G81 2016-17: OILERS AT CANUCKS

The Edmonton Oilers won their first Stanley in the spring of 1984, and it was good. By the fall, the team had some new names (Billy Carroll was claimed off waivers from NYI, Mike Krushelnyski came over for Kenny Linseman on the Boston-to-Edmonton pipeline, Larry Melnyk came the same way) and in late January Mark Napier came over from Minnesota. I loved all of these transactions, a guy like Napier was a bullet on skates and had an immediate impact. Krushelnyski was the biggest add, scoring 43 while also being very large for his time.

By 1985, I had so much confidence in the Edmonton Oilers that people around me became irritated enough to tell me to FOAD. Seriously. Looking back, it was pure asshattery but in my defense being a fan of the Oilers meant winning. The team scored over 400 goals, allowed less than 300 and Wayne Gretzky posted 47 points in 18 postseason games. The 1984-85 team was ridiculous, and oh by the way Esa Tikkanen arrived in time to play three playoff games. Lordy.

OILERS 1985 PLAYOFFS

  • Smythe Division Semifinal: Edmonton sweeps series against LAK, winning all three games by a relatively slim margin. The Oilers could win close games by now, something they proved to us (and themselves) the previous spring against NY Islanders.
  • Smythe Division Final: Edmonton sweeps series against the Winnipeg Jets.
  • Campbell Conference Final: Edmonton overcomes Chicago in six games. The four wins came by scores of 11-2, 7-3, 10-5 and 8-2.
  • Stanley Cup Final: Edmonton won in five games, losing only the first game.
  • Source

NAMES ON THE STANLEY

  • Glenn Anderson, Billy Carroll, Paul Coffey, Lee Fogolin Jr., Grant Fuhr, Randy Gregg, Wayne Gretzky CAPTAIN, Charlie Huddy, Pat Hughes, Dave Hunter, Don Jackson, Mike Krushelnyski, Jari Kurri, Willy Lindstrom, Kevin Lowe, Dave Lumley, Kevin McClelland, Larry Melnyk, Mark Messier, Andy Moog, Mark Napier, Jaroslav Pouzar, Dave Semenko, Esa Tikkanen Peter Pocklington, owner;, Glen Sather general manager/coach.

 SIGNS, YEAR OVER YEAR

  • Oilers in October 2015: 4-8-0, goal differential -7
  • Oilers in October 2016: 7-2-0, goal differential +10
  • Oilers in November 2015: 4-7-2, goal differential -6
  • Oilers in November 2016: 5-8-2 goal differential -3
  • Oilers in December 2015: 7-6-1, goal differential -9
  • Oilers in December 2016: 7-2-5, goal differential +3
  • Oilers in January 2016: 4-5-2, goal differential -5
  • Oilers in January 2017: 9-4-1, goal differential +8
  • Oilers in February 2016: 3-8-2, goal differential -18
  • Oilers in February 2017: 6-6-0, goal differential -2
  • Oilers in March 2016: 8-8-0, goal differential +5
  • Oilers in March 2017: 9-3-1, goal differential +15
  • Oilers in April 2016: 1-1-0, goal differential -1
  • Oilers in April 2017: 2-1-0, goal differential +1 
  • Oilers after 80, 2015-16: 30-43-7, goal differential -47
  • Oilers after 80, 2016-17: 45-26-9, goal differential +32
G81 one year ago saw Edmonton win 6-2 over Vancouver Canucks, Hall and McDavid both going 1-2-3 on the night. Edmonton can pass 100 points tonight, the first time since 1987. Points are awarded more easily now, but it’s still a terrific accomplishment.

 WHAT TO EXPECT FROM APRIL

  • At home to: Anaheim (Expected:1-0-0) (Actual: 1-0-0)
  • On the road to: Kings, Sharks, Canucks (Expected: 1-1-1) (Actual: 1-1-0)
  • At home to Canucks (Expected: 1-0-0)
  • Overall expected result: 3-1-1, seven points in five games
  • Current results: 2-1-0, four points in three games
We’ve been chasing reasonable all season long, and this team has hit every mark but one. Consistency, like clarity, is enormous upon arrival, but 15 minutes after it enters the room we forget about it while also assuming it will be with us until end of days. Do not take this team for granted!

