won’t trade him. He could be gone if someone is willing to pony up but otherwise he may be here next year.

  56. OilClog says:

    Hall/Nuge/Drai
    Maroon/McDavid/Ebs
    Perron/Shaw/Stempniak
    Hendricks/Lander/Khaira

    Perron will be coming in on the cheap, you can have Maroon and Perron for Pouliot money. Rid the team of Korp and Testtube.

    Klef/Vat.. Pouliot deal
    Sekera/Barrie
    Davidson/Gryba

    None of the 666 needs to be moved, Perron and Maroon for Pouliot money is a good trade off.

  57. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    OilClog,

    What are you trading to get Barrie?

    I liked Stempniak last summer and was banging the drum on him. I fear he may be overpriced this summer and want a multi-year deal–as he should, given the year he had. But I don’t see him being good value this summer because of it.

  58. Магия 10 says:

    NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”: I don’t mind the old bear calling everyone names for being less clever than he.

    Like Yogi sometime he’s so smart it hurts.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TmNNVOazkxs

  59. Oil2Oilers says:

    NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker": That’s not a lot of time and I have a ton of potential suggestions.
    1) How many times have you been to NYC?
    2) Do you like museums/performing arts?
    3) Are you mobile and able to walk around a lot?
    4) Do you care a lot about food?
    5) Are you on a tight budget or have a little bit to spend on unique experiences?

    Hi, thanks for the help. I have been to NYC once and my favorite thing was walking the Brooklyn bridge, up to the Skyline and back to mid town. So I am highly mobile, big city walks are a favorite.

    I don’t mind galeries and museums buy don’t like the Theater.

    I love food, all types.

    My budget is Fort McMurray based. So I am fortunate enough to have a few schekels in my pocket, but currently unsure how long the will have to streach.

    I was hoping to stay somewhere other than Midtown. Any neighborhoods you would recommend? I have heard of Chelsea and the Village but know nothing about them.

    Thanks again

  60. digger50 says:

    NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”:
    G Money,

    I’ve got all the time in the world for ricki, 90% of the time.

    I know you do, too. This place is colourful in part due to people like him. I think we all take him a bit too seriously sometimes, and I don’t mind the old bear calling everyone names for being less clever than he. It’s obvious to me it’s part of the character, like from “Cheers” or something, and that it’s not, with one or two possible exceptions over the course of many years, a personal attack.

    So, engage to a point, but if you find yourself getting too mad over it, then it’s time to take a deep breath, step away from the keyboard, and go for a walk.

    Now that guy who calls himself “Steve Smith,” however, that guy is nothing but trouble!

    NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”:
    G Money,

    I’ve got all the time in the world for ricki, 90% of the time.

    I know you do, too. This place is colourful in part due to people like him. I think we all take him a bit too seriously sometimes, and I don’t mind the old bear calling everyone names for being less clever than he. It’s obvious to me it’s part of the character, like from “Cheers” or something, and that it’s not, with one or two possible exceptions over the course of many years, a personal attack.

    So, engage to a point, but if you find yourself getting too mad over it, then it’s time to take a deep breath, step away from the keyboard, and go for a walk.

    Now that guy who calls himself “Steve Smith,” however, that guy is nothing but trouble!

    I enjoy the analytics as well, though much goes over my head. Last time I mentioned Hamonic, Ricki you responded with the goalie needing prison lube! Lol

    Anyway, perhaps after posting data, draw a conclusion for me. And on that note, just say who you’re top three d targets are! I would actually like to know who are your favorited. Also interested in if the data supports Davidson in top 4 role for next year.

  61. Магия 10 says:

    Oil2Oilers: I have been to NYC once and my favorite thing was walking the Brooklyn bridge, up to the Skyline and back to mid town.

    walking the Highline?

  62. Tarkus says:

    Buying bread from a man named Russell
    He was six-foot-one and full of muscle
    I said, “Do you speak-a my language?”
    He just smiled and gave me a Danish

  63. Ducey says:

    NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”: Don’t be so sure. Chia has already made clear he has a minimum asking price for Yak. If no one meets it, he won’t trade him. He could be gone if someone is willing to pony up but otherwise he may be here next year.

    What else would Chia say?

  64. VanIsleOil says:

    Tarkus:
    Buying bread from a man named Russell
    He was six-foot-one and full of muscle
    I said, “Do you speak-a my language?”
    He just smiled and gave me a Danish

    Living in a land over yonder
    Where men ski and women are blonder
    Can’t you hear,can’t you hear this kid Russell
    You better sign,you better sign these muscles.

  65. Centre of attention says:

    Drake will be at orientation/development camp with the other prospects.

  66. blainer says:

    Ducey: Yak is already speaking about the Oilers in the past tense.

    Yakkity Yak won’t come back.

    Thank you for saying this. It completely amazes me how many posters are continuing to post a mock line up with him included.

    He has made it quite clear he wants out and is expecting it. Now Chia may not find something right away but it will happen.

    I expect him traded in a package. One like the rumoured Pou and Yak for Vatenen.

  67. zatch says:

    VanIsleOil,

    Overall, I’ve been super impressed with Denmark’s model for going from no NHL players to multiple, and some good ones at that, in about a decade span. They largely did it by pushing higher end young guys to go to Sweden, and I believe some improvements at the grassroots level. I think of Norway and Poland as nations that have the potential to emulate that. Norway for sure.

  68. blainer says:

    NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”: Don’t be so sure. Chia has already made clear he has a minimum asking price for Yak. If no one meets it, he won’t trade him. He could be gone if someone is willing to pony up but otherwise he may be here next year.

    Maybe so but IMO this coach has shown his cards on this player and is not playing him in the top six when the team is healthy. Yak has experienced this from all of his coaches in this org…

    I expect if he is not traded he will not report and stay in Russia. Personally I think it is the correct play for him.. he needs a new coach and a fresh start. If I were him its what I would do.

