G14 2016-17: OILERS AT PENGUINS

Tonight will be billed as McDavid versus Crosby, but I am looking forward to seeing the gap between the two teams. Pittsburgh has a slight edge in even-strength stats (50.5 percent in 5×5 shots for, Edmonton 50.2) but it is not a runaway train. We are not yet (20 games) at a point where we can trust the overalls, but the trends are encouraging in some areas (5×5 possession) and discouraging in others (5×5 scoring on skill lines, power play prowess). A long road trip ends tonight, and a win would make this a wildly successful November trip.

CALL OUT THE INSTIGATORS, YEAR OVER YEAR

  • Oilers in October 2015: 4-8-0, goal differential -7
  • Oilers in October 2016: 7-2-0, goal differential +10
  • Oilers in November 2015: 4-7-2
  • Oilers in November 2016: 2-1-1 goal differential -2
  • Oilers after 13, 2015: 5-8-0, goal differential -5
  • Oilers after 13, 2016: 9-3-1, goal differential +8

One year ago, Edmonton lost (at Rexall) 2-1 to these Penguins. Pittsburgh has depth, quality and they are coming off a 5-0 lashing of the San Jose Sharks—in San Jose. If this was last year, I would mention something about a test this team wasn’t up to, hey maybe the Oilers get fed just like the Sharks did the other night. Edmonton’s weekend gives them a little breathing room either way, but two points banked tonight would be further evidence of a strong turn north this season.

DEFENSE, AFTER 13

defense-after-13

  • All numbers via NaturalStatTrick.
  • Klefbom-Larsson is emerging as a strong pairing, but will be tested in a big way tonight. Klefbom (0.54) and Larsson (0.51) are not ripping it up offensively at 5×5—that isn’t their gift—but the pairing is emerging as a trustworthy duo for Todd McLellan.
  • Nurse—Gryba are a solid third pairing and are playing opposition at par this year—and give the club some real depth this season. Nurse (0.61) and Gryba (0.00) are not 5×5 scoring monsters nor should we expect it. This is a pairing devoted to leather over lumber. I like their performances in recent games.
  • Sekera—Russell (and Benning) are the most offensive defensemen at 5×5. Sekera (0.87) and Russell (0.93) are delivering well and Matt Benning (1.15) is off to hot start. This pairing is struggling in possession, and for me (I like my CorsiRel) this is going to be an issue as time goes on.
  • 5X5 starts via the always brilliant Stats.HockeyAnalysis.com.

CORSI REL, AFTER 13 (BLUE)

  1. Oscar Klefbom 2.8
  2. Darnell Nurse 1.8
  3. Eric Gryba 1.8
  4. Adam Larsson 0.5
  5. Kris Russell -4.2
  6. Andrej Sekera -4.8
  7. Source

We are not yet at 20 games, but the evidence continues to pour in. CorsiRel is my defensive measure of choice, and it is (so far) smiling about Klefbom, Nuge and Gryba, and frowning on that Russell-Sekera pairing. We can argue it, and maybe Matt Benning saves the day, but counting on rookies is a bad idea.

FORWARDS, AFTER 13

forwards-after-13

  • The McDavid and Nuge lines are winning the HDSC game, and Leon’s trio should be. One thing these numbers do not show? The 4line’s impact offensively.
  • Connor McDavid is running at a 54 percent Corsi with Milan Lucic, 44 percent without—early days mind, and I think Patrick Maroon is capable of cashing those 97 passes.
  • Leon Draisaitl is a little shy in the HDSC’s and for me his WOWY performances away from Patrick Maroon should be stronger. It is silly to call Leon a disappointment, but Edmonton needs him to gobble up those soft minutes and deliver 5×5 offense.
  • Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Benoit Pouliot go together like peanut butter and jam, really good numbers and Zack Kassian has been a solid addition to the line as well.