 CENTERS, BOXCARS AND WOODMONEY

  • Connor McDavid is good it’s difficult to put into words, but math has wonderful clarity. His boxcars lead the world, the 5×5/60 scoring number (God’s flashlight) also has him at the top. He saws off elite competition, and is playing against the elites 36 percent of the time (Sid is 35, so that number is the cost of doing business when you’re elite yourself).
  • Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has improved most of these numbers since the last time we ran them. The big item is TOI against elites as a percentage. Nuge plays  42 percent of his time against elite competition, that compares to 40 percent for Jonathan Toews (as an example). Nuge is playing in a punishing portion of the NHL game this season.
  • David Desharnais has been disappointing. As an Oiler, he is 16, 2-2-4 and not getting enough done. I like him with the puck on his stick and he can forecheck, but the adjustment to playing the Oilers system is taking precious time. He needs to tighten up like Archie Bell by playoff time.
  • Mark Letestu is getting caved in possession and not playing much against the elites. This is a soft parade role and he should be able to own possession more often. In his defense, Letestu plays with some weak wingers and that no doubt impacts his number.
  • All of the WM’s (DFF and rel plus percentage of playing time) are Woodmoney’s and once again my sincere thanks to GMoney and Woodguy.

DEFENSE, BOXCARS AND WOODMONEY

  • Many things have changed since we last looked at these numbers.
  • Matt Benning (and Darnell Nurse) have seen their numbers head downward, and we know that young defensemen never develop in a straight line (well, maybe Denis Potvin). Overall an encouraging season for both men.
  • Adam Larsson and Oscar Klefbom play tough opposition about 35 percent of the time and have improved their overall numbers as the season rolled along. Impressive pairing and they are likely to get better during the rest of their time together. For a little over $8M on the cap, this is terrific value.
  • Andrej Sekera and Kris Russell play elites slightly more often than the Swedish pairing, and the great thing is we’re looking at about the same results as Sekera-Russell (just a little behind). Having two pairings he can count on gives Todd McLellan some room to match pairings with elite lines.
  • The Oilers are a better defensive team than a year ago. Plenty of work to do, but some of that work is maturation of players already here. The gap is closing and there is real promise here, for really the first time since 2006.

Since 2010-11, there have been over 6,000 man seasons in the NHL. Only four men (Evgeni Malkin, Patrick Kane, Daniel Sedin, Sidney Crosby) have scored 100 or more points in a season. I’ve seen all kinds of mentions of McDavid’s scoring total against the backdrop of Wayne Gretzky’s historic totals, but I think that’s comparing apples and oranges. If Connor McDavid gets three points this weekend, he will join an extremely elite group of men who have hit the century mark in the modern era. This is big, people. Don’t let anyone tell you different.

CAM TALBOT BOXCARS

  • Overall save percentage: .919 (No. 9)
  • EV save percentage: .926 (No. 10)
  • PP save percentage: .878 (No. 14)

Talbot’s 41 wins are an outstanding total (this is not a great team) and his save percentage numbers are in or near the top 10 among regulars (35 or more games). Edmonton will need to add a capable backup (probably Laurent Brossoit) into the rotation a year from now, but Talbot posted a tremendous year when Edmonton needed him.

PROJECTED 50-MAN ROSTER (AFTER LAGESSON SIGNING)

  • We’ll drill down on this in the coming days, but it is interesting that Peter Chiarelli has added so many defensemen (two graduating slides and Lagesson/Mantha). Methinks the forward positions are going to see some dizzying additions in terms of procurement, both at the draft and pro levels.