    Now as I’ve said Chia might not get what he wants but just like snow he is not dealing from a position of strength. .. although Hamonic does have much more value even with the trade request.

  69. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    Oil2Oilers,

    Chelsea and the Village are excellent places to be.
    On a budget, I recommend staying at the Jane: http://www.thejanenyc.com/
    There are better options than this (bigger rooms, etc.) but those are going to be at generic Midtown chain hotels or be at boutique hotels that are far more expensive.

    The location of the Jane can’t be beat. It’s right across the street from the Hudson River-perfect for sunsets and is right in the heart of the West Village.
    I just looked this up online for you, but this weekend looks full. Might be worth calling anyway to see what’s available.

    If Manhattan is full–and it might be for a May weekend at this stage, you can try DUMBO (just on the other side of the Brooklyn Bridge). It’s a super quick subway ride across to Manhattan and as you experienced, there’s a lot going on over there by Brooklyn Bridge Park. And you can always take a water taxi across or walk the Bridge again if you are so inclined.

    Nu Hotel can be reasonable under certain circumstances.

    http://www.nuhotelbrooklyn.com/

    If not, try some others from this list:
    http://www.newyork.com/articles/hotels/10-surprisingly-cheap-hotels-in-new-york-city-29402/

    I agree with you that Midtown is boring. Note: There’s two parts to Chelsea, really. There’s north of 23rd St and there’s south of 23rd St. South of it is what you want. For example, Yotel is in a crap neighbourhood. Fine if you are going to MSG or Broadway, but since you are doing neither, it isn’t worth being all the way up there on the west side.

    Depending on where you wind up, I have various different suggestions for you.

    Weekend in Brooklyn:
    Smorgasburg: One of the best food fairs I’ve ever seen (and plenty more)
    http://www.smorgasburg.com/
    Note: Saturdays it’s at the Brooklyn Flea Market in Williamsburg (also cool if you are into that sort of thing), Sundays it’s at Brooklyn Bridge Park

    Best free views of Lower Manhattan:
    Staten Island Ferry:
    http://www.siferry.com/
    So you paid a little extra to stay in a decent hotel. Save your money and don’t go on the Circle Line, etc., but take the ferry to Staten Island and back. You’ll pass by Lady Liberty, but not stop, get views of the Verrazano Narrows Bridge (one the world’s longest suspension bridge), and then take it back to NYC. There isn’t a whole lot to do on Staten Island itself.

    Best $1 admission museum:
    The Metropolitan Museum of Art-
    What can anyone say about this place except that it is awesome. Admission is by donation. They recommend $25 for people who can afford it, but members and donors (of which I am one–and I never go since I don’t live there any more–support it so you can go in for as little as you like–and don’t feel bad about it, either.). It’s one of the world’s most famous, best museum for a reason. MoMA, the Whitney, Guggenheim are all great, too, but they are private and thus charge admissions. Museum of Natural History is fantastic, too, but if you’ve been to the Provincial Museum in YEG + Royal Tyrell Museum you kind of have a lot of this covered. So I’d lean to the Met
    http://www.metmuseum.org/

    Best places to get some drinks outside if the weather is good:
    Okay, NYC is the king of rooftop bars and patios so this can run from $3 beers to $20 cocktails.

    Young, cheap, cheerful–prepare to hang with a 20s-30s crowd:

    The Frying Pan– a tugboat moored in West Chelsea around 27th St on the Hudson River:
    http://fryingpan.com/site/

    230 Fifth- one of the best views of the Empire State Building from its rooftop
    http://www.230-fifth.com/

    A little more upscale, boutique hotel bars:
    Spyglass at the Archer Hotel on 38th:
    http://archerhotel.com/new-york/spyglass

    And just down the block from it is Refinery’s rooftop
    http://www.refineryhotelnewyork.com/refinery-rooftop

    Both of those are just 4 blocks north of the Empire State and so you have some great views

    One more to consider is the McKittrick, especially if you wind up on the west side/Chelsea
    The Gallow Green is the name of the rooftop bar here. Note, you will see people lined up to see “Sleep No More” — the X-rated, full-frontal crazy MacBeth interpretation that goes on in the hotel. Don’t line up there, but look for the sign for the Gallow Green with an elevator right there.
    http://www.mckittrickhotel.com/gallow-green/

    This rooftop is beautiful for all the greenery there. You should get some killer eye candy there, if you are single.

    —-Best city view, paid:
    OK, if you’re going to go up one building to get a city view, it’s a tough choice. There’s the ESB, Freedom Tower, etc., but my money would go to the Top of the Rock (ie, Rockefeller Center). The great thing about that place is you can reserve your time slot in advance. So go get a ticket for a just-before-sunset time and watch the Golden Hour when the sun goes down and the neon of Broadway comes to life. The best part of being at the Top of the Rock is that you get views of the Chrysler, the Empire State, Central Park, and the Freedom Tower. If you’re atop the Empire State, you don’t get to see the Empire State (plus the lines!)

    —Cheap and cheerful in the West Village:
    Corner Bistro: get a Bistro Burger and a pint of McSorley’s (2.75) for under 10 bucks in a classic West Village watering hole. Then wander around the Village and explore. South of the Village is SoHo (once you get south of Houston (HOW-STON–Not Hugh-ston) street. North of the Village is Chelsea and Union Square

    —Outdoors with wine/beer and a burger in the park:
    Madison Square Park: 23rd St~28th st between Madison Av. and Broadway/Fifth Ave. There’s the world’s most famous Shake Shack there. Expect lines at busy times, but it moves quicker than you think. Sitting in the park with a burger and a brew, looking at the Flatiron Building and the Empire State is tough to beat. Right next to it is Eataly, as well—where you can eat from all kinds of different booths and drink while you shop for fine Italian groceries–a dangerously fun combination. The aforementioned 230 Fifth is in the Northwest corner of this park as well.