5×5/60, AFTER 13 (FORWARDS)

forwards-scoring-after-13

  • This is a somewhat remarkable list. Source
  • Tyler Pitlick is scoring at a 2.62/60 rate and has a shooting percentage of 21 percent. This is unsustainable for sure—I do like the fact he is shooting a lot, though. His shot tends to produce rebounds. Hang in there young man!
  • Mark Letestu has a shooting percentage of 22.2 percent, and he isn’t going to be at this end of the chart by season’s end.
  • Connor McDavid is down drastically from a year ago and the Oilers are 9-3-1. He was 2.69 and 7.10 last season, betcha by golly wow that 5×5/60 number spikes and right soon.
  • Milan Lucic and Jordan Eberle are underperforming, but it is important to recognize how early we are in the process. As a for instance, if he had one more 5×5 point, his number would be 1.56—these are early days and we will have to give this team a little more time to establish itself.
  • The encouraging thing, as mentioned above, is the team’s record depite the low numbers here for the McDavid line and Draisaitl line.
  • These are five-by-five numbers and do not include empty netters.

TOTAL RECALL

The Penguins have called up Steve Oleksy and Chad Ruhwedel for tonight, one is an enforcer and the other is a puck mover. Teams have been trying to cut off lanes and momentum against McDavid on this road trip, and he has been relatively quiet in the last five games (0-2-2). All that really means is that his breakout is imminent and perhaps we get a taste of it tonight. His wingers really need to cash some of the myriad 5×5 chances.

SCHEDULE

After tonight’s game against the Penguins, Edmonton comes home to play Dallas on Friday and the Rangers on Sunday. Next week is going to be a tough one—road games in Anaheim, Los Angeles and Dallas. As good as the current record looks, I think six points in those six games should be regarded as a solid return.

RETURNING?

Rumblings about Jesse Puljujarvi or even Drake Caggiula playing soon, it will be fascinating to see who comes out when everyone is healthy. Taylor Beck can be returned and I do think Anton Slepyshev gets sent out when Caggiula is activated. The big decision will come when it is time for Matt Hendricks to be activated—Tyler Pitlick and Anton Lander have set up shop on the 4-line (with Mark Letestu) and I think it would take a prolonged slump by team and player for Todd McLellan to hit shuffle.

There was a time when Raimo Summanen was regarded as a big time option for 99 on LW, and this would have been during that time. One thing we should watch for when this Caggiula fellow finally makes his debut: Chemistry with the big talent. If he could slide in and contribute with any of the three tenors, Edmonton has an inexpensive and productive offensive option. It is a big damned deal, that next Summanen. Not all of them become impact solutions for five years, but even a strong run in-season can make a big difference.

LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE

A fun show, beginning at 10 on TSN 1260. Scheduled to appear:

  • Jonathan Willis, Oilers Nation. Sid vs. Connor is the major story, what will Jon be looking for?
  • Corey Graham, Oil Kings PBP. He is calling the Canada-Russia game tonight at Rogers Place, we will test him on Russian names.
  • Scott Cullen, TSN. Where do the Oilers place in his power rankings? Is this team turning true north? Plus CFL playoffs.
  • Frank Seravalli, TSN. Bonus Frank! The big game tonight in Pittsburgh, linear crossovers.

10-1260 text, @Lowetide on twitter. See you on the radio!

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459 Responses to "G14 2016-17: OILERS AT PENGUINS"

« Older Comments
  1. LadiesloveSmid says:

    OK, I’ll shut up

  2. spoiler says:

    LadiesloveSmid:
    Eerily like the rangers game, what a gong show.

    Play 60 fucking minutes, embarrassing

    They lost on a bad bounce with a minute to go, but they didn’t play 60?

    Jesus, man.

  3. littleenglish says:

    3-1 lead is the worst lead in sports.. Just ask the Indians. Good try boys

  4. GMB3 says:

    Laine with another trick. Would of been nice to snag him (lol)

  5. Zelepukin says:

    Against the Stanley Cup Champions, at home.

  6. SayItAin'tSo, Gretz, SayItAin'tSo! says:

    LadiesloveSmid,

    It is a moral victory. Winning goal was an own goal, shit happens, I ain’t standing in front of a zamboni in sorrow because they took the Cup champs to the 58th minute on the last night of a 5 game road trip where they lost three guys to injuries with one bouncing back for this game and looking good.