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277 Responses to "G81 2016-17: OILERS AT CANUCKS"

« Older Comments
  1. Zelepukin says:

    Maybe it’s just me but I firmly believe Cags has top 6 potential. Just a real smart, quick, energy player with hands and a decent shot.

  2. spoiler says:

    I’m expecting Darcy Rota and Ivan Boldirev stories from Randorf all playoffs long.

  3. jp says:

    hunter1909,

    Mark me down for 10-9 please and thanks.

  4. spoiler says:

    Just a perfect play by Seksy behind his net.

  5. Nuclear leak says:

    16-8, all the animals die, birds, fish, Chiraq,

    Don’t get too comfortable long time readers, after a 3yr cup run I’m wiping everyone out, except maybe the Yeti’s.

  6. spoiler says:

    The game WAS missing crap calls…

  7. Rake 2.0 says:

    spoiler,

    I was really impressed with that too. So calm and smooth.

  8. admiralmark says:

    No hitting shoulder to shoulder.. new rule. I like it. 🙄

  9. Zelepukin says:

    I always forget about Paks and then he just crushes guys and you’re like oh ya, we have that when Hendricks isn’t playing.

  10. Rake 2.0 says:

    Well that penalty kill was terrible

  11. spoiler says:

    I think I hear McCurdy in his basement again.

  12. spoiler says:

    You just know Nuke La Looch wants to explode at home.

  13. The Original JDI says:

    Salvilating – when you’re drooling salve.

  14. Nuclear leak says:

    Nick and Kelly are dipping into my pacific waters if anyone is wondering

  15. Pescador says:

    Zelepukin:
    Maybe it’s just me but I firmly believe Cags has top 6 potential. Just a real smart, quick, energy player with hands and a decent shot.

    Agreed,
    Perfect attributes for a bottom 6 player

  16. spoiler says:

    LT seems to be busy this break so here’s GMoney’s #s

    CF% = 57.4
    SACF% = 59.9
    FF% = 58.3
    DFF% = 63.5
    SF% = 55.3
    (All) FOW% = 53.8

    Numbers favour the Oil, but it’s not a barnburner.

  17. Nuclear leak says:

    Drake Caggiula and Liam Reddox have never been seen in the same room

  18. Lowetide says:

    1-1 after2, shots 23-22 Edm and Corsi for 5×5 is 35-26 Oilers.

  19. treevojo says:

    98 n counting

  20. Lowetide says:

    |Letestu scored, from McDavid 98 points.

  21. Gerta Rauss says:

    That McDavid kid has a bright future

  22. jp says:

    Very nice tip by Letestu

  23. spoiler says:

    Testy!!

  24. spoiler says:

    13 game point-scoring streak for McD, longest by anyone this season, one game away from the playoffs.

  25. jp says:

    Pescador: Agreed,
    Perfect attributes for a bottom 6 player

    Lol, I agree with Valeri that Caggiula could well be more than a bottom 6 guy.

    He’s been getting chances all year but hasn’t cashed much. I’m not convinced he won’t start burying more (as he has lately)

  26. jp says:

    I like that McLellan has stuck with Benning, presumably because he’s trying to get his game back on track. But it clearly shows (I think) that McLellan wants Benning in that 6 spot over Gryba.

  27. Lowetide says:

    Pakarinen scored.

  28. Surgeons Knot says:

    Lucic what a truck!!!!

  29. jp says:

    Unbelievable goal.

    Hope Stetcher is OK.

  30. Gerta Rauss says:

    Lucic is a horse

  31. treevojo says:

    Lucic like a boss

  32. khildahl says:

    Gerta Rauss:
    Lucic is a horse trailer

    Fixed that for you

  33. Gerta Rauss says:

    khildahl,

    lol

    you could change horse to a number of things…:)

  34. treevojo says:

    Somewhere deep in a cave a lonely man sheds a tear.

  35. striatic says:

    jp:
    Unbelievable goal.

    Hope Stetcher is OK.

    Stetcher with a lot of heart on that play, kept fighting to shut down Lucic.