    And then of course, Central Park is really not to be missed. Here’s how I would do it. Take the subway up to Harlem (go to 110th St), get off and enter the park from Harlem Meer, on the Northeast Corner (5th Avenue and 110th St). Walk around that pond heading downtown from near 5th avenue (109th, 108th, 107th, etc) There’s a beautiful sunken rose garden. Keep going and you will get to the Onassis Reservoir. Walk a lap around that for killer Upper East Side views including the Guggenheim across the water. Walk on down to see the crowds at the Great Lawn. Here you can choose to go West Side towards “The Lake” and the Boathouse and see Strawberry Fields (John Lennon Memorial)–usually some nice performers here, or go East towards Bethesda Fountain (my personal choice would be this way) http://www.centralparknyc.org/things-to-see-and-do/attractions/bethesda-fountain.html?referrer=https://www.google.com/
    You will also walk past the Turtle Pond and Castle on this route, as well as the Met.

    Exit the park from the South end at 57th St, and head back down into Midtown.

    In fact, a really good half-day itinerary would be to start at the north end of the park (if you are feeling up for it on a Sunday, maybe the play is to get fried chicken and waffles for breakfast in Harlem)– http://www.timeout.com/newyork/restaurants/best-brunch-in-harlem
    Walk down the Park towards the Met by mid-morning in time just after opening. Spend an hour or two there (it gets really busy the later in the day you go)–check out the rooftop at the Met as well, then continue on south through the other parts of the Park–Bethesda, Turtle Pond, etc., exit from the South End and you’re in Midtown, ready to go back downtown for food or to Rockefeller Center, etc.

    ——–
    Speakeasy options
    Oh, since Speakeasy places are all the rage these days, I recommend a few:

    PDT: One of the classics–Walk into the Crif Dogs in the East Village, go to the phone booth, pick up the phone and ask if they have room for you.
    http://pdtnyc.com/

    Bathtub Gin: This one is in Chelsea and is a coffee shop with a bar hidden behind it:
    http://bathtubginnyc.com/

    Employees Only: This one is in the West Village: Look for the sign for the fortune teller in the window
    (The line kind of gives it away anyway)
    http://www.employeesonlynyc.com/ -the barmen here know what they are doing.

    Raines Law Room:
    http://www.raineslawroom.com/
    Their trick is to tell you they are full and have an hour+ wait. They expect you to give up. Don’t. Give them your phone number and hang out nearby. Expect a call within 20 minutes.

    If that kind of thing is too pretentious for you, and I totally get that—I am just listing this just in case, stick to the bars in the East Village area, as well as the student bars near Washington Square Park in Greenwich Village. The good thing here is all the comedy clubs, jazz bars, and cheap places to hang out because it’s at NYU campus.

    If you feel like you’ve had a rough go of things of late and want to treat yourself, for a truly special dinner in this area you won’t go wrong with Minetta Tavern: http://www.minettatavernny.com/

    If you feel like something a little different, I have 3 recommendations for you:
    1) Best provincial Brazilian cuisine–West Village: Casa
    It’s not meat on a sword here. It’s seafood stews and hand-made capirinhas in a beautiful, cozy, coveted block in the West Village: http://www.casarestaurant.com/

    2) Japanicized Italian food near Union Square: Basta Pasta
    http://www.bastapastanyc.com/ It’s very good, very reasonable, often very busy, but they have a great u-shaped counter bar at the entrance where it’s totally cool to eat solo.

    3) Japanese -Italian standing tapas bar: Bar B
    This is Basta’s spin-off. And for a cheap glass of vino and some delicious tapas, this is a good place to go. There are no seats, however. Lunch deals are good: I recommend the polpetta burger: a fried beef croquette patty.
    http://www.barbnyc.com/

    These are different from your average fare. In a good way. All except Minetta are cheap-reasonable. Minetta is anywhere from reasonable to expensive, depending on what you order. They have a famous Black Label burger that is pretty killer and you don’t have to spring for steak in this case.

    That should give you plenty to work with for one weekend but let me know if you have any other questions!

  70. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    Oil2Oilers,

    I replied but posted too many links. It’s awaiting moderation from LT. Sorry!

  71. Evilas says:

    I am in the trade Eberle bandwagon, but what if all the new additions are strictly UFA, I think this still makes the team significantly better, but alas I think trouble as it always does will come in the form of injury.

    I did it this way with the Draisaitl and McDavid contracts on the horizon, pushing down Nurse and Reinhart and to keep options open for the possible (inevitable – the 4th pick is very valuable because of this) expansion draft. Opinions?

    CapFriendly.com Armchair-GM User-Generated Roster

    FORWARDS:
    1st Line: Hall-RNH-Eberle 2nd Line: Poo- McD- Yak***
    3rd Line: Maroon-Drai-Stewart 4th Line: Caggiula###- Letestu-Pakarinen
    13th Fwd: Kassian

    DEFENSE:
    1st Pair: Klefbom- Demers 2nd Pair: Sekera- Fayne 3rd Pair: Davidson – K. Miller

    Insulative Pair: Adam Pardy – Zach Redmond

    GOALTENDER (2)
    C. Talbot – C. Johnson

    DETAILS
    Roster Size: 23 NHL Salary Cap: $74,000,000 LTIR: $3,250,000 (Ference)
    Cap Hit: $66,273,667 Cap Space: $7,726,333

    How I got here:
    UFA Signings:
    1. Jason Demers 5 x $5,500,000 2. Chris Stewart 3 x $2,150,000 3. Kevan Miller 2 x $975,000
    4. Adam Pardy 1 x $750,000 5. Zach Redmond 2 x $825,000 6. Chad Johnson, 2 x $1,500,000

    Trades (all minor, adding RHD to the organizational depth chart)
    1. Regner, B FLA for Korpikoski, L.
    2. Russo, R DET for Lander, A.
    3. Rights to Reece Scarlett NJD for Musil, D.
    4. 2016 6th round pick WSH for Hendricks, M.