    Calm down, have a beer and get psyched for the Dallas game mate

  7. Side says:

    Man! The Oilers played a pretty good game against the Defending Stanley Cup Champion Penguins and Eberle and McDavid were lighting it up!

    Then the Penguins got a lucky bounce and won.

    God the Oilers are so terrible!

  8. --hudson-- says:

    Another entertaining game! Progress!

  9. SK Oiler Fan says:

    Last 3 pens goals required some fortunate bounces. But I’d you put enough pucks to the net you’ll get some of those

  10. VanIsleOil says:

    littleenglish:
    3-1 lead is the worst lead in sports.. Just ask the Indians. Good try boys

    or the Warriors. Fun game to watch, good road trip overall…

  11. Crazy Pedestrian says:

    Man is pouliot having a (mostly) bad season… no luck (or just bad luck) and possession stats are diving…

  12. spoiler says:

    Zelepukin:
    Against the Stanley Cup Champions, at home.

    Game 5 of a road trip that featured a back-to-back. I will cut them some.

  13. ashley says:

    Another own goal by 67. I know, just bad luck. You can’t help plays like that. Sometimes you just score on your own net and that’s the way it goes. Some guys score on their own net quite a bit. Unlucky.

    Again.

  14. Chamucks says:

    Like the Penguins need luck on their side.

  15. Lowetide says:

    Pouliot is a good NHL player, fluke bad play costs the team. Really surprised by some comments, that was a damn good road game (save the struggles when the Cup champions turned it on). Some really good moments.

  16. Crazy Pedestrian says:

    Just kills you inside when it happens so close to the end of the game too… I know we are definately a better team with a good record, but this loss (and that damn rangers game loss) sure sting…

  17. frjohnk says:

    Oilers may have lost a heart breaker at the end. But they played well.

    And they showed me that they can play well on the road, against the fastest transition team who happen to be the defending cup champions.

    Loving this team.

  18. jake70 says:

    ashley:
    Another own goal by 67.I know, just bad luck.You can’t help plays like that.Sometimes you just score on your own net and that’s the way it goes.Some guys score on their own net quite a bit.Unlucky.

    Again.

    Lol

  19. spoiler says:

    frjohnk:
    Oilers may have lost a heart breaker at the end. But they played well.

    And they showed me that they can play well on the road, against the fastest transition team who happen to be the defending cup champions.

    Loving this team.

    They look like a real team. For a change.

  20. Crazy Pedestrian says:

    Lowetide:
    Pouliot is a good NHL player, fluke bad play costs theteam. Really surprised by some comments, that was a damn good road game (save the struggles when the Cup champions turned it on). Some really good moments.

    I know poo is a good player, but he has been getting some bad luck recently for sure. At least he’s toned down on the o-side penalties.

  21. SayItAin'tSo, Gretz, SayItAin'tSo! says:

    Lowetide,

    Agreed. Use this as a learning game. End of a road trip, tired banged up and played a whale of a game save for a shitty couple of bounces. Learn from it and move on.

    Dallas is getting absolutely fed by the Jets right now. Oooh and the Nucks beating up on the Rangers… Interesting

  22. frjohnk says:

    Well, could be worse.

    Could be cheering for the Stars.

    2 of the best players in the league up front. But that talent is being wasted.

    1 good 2nd pairing offensive Dman, rest are meh.
    Below average D core.

    Two below average goalies with close to number 1 cap hits.

    Getting blown out of the water tonight. Losing 6-1 to the Jets.

    Laine 3 goals 1 assist going into 3rd.
    Ouch!!!

  23. Crazy Pedestrian says:

    All in all, Good effort by the oilers this game and a pretty good roady.

    Bring on Dallas!!!

  24. spoiler says:

    Beck was named Player of the Week for the AHL.