    Lucic just too much. Jesus.

  36. ashley says:

    They missed a Lucic holding penalty there on that goal. I’ll take it. It’s nice to have the calls/non-calls go our way sometimes now. The cross check penalty by Lucic in the middle of the scrum was garbage. Larsson crushed his check with three cross checks, each way worse than the tap Lucic gave his man. How do they pick that penalty out?

  37. khildahl says:

    striatic: Stetcher with a lot of heart on that play, kept fighting to shut down Lucic.

    Lucic just too much. Jesus.

    I used to have a boston terrier that liked to bite down on a rope and be swung around on the end of it. That play reminded me of her.

  38. Suntory Hanzo says:

    Is Cajoola our new Marchant?

  39. The Original JDI says:

    treevojo,

    Many miles away there’s a shadow on the door
    Of a cottage on the shore
    Of a dark Scottish lake

  40. Lloyd B. says:

    Are there any questions as to what Lucic brings to the table? 7th round pick indeed.

    Nobody can play like that over 82 games. But for stretch runs and playoffs? Woot !!

    There’s something happening here.

  41. Gerta Rauss says:

    Suntory Hanzo:
    Is Cajoola our new Marchant?

    That’s not a bad comp imo

    I hope the Drake brings a little more offense than Toddy- he sure is in the right place a lot of the time

  42. striatic says:

    khildahl: I used to have a boston terrier that liked to bite down on a rope and be swung around on the end of it.That play reminded me of her.

    I laughed at this, though I do think your terrier was probably having a little more fun than Stetcher was.

  43. Todd Macallan says:

    Bear with 1-1-2 and the 1st star in a 4-3 win tonight.

    Meanwhile back at the ranch, Lucic is an actual bear.

  44. Gerta Rauss says:

    We should get a goalie pull here shortly

  45. Suntory Hanzo says:

    14 had been looking better by my eye.

    Whomever said 27 starts slow because he knows he had a long season deserves some props.

  46. Gerta Rauss says:

    sweet fancy moses how did that stay out…

    *edit-wrong team scored

  47. Nuclear leak says:

    Gerta Rauss: That’s not a bad comp imo

    I hope the Drake brings a little more offense than Toddy- he sure is in the right place a lot of the time

    You mean the Todd Marchant that popped 20 goals with 40 assists in 77 games paired with 48 minutes in penalties and a +13.

  48. striatic says:

    oh Maroon.

  49. treevojo says:

    What a maroon

  50. Professor Q says:

    For the life of me I have no idea when they’ll ever score an Empty Net goal again.

    McDavid would have been better served for the wraparound.

  51. Suntory Hanzo says:

    treevojo,

    Beat me to it

  52. Crazy Pedestrian says:

    Just wow… if McDavid only gets to 99 points… they will look back at that one…

  53. dangilitis says:

    Gretzky is going to be mad at McDavid for not wrapping that around himself and shooting at the empty net

  54. Professor Q says:

    Wait…That actually looked like it went in before time ran out.

  55. striatic says:

    Feeling a little guilty about wanting that to go to OT to give McDavid an opportunity to get a point toward the scoring race.

  56. Ice Sage says:

    Not only the playoffs, but home ice to start!
    Wow, what a season

  57. Lloyd B. says:

    dangilitis:
    Gretzky is going to be mad at McDavid for not wrapping that around himself and shooting at the empty net

    Gretkzy used to have the same problem.

    Everyone was on him for passing so much, getting so many assists, and not scoring enough goals.

    Then he decided to show everyone he could shoot too.

    50 goals in 39 games. 92 for the year. Nobody ever said he couldn’t shoot again.

    Patience grasshopper.

  58. Gerta Rauss says:

    Nuclear leak: You mean the Todd Marchant that popped 20 goals with 40 assists in 77 games paired with 48 minutes in penalties and a +13.