    ***YES, I KNOW YAK will be traded….been hearing/anticipating/hoping for BIG trades and BOLD moves for how long now? I will remain skeptical until I see it.

    ### YES, I KNOW Cagguila is not expected to make this team, if not Cagguila insert Khaira or Salinen

  72. wheatnoil says:

    ******* SPAM *********

    For those interested, I took a look at how Oscar Klefbom did at Zone Exits and preventing controlled Zone Entries from a sample of games earlier in the year.

    http://www.theoilersrig.com/2016/05/zone-tracking-oscar-klefbom-dreamy/

    Thanks for allowing the sharing LT.

    ******* END SPAM ******

  73. blainer says:

    wheatnoil:
    ******* SPAM *********

    For those interested, I took a look at how Oscar Klefbom did at Zone Exits and preventing controlled Zone Entries from a sample of games earlier in the year.

    http://www.theoilersrig.com/2016/05/zone-tracking-oscar-klefbom-dreamy/

    Thanks for allowing the sharing LT.

    ******* END SPAM ******

    Man that was some really nice work. Jeebus can you imagine where we would be if this player was healthy this year.

    This player my friends is number 1 D in the making. If he can stay healthy watch out next year !!

  74. Pretendergast says:

    I hold no real bias for MT on that London line. He is incredibly successful on it.

    If my kid was going to be developed into a hockey player, the organizations I’d want them in would be London, then drafted by Detroit.

    Who wouldn’t want their first rounder playing obscene amounts of time per game in all situations next year?

    I think it’s the same fear like with Strome but he had a chance to shine away from Mcdavid.

  75. LadiesloveSmid says:

    wheatnoil,

    Puck retrievals under pressure is really interesting. Something I absolutely loved about Davidson this year, and HATED about Jultz and there’s why. Davidson over 2x as successful, and he’d look mad if he was unsuccessful even smacking his stick on the ice.

    Davidson shows really well, and really was just starting to hit his stride the most when he got injured. One of my favourite oilers already.

    Clendening definitely doesn’t look like he’s worth bringing back. Thought he was an interesting pick up at least, didn’t cost anything.

  76. Ducey says:

    Interesting article on the Islanders

    http://www.thehockeynews.com/blog/islanders-facing-a-lot-of-questions-after-meekly-bowing-out-of-playoffs/

    Posted here because of Hamonic.

    Seems Yak for Strome might make some sense.

    Maybe Musil for Scott Mayfield? I know nothing about him, but he seems to be a RH version of Musil, taken 3 picks after him.

    It helps to have a good arena. The Islanders internal cap and lousy set up is going to prevent them from building Cup contender. Losing Okposo is going to hurt and it doesn’t sound like the move to Brooklyn is going to attract any UFA’s.

  77. LadiesloveSmid says:

    blainer: Man that was some really nice work. Jeebus can you imagine where we would be if this player was healthy this year.

    This player my friends is number 1 D in the making. If he can stay healthy watch out next year !!

    Klefbom-Sekera-Davidson on the left side is one I’m very comfortable with.

    That right side is just damn atrocious. If Nurse gets you Hamonic I do that.

  78. Centre of attention says:

    Chiarelli sounds like he really likes Tkachuk on 630CHED. Mentioned trading down but staying in the range of #4-to-#9 “Some really good players in there” Mentioned Logan Brown by name, as well as the “few really good D that project top 4 or higher”

    “I’ve already had 4 or 5 teams call me already. I’ve made it known we would look to trade down if the right deal is there.” -Chia Pete

    Chia also mentioned he might be able to snag an NHL player as well as a pick in that range, or more picks instead. Mentioned the offers are getting better as we get closer to the draft.

    I think they move the pick IMO and either grab Brown or one of the three D as well as gather more assets whether thats an NHL player or more picks to stock the system.

    I could see the trade for a top 4 NHL D involving roster players and not the 4th overall. The movement of the pick will be more to do with the development of the prospect system and what direction they want to go there.

    just my 2 cents.

  79. Ducey says:

    Pretendergast:
    I hold no real bias for MT on that London line. He is incredibly successful on it.

    If my kid was going to be developed into a hockey player, the organizations I’d want them in would be London, then drafted by Detroit.

    Who wouldn’t want their first rounder playing obscene amounts of time per game in all situations next year?

    I think it’s the same fear like with Strome but he had a chance to shine away from Mcdavid.

    You better hope your kid is one of the top 3 offensive options on a London team, or he is going to do a lot of watching 🙂

    The problem is that these guys go down to normal minutes and have to play some defense in order to make the bigs. Gaudy London numbers don’t always translate well and should be discounted to some degree when measured against other teams.

    I have seem too many Schremps, Gagners and Kadri’s. Having said that Max Domi looks good. Pat Kane is alright.

    My worry would be that Marner is the guy stirring the drink.

  80. wheatnoil says:

    Centre of attention:
    Chiarelli sounds like he really likes Tkachuk on 630CHED. Mentioned trading down but staying in the range of #4-to-#9 “Some really good players in there” Mentioned Logan Brown by name, as well as the “few really good D that project top 4 or higher”

    “I’ve already had 4 or 5 teams call me already. I’ve made it known we would look to trade down if the right deal is there.” -Chia Pete

    Chia also mentioned he might be able to snag an NHL player as well as a pick in that range, or more picks. Mentioned the offers are getting better as we get closer to the draft.