  25. OilClog says:

    Good game, work to do.

    bad bounce on 67 could happen to anyone, but it did happen to 67. Nothing is really going right for him, he’s being outplayed by several other forwards, you could claim he’s been hampering 93’s performances of late.

    It’s been a bit since he’s been fully engaged, he’s been freeloading on the 93 bus for the last few

  26. StixMalone says:

    Gonna watch WHL series now

  27. haters says:

    Lowetide,

    Do us all a favor and stop booking shit !! You said it would be a great game and I had this feeling the whole game because you said book it, we were gonna lose by some bs play.

    Damn you

    Say hi to Bruce for me, and ask him his thoughts on the alien satillite Black Knight tomorrow. Curious if he thinks it’s bullshit or if there’s anything to it. You can find lots of verbal both ways and maybe it will keep you from fucking booking something. You such and such

    <\3

  28. Lowetide says:

    haters:
    Lowetide,

    Do us all a favor and stop booking shit !! You said it would be a great game and I had this feeling the whole game because you said book it, we were gonna lose by some bs play.

    Damn you

    Say hi to Bruce for me, and ask him his thoughts on the alien satillite Black Knight tomorrow. Curious if he thinks it’s bullshit or if there’s anything to it. You can find lots of verbal both ways and maybe it will keep you from fucking booking something. You such and such

    <\3

    I never actually said book it. 🙂

  29. haters says:

    Lies !!! Now I have to re listen to prove you wrong. If I find it you owe me a sammich from the fyef and heckle place you’re always blathering about 🙂

  30. JimmyV1965 says:

    Exciting game tonight. Sucks that we lost, especially on a weird bounce, but that’s hockey. Nurse looked real good again. Our defence will be absolutely dominating in a year from now. Nurse, Klef, Larsson, Benning are all under 24. Davie is only 25. Yikes. These guys are going to be good.

  31. spoiler says:

    JimmyV1965:
    Exciting game tonight.Sucks that we lost, especially on a weird bounce, but that’s hockey.Nurse looked real good again.Our defence will be absolutely dominating in a year from now. Nurse, Klef, Larsson, Benning are all under 24. Davie is only 25. Yikes. These guys are going to be good.

    TMac has made some decisions with Nurse during recent games that indicate their confidence in his play is soaring.

  32. Halfwise says:

    Wish the Oil had won, but they played well.

    In other news, i just saw Lloyd Robertson with a Reddy Kilowatts hairdo.

  33. spoiler says:

    Looking like Trump right now, barring a late own goal.

  34. Derek says:

    When Todd wants to win he puts two 23 year old defensemen and a 23 year old centerman on the ice to slow things down. That or a 19 year old centerman.

    They’re still learning on the job.

    His other centerman, the 21 year old looks like hes drowning at times during the game so he throws him a veteran winger who’s just as often an anchor as he is a life preserver. I really hope its not some sort of bias against Lucic on my part because of the Hall thing, but he’s been poor with and without the puck the last 5 or 6 games to my eye. He’s also not near the prick I was lead to believe he would be, perhaps he’s fighting an injury of some sort?

    Darnell is trending upwards like a rocket. He plays like Klefbom with a mean streak.

    Benning does the rookie thing from time to time but he also looks like a player.

    Pulju looked a bit lost, a bit hurried. It was a game against probably the best team in the league but I’d give him some time in the AHL to sharpen things up once Caggiula is really to go.

  35. JJS says:

    Much like the Rangers game, a lot to be excited about.

    However, the primary issues are preventable errors.

    Get the puck deep with a 2 (or 1) goal lead and send one forecheck.

    A 3-1, the Oil had a number of opportunities to dump and chase but chose to carry the play through the neutral zone and were stripped.

    This is a coaching/preparation error IMO.

    The Pens are going to get their chances. But we need to make them come 200 ft as often as possible. Didn’t happen.

  36. CrazyCoach says:

    JJS: Get the puck deep with a 2 (or 1) goal lead and send one forecheck.
    A 3-1, the Oil had a number of opportunities to dump and chase but chose to carry the play through the neutral zone and were stripped.