    A career year,a wonderful year, I enjoyed every point

    That year got him nice contracts in CBJ and Anaheim

    Todd’s career average was much lower than that single year. You looked up his stats, I think you know that

  59. jake70 says:

    dangilitis:
    Gretzky is going to be mad at McDavid for not wrapping that around himself and shooting at the empty net

    He got back to his habit of too much pass first this game. I wish he was more selfish.

  60. flyfish1168 says:

    striatic: Stetcher with a lot of heart on that play, kept fighting to shut down Lucic.

    Lucic just too much. Jesus.

    Lucic with lots of big man strength there

  61. Ice Sage says:

    Looks like LB tomorrow.
    I’m increasingly fond of the Oilers hockey decision-making lately. They seem to have a plan.

  62. Professor Q says:

    Anyone know where After Hours can be seen?

  63. Todd Macallan says:

    Professor Q,

    cbc.ca live streaming now or sportsnet.ca the following morning

  64. dangilitis says:

    Lloyd B.: Gretkzy used to have the same problem.

    Everyone was on him for passing so much, getting so many assists, and not scoring enough goals.

    Then he decided to show everyone he could shoot too.

    50 goals in 39 games. 92 for the year.Nobody ever said he couldn’t shoot again.

    Patience grasshopper.

    On after hours last week, McDavid was asked what advice Gretzky gave him and the response was that he was on him for not shooting more at empty nets. Hence the comment.

  65. Professor Q says:

    Todd Macallan:
    Professor Q,

    cbc.ca live streaming now or sportsnet.ca the following morning

    I did try CBC earlier and it was all frozen. You couldn’t play the video.

    Never mind. Looks like I fixed it. I was on some other part of CBC.

  66. Klima's_Bucket says:

    Slepy is hanging with Tryamkin just behind Scott Oake during after hours.

  67. Wolfie says:

    With home ice in the bag do the Oilers play McDavid tomorrow?

  68. striatic says:

    Wolfie:
    With home ice in the bag do the Oilers play McDavid tomorrow?

    I mean they could *try* to keep McDavid off the ice tomorrow but I’m pretty sure that’d look like Stetcher on Lucic did tonight.

    Chance to win the division. Possibly hit 100 points.

    He’s playing.

  69. spoiler says:

    Wolfie:
    With home ice in the bag do the Oilers play McDavid tomorrow?

    Could you stop him?

  70. leadfarmer says:

    Woodguy v2.0: No Letang, No Malkin.

    On the other hand, Fleury is starting.

    Take the over.

    I guess split the uprights with 8

  71. Zelepukin says:

    Wolfie:
    With home ice in the bag do the Oilers play McDavid tomorrow?

    Do you even hockey?

  72. Lloyd B. says:

    dangilitis: Onafter hours last week, McDavid was asked what advice Gretzky gave him and the response was that he was on him for not shooting more at empty nets. Hence the comment.

    It’s great that McDavid has a mentor in Gretzky. There’s an understatement !!!

    As great as McDavid is, he still needs to earn the respect of his team mates. (I reckon he has it)

    Part of earning that respect, especially as a young Captain, is making sure your team mates get their due.

    We haven’t seen anything yet. Wait til he gets selfish.

    Yikes!

  73. Frank the dog says:

    Hey HUNTER I figure they will win in 6 against San Jose (4-2) and then lose the next round in 6 (2-4)
    So put me down at 6-6.
    I picked 96 points for the season, before trying to move down to the 80’s, this time I hope they blow me oit the water with 12 wins!

  74. jake70 says:

    All those pairs of boots at the Vimy Ridge site are pretty impressive. In some ways, it’s Canada day today.

  75. Centre of attention says:

    Frank the dog,

    I’m pretty much with you except I think McDavid and his buddies force game 7 against the Ducks but lose it in controversial fashion due to bullshit Duck-ery.

  76. Ribs says:

    Centre of attention,

    Here’s hoping we don’t hear the words “Concussion Spotter” for the entirety of these playoffs…

  77. JOFA says:

    Pisani please. “It’s a new dawn it’s a new day”

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