    It’s always tough to tell with a veteran like Chia. This could all be angling, particularly that last part where he’s driving up the asking price by mentioning what he could get in a trade and how the offers are getting better. Meanwhile, he talks up the potential picks so that it’s clear he doesn’t mind staying and picking either so as not to lose bargaining power or lose face if the offers aren’t good enough he has to keep #4.

  81. Ca$h-McMoney! says:

    Evilas:

    ### YES, I KNOW Cagguila is not expected to make this team, if not Cagguila insert Khaira or Salinen

    Out of curiosity, why not just hang on to Hendricks for that last year? I know he’s a touch expensive, but he’s also basically the dad of the team. He’s been captain of the US national team 2 years in a row, that’s gotta mean something.

    I mean I don’t want him playing a feature role or anything, nor do I want to see a 5 year extension, but I’m not sure I’d dump him for nothing at this point.

  82. AsiaOil says:

    Sure I’d like me some Hamonic but I’m not going to let Snow screw us when he’s the guy with the problem. He has almost no deals – certainly not with WIN – as the only guy they deal is Trouba who is their #3RD. Why would they play Hamonic at #3RD? Answer – they won’t – and no other deals make sense for them. Only way we get Hamonic is if Snow accepts a RW (Eberle or Yak +) or in a 3 way deal with WPG and NYI. Hamonic to EDM, Trouba to NYI, Reinhart plus picks or prospects from EDM/NYI to even it up and make it worthwhile for WPG.

    If that doesn’t work then Demers (UFA), Vatanen and Severson. We have options and don’t need to be desperate to fix Snow’s problem. But we would be crazy to trade Pouliot for Vatanen as he’s a great match for CMD (vet, responsible, possession player). CMD can zoom anyone and I want a RW who actually possesses a one timer and is more responsible than Ebs (why waste CMD’s offense covering Ebs ass in the defensive zone).

    Nothing to do but wait for the deals. I’ve come to appreciate Demers during the playoffs which has also taken a bit of the shine off Hamonic who is a good defenseman but not worth blowing up you team to obtain.

  83. square_wheels says:

    Ducey,

    Or the big bodied, create space and possession kid is stirring the drink – we’ve all assumed the pint sized Marmer and the unheralded Dvorak stir the drink, but Keith’s kid could be the key driver in the O-zone.

    Do we trust Oiler scouts ??? That’s the million $$$ question.

  84. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    LT, are you around? Comment still in moderation. Thanks.

  85. LadiesloveSmid says:

    AsiaOil,

    Ladd seems like the only LW in free agency that could really replace Pouliot, and that seems like a stretch.

    You gotta wonder what’s better for the team, Maroon+Vatanen or Pouliot. Think Maroon was acquired for that reason, a filler for Pou making the arrangement a net positive. I really like Pouliot, very fun to watch, and does a ton of things well. I want him playing with McD for the next 3 years. Don’t know if PC does if Vatanen is available

  86. square_wheels says:

    Gret99zky,

    Hamonic – I ‘ve maintained from day 1 this whole trade request was a very bad call on his agents part. If there was a serious family issue (his wife or kid needs special medical treatment/education etc) then a GM would feel obliged to help.

    But Hamonic doesnt appear to have any of that in play. Yes, I know its a “private family matter”, but if it was an immediate dependent, even that cold blooded monster – Garth Snow, would make something work.

    This isnt the case though IMHO. This is a player that didn’t think about what it meant to sign a contract to play in NY and an agent that provided horrible advice.

    Snow trades him when there is a full overpay……which could be at the trade deadline in 2019.

  87. Alpine says:

    Centre of attention:
    Chiarelli sounds like he really likes Tkachuk on 630CHED. Mentioned trading down but staying in the range of #4-to-#9 “Some really good players in there” Mentioned Logan Brown by name, as well as the “few really good D that project top 4 or higher”

    “I’ve already had 4 or 5 teams call me already. I’ve made it known we would look to trade down if the right deal is there.” -Chia Pete

    Chia also mentioned he might be able to snag an NHL player as well as a pick in that range, or more picks instead. Mentioned the offers are getting better as we get closer to the draft.

    I think they move the pick IMO and either grab Brown or one of the three D as well as gather more assets whether thats an NHL player or more picks to stock the system.

    I could see the trade for a top 4 NHL D involving roster players and not the 4th overall. The movement of the pick will be more to do with the development of the prospect system and what direction they want to go there.

    just my 2 cents.

    We would have to get a substantial asset to move down from PLD to Brown. Brown has four inches on him and that’s it, PLD exceeds him as a player in every way. The extra asset they get from trading down will probably not help them win on 97’s ELC, nor will Brown. PLD might help in 2017, and will likely be better value on his ELC than anyone else picked after him.

  88. Alpine says:

    square_wheels:
    Ducey,

    Or the big bodied, create space and possession kid is stirring the drink – we’ve all assumed the pint sized Marmer and the unheralded Dvorak stir the drink,but Keith’s kid could be the key driver in the O-zone.

    Do we trust Oiler scouts ??? That’s the million $$$ question.

    Marner was scoring a crap ton before Tkachuk arrived, so I have my doubts about the first hypothesis being the case.

  89. Ca$h-McMoney! says:

    Alpine: Marner was scoring a crap ton before Tkachuk arrived, so I have my doubts about the first hypothesis being the case.

    Correct. And “unheralded Dvorak” was a second round pick 2 years ago.

  90. Centre of attention says:

    Alpine: We would have to get a substantial asset to move down from PLD to Brown. Brown has four inches on him and that’s it, PLD exceeds him as a player in every way. The extra asset they get from trading down will probably not help them win on 97’s ELC, nor will Brown. PLD might help in 2017, and will likely be better value on his ELC than anyone else picked after him.