    I think they were trying to play with the lead, but going to a simple dump and chase when you have the lead does nothing, especially with a fast team like the Pens.

    The main reason you play dump and chase is to gain the other teams blueline and get the defensemen to give you more gap.

    I would have said that the first guy carrying the puck should try and enter the zone and if not, do a regroup to the D. Boring yes, but you are not giving up possession to a rocket like Letang.

    Just my thoughts.

    I’ll take a one goal loss on a last minute fluke goal to the defending champs.

  37. unca miltie says:

    5 points on this trip. Very acceptable to me. Would have been nice if they had held the lead tonight, but no doubt to me that this team has turned north. Happy fan here

  38. hunter1909 says:

    Turned the game over in the 3rd to watch the American election.

    Oilers lost, and Trump is going to win.

    I’m 1-1 tonight, lol.

  39. hunter1909 says:

    Oilers played really well for the 1st 2 periods. The Penguins are cup champs and might well repeat. They’re easily the best team I’ve seen this year.

    Oilers are going to return home and resume kicking the Western teams around. Oilers are suddenly a very very good team.

  40. Yak Efron says:

    Just prepping the bunker for the apocalypse, couldn’t catch much of the game, was there any Jultzing in our favour?

  41. GMB3 says:

    hunter1909:
    Oilers played really well for the 1st 2 periods. The Penguins are cup champs and might well repeat. They’re easily the best team I’ve seen this year.

    Oilers are going to return home and resume kicking the Western teams around. Oilers are suddenly a very very good team.

    I feel like your opinion flip flops drastically game by game lol.

    I know it’s early, but I seriously expected Lucic to be better… I just feel we need a better mix of forwards to compete. anyways still a positive night. Sekera needs to be better too. Our D core has a bright future but IMO we are one piece away back there… Much like Lowetide said at the beginning of the year

  42. Woogie63 says:

    Has Conner cleared US airspace?

  43. Todd Macallan says:

    With the extreme frustration from the loss tonight subsiding (thanks Talisker), a few observations:

    I see a team that lost 2 close games in the last minute on this road trip that no one at the start of the year reasonably would’ve expected them to win, or even be in a position to get points in the final minutes.

    I see a team with effective bottom six depth players that can compete with the likes of the same on the Pens. Hat tip to the previous regime(s) for, among others, Potluck and Slepy, and to the current regime for the patience to develop them properly.

    I see a team with a number 1 goalie.

    I see a team with a young, cheap, increasingly legitimate top pair on D.

    I see a team with a young captain so gifted, the best player in the world was taken out of a line match with him by his coach.

    I see a turn north, finally, and growing up in the Yukon I sure know what north looks like.

    For the first time I can remember, after a loss, I’m having a drink, and then another. In a good way.

    P.S. this Talisker is finished in a Port cask for the fellow Scotch drinkers here

  44. blainer says:

    Very happy with that road trip. A couple of bad bounces tonight. That would normally bug the shit outta me but not this year.

    We are exactly where I hoped we’d be after the road trip. keeping pace with the cup champs is a bonus. The west seems a bit weaker to me this year . Again a 500 record for November was what I was hoping for but i actually think now we may win a game or two above that.

    Extremely happy to see Connor getting those points.

  45. hunter1909 says:

    GMB3: I feel like your opinion flip flops drastically game by game lol.

    Basically I’m an enormous fan.

    That being said, I’ve just spent the last several hours following the USA elections. Oilers? Nice bit of entertainment, but Trump winning the keys to the apocalypse makes me smile.

  46. Lowetide says:

    Tyler Benson with a goal and two assists tonight in the Canada-Russia series. Well done.

  47. frjohnk says:

    1 month ago, who woulda thought on Nov 8th

    -Cubs would by now be World Series champs
    -Oilers tied for 4th place in the league
    -Biff becomes President

    And no, hell has not frozen over as we have double digit plus temperatures.

  48. Professor Q says:

    Lowetide:
    Tyler Benson with two assists tonight in the Canada-Russia series. Well done.