    Agreed, and as we get closer the price will increase. This draft is going to be VERY interesting.

    My comments are what I think the Oilers will do, not what I would do.

    Though I can see a scenario where gathering a ‘quantity’ of assets rather than just retaining the one ‘quality’ 4th overall pick as being beneficial in the long run, especially if they can find value with the volume of picks they gather.

    I have a feeling the Defenders that come into the organization that will help the Oilers win, will be by trade of roster players. Moving the pick like I said has more to do with stocking up the system, which right now is in shambles.

  91. square_wheels says:

    Alpine: Marner was scoring a crap ton before Tkachuk arrived, so I have my doubts about the first hypothesis being the case.

    Ca$h-McMoney!,

    For the record, I have no desire to draft Keith’s kid. If he skates anything like his dad, the modern game isnt going to be kind to him. Speed is key, and as a skating aficionado Tkachuk is not a top 10 player.

  92. Younger Oil says:

    Brownlee with an article on ON today saying he’d trade Nuge, Hall, or the 4th OV as a part of a package for Hamonic. Ugh.

    This will be a very, very interesting summer. No idea what is going to happen.

  93. Evilas says:

    Ca$h-McMoney!,

    Ca$h-McMoney!,

    I love Hendricks, what a role model, what a warrior!

    But he is wearing down (he definitely lost at least a 1/2 step in the last 1/4) and rather than let him retire, get another bullet and give his spot to a developing player that could score 10 goals….

    He will likely be kept on though and unless he has lost a full step I would have no problem keeping him on. It would be amazing, if he is 100%, to see him lead by example with this group in the playoffs…

  94. square_wheels says:

    Younger Oil,

    Now that I think of it, I don’t ever recall being blown away by Hamonic. Not once, ever, did I say “that guy is such a good defender, wouldn’t it be great to see him here”.

    Davidson is as good already. Garth Snow doesn’t let him go without an overpay…….I thought we agreed we were done with this type of GM’ing ?

    Chia will go elsewhere for his RHD – book it.

  95. LadiesloveSmid says:

    Younger Oil,

    Brownlee’s Clarkson for Yakupov proposal after Yak’s rookie season was so awful I haven’t even looked at a blog of his since.

  96. LadiesloveSmid says:

    square_wheels,

    I’m thinking Vatanen is his guy.

  97. dustrock says:

    LT, Woodguy, et al:

    https://public.tableau.com/profile/stephen.burtch#!/vizhome/OHLQMJHLShooters/Sheet2

    Can apparently see shot chart for any player in the CHL.

    Sergachev and Chychrun get a shit-tonne of shots off.

  98. wheatnoil says:

    blainer: Man that was some really nice work. Jeebus can you imagine where we would be if this player was healthy this year.

    This player my friends is number 1 D in the making. If he can stay healthy watch out next year !!

    Thanks!

    Yeah, Klefbom was pretty impressive and surprisingly low event. Sometimes I’d track games and hardly notice him… but then I think that’s what makes him good.

  99. wheatnoil says:

    LadiesloveSmid:
    wheatnoil,

    Puck retrievals under pressure is really interesting. Something I absolutely loved about Davidson this year, and HATED about Jultz and there’s why. Davidson over 2x as successful, and he’d look mad if he was unsuccessful even smacking his stick on the ice.

    Davidson shows really well, and really was just starting to hit his stride the most when he got injured. One of my favourite oilers already.

    Clendening definitely doesn’t look like he’s worth bringing back. Thought he was an interesting pick up at least, didn’t cost anything.

    Yeah the sample size on Schultz was pretty small, so we’ll see if he gets a bit better as I get a few more games on him, but it’s clear that it’s not his strength. We all intuitively knew this, of course, but it’s nice to see the data backing it up.

  100. DavyNavy88 says:

    **SPAM for those willing to read the whole thing**

    A good friend, Micah Kowalchuk, who I believed has written a couple of articles at beerleagueheroes.com, has this propostion:

    Oh, and for fun, been working on a modified version of the NHLe pro-rating. I’ve heard people complain about it, how there’s no way to use it properly, and I did admit it has flaws.
    So, I figured I’d see what I could do to address them..

    When we look at a minor-league / junior league player like Drake Caggiula or Patrik Russell, there’s a formula called the NHLe calculated that’s supposed to pro-rate their performance.

    However, there’s three things it doesn’t factor. The first, quality of line mates. The second is the ice time the player gets. The third is how high up the depth chart they play. All three of these sort of weld themselves together.

    Now, looking at the Oilers, our 1C logged 19 minutes, our 2C logged 18 minutes, and our 3C logged 16 minutes. Top-6 wingers were around 18 minutes, and bottom-6 wingers were around 14 minutes.

    So, for both Drake and Patrik, they were top-line guys in the NCAA. The NHLe pro-rating is 1 NCAA point is .41 NHL points..

    Patrik: 17 points in 41 games (NHL converted), or 34 points a season (getting top-6 ice time).
    Drake: 21 points in 39 games (NHL converted), or 44 points a season (getting top-6 ice time).

    Now, we’re all figuring we see them on a 3rd line if they’re in the NHL. Our 3C gets 84% of the ice time our 1C does, and our bottom-6 wingers get 78% of the ice time the top-6 wingers get.
    So now:

    Patrik is 27 points in 82 games as a 3rd line winger based on TOI NHLe. This would still put him ahead of Pakarinen and Kassian based on their numbers last season, and would be in an acceptable range for a 3rd line winger.

    Drake is 37 points in 82 games as a 3rd line center based on TOI NHLe. Seeing as how Letestu managed 25 points in that role for the Oilers last season, this would also be an upgrade.
    Now, this still doesn’t account for quality of linemates and zone deployment, but we can guess it would be Pouliot-Caggiula-Russell as a potential 3rd line, so that would be enough skill we can consider this a wash. Zone deployments, also hard to tell, but this is my best shot. Junior hockey doesn’t track many of these stats..

    So there you have it Stats-fans, 27 points for Russell and 37 for Caggiula if we use them as 3rd liners next year.

    He’s the remaining factors I’m still considering:
    (1) Zone deployment, this isn’t tracked at the NCAA level, but we can assume the 3rd line will get less of an offensive zone push than a Top-6 spot, so that would probably trend their numbers down. (
    2) Quality of linemates is an odd one. If you reverse NHLe Pouliot, he’d have put up 72 points in the NCAA in a 41 game season, which would have led the NCAA, so if he’s their 3rd line LW, he’s better caliber than anyone they played with. So I’m thinking we can just ignore quality of linemates in the overall statistics, when they did the stats calculation this was likely already addressed..
    (3) Age of the players and overall physical development, but this is also less of an issue with an older NCAA prospect..

    So really, the only other major variable would be the zone deployment effect. If the NCAA guy goes to the NHL and plays in a Top-6, the NHLe would be pretty accurate. If he’s in the bottom-6, the lower TOI (which I’ve now accounted for) and the worse zone starts (which I’m not sure how to calculate) are what would lower the NHLe

    ***END SPAM***

    pretty in depth look from Micah id say. perhaps you stats fellows here can further this 😉

  101. Jethro Tull says:

    Younger Oil:
    Brownlee with an article on ON today saying he’d trade Nuge, Hall, or the 4th OV as a part of a package for Hamonic. Ugh.

    This will be a very, very interesting summer. No idea what is going to happen.

    On the whole, Brownlee’s articles are usually pretty good.

    However, every so often, he pushes the big red self-destruct button, then threatens his readership with bans if they disagree with him. The latest prohibited words you can’t say on a Brownlee thread; ‘wowzers’ and ‘check your facts’)

    But if he’s reading here, Hall straight across for Hamonic should have you loaded into the LT trebuchet and fired into the sun via the bog of eternal stench. That’s Tambo level GMing.

    LadiesloveSmid:
    Younger Oil,

    Brownlee’s Clarkson for Yakupov proposal after Yak’s rookie season was so awful I haven’t even looked at a blog of his since.

  102. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    DavyNavy88:

    2) Quality of linemates is an odd one. If you reverse NHLe Pouliot, he’d have put up 72 points in the NCAA in a 41 game season, which would have led the NCAA, so if he’s their 3rd line LW, he’s better caliber than anyone they played with. So I’m thinking we can just ignore quality of linemates in the overall statistics, when they did the stats calculation this was likely already addressed..

    Huge flaw here in your methodology. This doesn’t take into account the quality of opposition. Just because Pouliot is better than Boeser and Schmaltz and whomever Russell played with currently doesn’t mean that you “can just ignore quality of linemates” because the opposition they face in the NHL is going to be of a much higher current ability than the players they played against in college.

  103. Lowetide says:

    NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”:
    LT, are you around? Comment still in moderation. Thanks.

    I saw it, and posted. Had a lot of of links, but lordy what great info. I want to go now!

  104. AsiaOil says:

    The emergence of Davidson has really solidified our LHD and created a logjam that we have to resolve.

    Klef
    Sekera
    Davidson
    Nurse/Reinhart

    That’s a really nice left side but it’s an absolute desert over on the right side:

    xxx
    xxx
    Fayne/Gryba
    Oesterle

    One of the young guys (GR/Nurse) has to be traded for a RHD – and that’s why WPG is such a good trade partner either directly or in a 3 way with NYI. Trouba is RFA and is about to become an unacceptably expensive 3RD. Pus WPG has little on LHD and could use help there. Reinhart plus or Nurse straight across for Trouba or Hamonic (3 way) makes a lot of sense in terms of asset use and balance. If we got Trouba or Hamonic using primarily one of the young LHD – then we could either sign Demers or trade a forward like Eberle to ANA for Vatanen.

    Another way to skin the cat is to dealthe #4 pick for a quality RHD/RW. Call me crazy – but I would deal #4 and Fayne to NASH for Ellis and Smith if NAS was willing. We are instantly a better team down the right side which is an area of weakness (both wing and defense). Sign Eriksson as UFA RW and we still have Eberle/Yak and one of the young LHD as tradable assets for another RHD and a 3rd line C. Lots of options so we should not be fixated on any one guy like Hamonic.

  105. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    Lowetide,

    Thank you, good sir. Sorry about all the links. We still need to make that happen (maybe we can time a trip for when the Oilers play some combo of NYI, NJD, NYR, PHI on the same road trip). All are within an hour and a half of Manhattan.

  106. Oil2Oilers says:

    NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”,

    Thanks this a very comprehensive list. I will aim for Chelsea as a place to stay. I am still waiting on the airline to confirm my change, the original flight is from Glasgow to Fort McMurray the tomorrow.

    I will study your advice and might perster you more when I know where I have secured lodging.

  107. Well Oiled and Enthusiastic says:

    Just for some context on Garth Snow and his personal circumstances, if the Isles turf again in the playoffs next year, does Snow survive? I read lots of Garth is going to hold out and get the overpay, but he is in ‘win now’ mode with the Isles and how does that affect his roster decision making on a key player like Hamonic expressing publicly he needs to leave. I imagine the pressure valve got screwed a little tighter on Snow this past week.

  108. Ca$h-McMoney! says:

    Well Oiled and Enthusiastic,

    That was their first playoff series win in 23 or so years. I can’t imagine he’s in that much trouble.

    Granted they shouldn’t have won but for a complete disregard for the rules of the game based on the time of day and the position of the moon relative to Jupiter… but that’s another issue altogether.