    I’m sorry that i missed it. Will look for highlights.

  49. Ronald Chevalier says:

    What an exciting game! Great effort by most, McDavid is on another level and Eberle was feeling it right off the bat. Leon’s line got crushed for the most part and I would have to agree with others that Lucic has not been living up to the hype. He has had a lot of trouble getting the puck out of our zone and doesn’t play nearly as physical as I’d thought. He seems to be out of sync. Hopefully he turns it around.

  50. Pescador says:

    That second period was the best I’ve watched in quite a while involving the Oilers. Great game, tough loss.
    Re: the US election, I definitely underestimated the stupidity of the American voter, fuck me!
    Welcome, President pussy grabber!

  51. Woodguy says:

    Real fun game last night.

    Oiler’s structure is looking very good. They are well coached.

    Now imagine Hall in the Lucic spot.

    They’d be incredible.

  52. Preacher says:

    Woodguy,

    Yeah, can we get a do-over?

    Can we sign Lucic and trade him for Larsson?

    I really missed Hall watching the Penguins game.

    Betcha Leon missed him, too.

  53. PhrankLee says:

    Managed a split on the road trip!

    Remember everyone tighten the lugs on your tires 100 km after you change them.

    Oilers come home without giving away anything. They will tighten the nuts at home.

    Plenty to work on. Turnovers, PP and missed assignments by key vets.

  54. Hockey Project says:

    That game really could have gone a lot worse. The Oilers played the defending champs at the tail end of a long road trip, had the slight edge in dangerous chances, and then lost on a really unfortunate bounce.

  55. StixMalone says:

    frjohnk:
    1 month ago, who woulda thought on Nov 8th

    -Cubs would by now be World Series champs
    -Oilers tied for 4th place in the league
    -Biff becomes President

    And no, hell has not frozen over as we have double digit plus temperatures.

    The times are a changin!……

  56. sliderule says:

    For those fretting about Trump victory

    He has repeatedly stated America should not have got into its many wars so don’t worry about apocalypse.

    The keystone pipeline will be built which will move Alberta oil until our governments that we stupidly elect get with it.

  57. Fog of Warts says:

    This morning the world is rushing to figure out “how the polls went wrong”.

    The problem is, they didn’t “go wrong”. They are a trailing indicator that was showing Clinton’s lead continuing to narrow into the final week, and there’s a built-in methodological error—you can only sample those who agree to participate—that put the election result within the known margin of error.

    The public polls have a lag of 3 to 7 days, with the more narrowly focused—and never divulged—internal campaign polls likely having a lag as short as one or two days. It’s likely that the Clinton campaign, in their deepest war bunker, already knew the election would be a toss up well before voting began. Normally you can get a sniff of a campaign’s internal polling having detected smoke by subtle changes in their campaign agenda, but of course these minor tea leaves aren’t worth much over the last week.

    The American electorate’s biggest problem right now is that they’ve elected a leader who has made many grand promises without providing the least clue how any of these miracles would actually transpire.

    Some rabbits he could yet pull out of a hat.

    Trump’s biggest problem is his promise to return manufacturing jobs to the Ohio, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania band-wagon. The jobs they knew and loved simply aren’t coming back in any way shape or form as the jobs they once used to be. One could as easily vow to return agriculture to the ox and plow.

    ———

    It’s a myth that America lacks for manufacturing jobs. The manufacturing jobs that America retains are very, very difficult. Such as machining custom aftermarket car parts to exacting specifications.

    Adam Davidson on Manufacturing — 2012

    Davidson visited an after-market auto parts factory in Greenville, South Carolina and talked with employees there as well as with executives at corporate headquarters. What is the future of factory work in America? Why are some manufacturing jobs in America while others are in China or elsewhere?

    Despite the secondary thesis, it’s not a failure of the American educational system. While most experts agree that the American education system costs way too much for what it delivers, once you normalize test scores to exclude—unpopular subject—Hispanics recently emigrated from rural Central America (and one other racially disadvantaged group, whose precise characterization I presently forget), the American test scores are on par with any other top nation. What China publishes as their “national” test scores often covers only Shanghai. The Germans faced this same problem following unification. One group elite + one group not yet so elite = mid-pack ranking.