  109. rickithebear says:

    Chachi: So whatis the Bear to English prose translation of “Rhett Warrener”

    30 shots in a game.
    15 low chance shots in the perimeter resulting in
    15% of even goals generated.

    8 medium chance Shots from the slots and edge of circles; depending on definition:
    resulting in 32% of even goals.

    7 High chance shots from box area resulting in
    53% of Even shots.

    You want d that that keep shots out of the High danger chance area.

    there are 207 D with 450 Even minutes this year.
    Dmen #1 to #7

    the top 20 HSCA D in the game are 7.60 to 9.00

    the bottom 15 HSCA D in the game are 14.16 to 12.75
    the bottom 60 often generate EVGA/60 worse than the best EVGF/60 forwards in the game.

    Plus giving up 42% more scoring chances than the best in the game were 85% of goals come from is a real bad thing.

    when looking at the oilers since 07-08 we see a lot of 11.75 or way worse.

    this year we had 3 of the 8 worst in the game:
    Nurse; Reinhart; Gryba.

    so we have been a deteam giving up a lot of GA with no ability to win!

    Now we have 2 top 60 HSCA D
    Klefbom and Davidson.
    with the need for 2 more:
    K. Miller
    and
    Brodin????????

    That gives us 6 D with a history of Strong HSCA facing Mid 2nd comp at least.

    That is why I lothe and shake my head loathe.

    We get a lot suggesting players like Barrie; Faulk; … players like the mobile oilers D of the 80’s “these old Farts” 😉 remember being successful.
    However now adays the best in the game who get to the conf finals are Deep in HSCA D and have good HSCA save% goalie with at least 2 lines of strong Even goal scoring forwards.

    MacT arranged Talbot for us. one of the 7 best golaies in the HSCA area.

    Tambo drafted us Klefbo and Davidson.

    tambo and MacT got us:
    Eberle
    Hall
    RNH
    Pouliot
    Draisatl
    Mcdavid
    Some great Depth.

  110. Woodguy says:

    dustrock:
    LT, Woodguy, et al:

    https://public.tableau.com/profile/stephen.burtch#!/vizhome/OHLQMJHLShooters/Sheet2

    Can apparently see shot chart for any player in the CHL.

    Sergachev and Chychrun get a shit-tonne of shots off.

    Thanks for that.

    What you need to remember with London Knights is TOI.

    I was listening to Stauffer the other day and he was interviewing (I think) the Niagara coach.

    The Coach mentioned “The Knights play that line (Dvorak-Marner-Tkachuk) for 2 minutes per shift and every second shift. We’ll change at least once when that line is on the ice”

    Lots of shots are good, but when you don’t have shots/60 be careful of coming to conclusions.

  111. AsiaOil says:

    rickithebear,

    Honestly Ricki – I enjoy your stuff but this “tambo and MacT got us” stuff is ridiculous. They “got us this stuff” by being utterly incompetent and it’s not some thing to be proud of or puffed up as a positive. They were a big part of arguably the worst mgmt group in NHL history.

  112. Jethro Tull says:

    rickithebear: tambo and MacT got us:
    Eberle
    Hall
    RNH
    Pouliot
    Draisatl
    Mcdavid
    Some great Depth.

    Not one of those players was traded for.

    Pou was UFA.

    The rest we got through suckage and luckage.

    Not a great plan.

  113. Ca$h-McMoney! says:

    Woodguy,

    Yup.

    Teenage energy is a real thing.

    I swear Adam Brooks in Regina was the same. Sure seemed like he was pushing up on half the game.

  114. Ducey says:

    Jethro Tull: On the whole, Brownlee’s articles are usually pretty good.

    However, every so often, he pushes the big red self-destruct button, then threatens his readership with bans if they disagree with him. The latest prohibited words you can’t say on a Brownlee thread; ‘wowzers’ and ‘check your facts’)

    But if he’s reading here, Hall straight across for Hamonic should have you loaded into the LT trebuchet and fired into the sun via the bog of eternal stench.That’s Tambo level GMing.

    With his level of anger/ thin skin/ grumpy old man syndrome he is doing more harm than good to that site.

  115. Water Fire says:

    square_wheels:
    Younger Oil,

    Now that I think of it, I don’t ever recall being blown away by Hamonic. Not once, ever, did I say “that guy is such a good defender, wouldn’t it be great to see him here”.

    Davidson is as good already. Garth Snow doesn’t let him go without an overpay…….I thought we agreed we were done with this type of GM’ing ?

    Chia will go elsewhere for his RHD – book it.

    I’ve been watching Hamonic and what I’ve seen is Fayne with 10 lbs and attitude. At the right price yes but not for an overpay.

    I think also Davidson does the same job and hss about the same offense at this point, the kicker being a left shot. Maybe the team is further ahead running Fayne Sekera and Klef Demers or the like until something better comes up and keep the powder dry while the cap space allows the luxury.

  116. Showerhead says:

    NYCOIL “Gentleman Backpacker”,

    This is a wonderful post and, as an avid traveler who’s never been to NYC, I’ve saved it for my own reference. Thank you for taking the time!

  117. Well Oiled and Enthusiastic says:

    Ca$h-McMoney!,

    I believe the pressure to win is immense and nobody is comfortable in their roles if winning isn’t happening. Snow has been at it a decade now and the ownership is changing. The track record of success has not been stellar. I just don’t believe he has an advantage in leverage if (and its a big ‘if’) Hamonic is really determined to move west. I don’t anticipate an overpay for Hamonic. This kind of public posturing by players often doesn’t work in the GM’s favor. Fair value in a trade…..a good chance, But overpay? That’s tougher for Snow.

  118. NYCOIL "Gentleman Backpacker" says:

    Showerhead,

    No worries! There is much more to it than what I posted as well, of course. This was just a 3-day weekend type edition.

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