    ———

    The underlying problem is that the returns to education (this is a technical phrase used to mean how much educational attainment drives life income) are now larger than ever before, and not getting smaller.

    America has always had a large population of people who resent the assorted Hermionies, such as myself, who would devote five minutes to googling the accepted plural of “Hermione” (404 on that quest, but I did find a dubious-looking page informing me that the plural of Hermione Granger is “hermione-grangers” (neither word capitalized, with a hyphen between).

    ———

    The Hermione Files:

    [1] “googling” — not normally capitalized as a verb
    [2a] “hermione-grangers” — a click-bait shotgun marriage par excellence: “X capitalized” bones all things J.K. Rowling
    [2b] “par excellence” — not normally italicized in English, though I wish it were
    [2c] “shotgun marriage” — bad Perl programmers never die, but neither do they sink their fadeaway jump shots
    [2c] “were” — considered archaic, except among some people, a group similar to, yet distinct from, those who still resent the death of the penny

    ———

    We assorted Hermionies are indeed a fabulously resentable group. Check your local Dollar Store for the seething support group nearest you. Awkward adolescent double-header at the local drive-in half price; new members only; Smart cars park free; some conditions apply.

    ———

    I read a lot from the sad genre “futurology”. Futurology gives the dreary category of business books a serious run for its money. (God help you if your book draws from both lineages.) Books with useful tidbits, but that I could not strongly recommend:

    * The Great Stagnation: How America Ate All The Low-Hanging Fruit of Modern History, Got Sick, and Will (Eventually) Feel Better

    * Average Is Over: Powering America Beyond the Age of the Great Stagnation

    * Race Against the Machine: How the Digital Revolution Is Accelerating Innovation, Driving Productivity, and Irreversibly Transforming Employment and the Economy

    * The Second Machine Age: Work, Progress, and Prosperity in a Time of Brilliant Technologies

    * The Age of Em: Work, Love, and Life When Robots Rule the Earth

    * 2052: A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years

    Is the mere mention of these titles giving you a TL;DR feeling? I wonder why. Here’s what the futurology once looked like, in the distant past:

    * Future Shock

    What on earth happened over the last forty years? What Twitter-busting titles hence when machine-age hand-wringing achieves its final mature flower?

    ———

    Okay, here’s one—actually just a short talk—with freshly brewed prescience, one that I can almost actually recommend:

    * TED: Beware, fellow plutocrats, the pitchforks are coming — August 2014

    So I have a message for my fellow plutocrats and zillionaires and for anyone who lives in a gated bubble world: Wake up. Wake up. It cannot last. Because if we do not do something to fix the glaring economic inequities in our society, the pitchforks will come for us, for no free and open society can long sustain this kind of rising economic inequality. It has never happened. There are no examples. You show me a highly unequal society, and I will show you a police state or an uprising. The pitchforks will come for us if we do not address this. It’s not a matter of if, it’s when. And it will be terrible when they come for everyone, but particularly for people like us plutocrats.

    Somehow—for all the world this feels like Act II—the pitchforks have hitched themselves to the strangest of all wagons: one claiming to be a zillionaire, but who offers no proof.

    Generally, as a rule of thumb, poof goes no proof. He may yet prove us wrong—on available evidence, there’s simply no way to know.

    ———

    Personally, it’s far from a fine morning to wake up to a mystery box containing the nuclear codes freshly covered in giant orange question marks. That’s another thing about us tedious Hermiones: low risk tolerance.

    * How a 1967 Solar Storm Nearly Led to Nuclear War
    * 1983 Soviet nuclear false alarm incident
    * Cuban Missile Crisis

    Not just the one famous incident that most people have ever heard of. Many tense moments. I would rather have not shaken this particular box. But it was not to be.

    Game on.

  58. Lowetide says:

    Rondo, I will close the comments if you continue.

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