Later this month, Connor McDavid will accept the first major award given to an Edmonton Oilers player in 27 years. Amazing. I hope the young man wins more than just the Art Ross Trophy, as he earned the Hart Trophy as well. Since we’re still waiting for off-ice action (and these moves could be days away with the SCF possibly wrapping up Sunday) let’s establish the June hockey schedule.
JUNE 2017 SCHEDULE
- Monday, June 12. Deadline for NHL teams to ask players with NMC’s to waive the no movement for the purposes of making them available for the expansion draft. Edmonton has three men who qualify (Milan Lucic, Andrej Sekera, Cam Talbot) and none are expected to be asked to move the clause.
- Thursday, June 15. Buyout window opens. I think Benoit Pouliot and Mark Fayne are candidates, it’ll be interesting to see if there is a trade market for one or both. Buyout is not a perfect solution but if money is tight this move could help.
- Friday, June 16. Final day to place a player on waivers before the expansion draft. Unlikely the Oilers use this option.
- Saturday, June 17. Expansion draft roster freeze, protected lists submitted.
- Sunday, June 18. Publishing of expansion protected lists.
- June 18-21. Golden Knights can negotiate with and sign unrestricted free agents and unprotected restricted free agents.
- Wednesday, June 21. Vegas Golden Knights announce their roster. Oilers lose a player.
- Wednesday, June 21. NHL Awards, busy night for Connor McDavid.
- Wednesday, June 21. Adidas new jerseys released for all 31 teams.
- Friday June, 23. The NHL holds the first round of Entry draft.
- Saturday, June 24. NHL’s entry draft continues, rounds two through seven.
- Sunday, June 25. Free agents free to talk to all NHL teams.
- Friday, June 30. NHL cap for 2017-18 is set.
- Saturday, July 1. NHL’s free agency opens.
For fun, I’m going to do another mock using Craig Button’s final list as my guideline (and running my list against it). We’ll see if we can get through seven rounds without going beyond my 150.
- First Round: No. 22 overall—R Owen Tippett, Mississauga Steelheads (OHL). He covers 3 important categories (size, speed, sniper). His NHLE (30.8) doesn’t tell his entire offensive story. Tippett is a world class shooter, posting 284 shots in 60 games. He scored 44 goals on those 284 shots, he made a lot happen in the offensive zone. I ranked him No. 3 on my final list, can’t imagine Tippett falls so far but it’s a wonderful dream.
- Third Round: No. 82 overall (FROM ST. LOUIS—this is payment for Nail Yakupov)—RC Ivan Lodnia, Erie Otters (OHL). Small skill F, great skater. He is more playmaker than shooter, and despite lack of size can hold off checkers and maintain possession. I have him No. 27 on my list.
- Third Round: No. 84 overall—RC Scott Reedy, USNDTP (USHL). Center with speed, range of skills, dynamic. Has some elements associated with a power forward and possesses a good shot. I could see the Oilers taking him at No. 22 overall, I had him at No. 29 overall on my final list.
- Fourth Round: No. 115 overall—F Andrey Altybarmakyan, St.Petersburg (MHL). The math is strong on this one. I have him No. 60 on my final list.
- Fifth Round: No. 126 overall (FROM Vancouver—this is payment for Phil Larsen)—L Jacob Tortora, USNDTP (USHL). He is a burner and he is skilled and he is small. I ranked him No. 72 on my final list.
- Fifth Round: No. 146 overall—LD Josh Brook, Moose Jaw Warriors (WHL). Mobile, dependable, emerging. Could be a find. He was No. 75 on my list.
- Sixth Round: No. 177 overall—G Daniil Tarasov, Ufa (MHL). Tall thin goalie impressed at U18s. Had him No. 76.
- Seventh Round: No. 208 overall—R Emil Oksanen, Espoo (Mestis). Skilled winger, great shot, he can scoot. I ranked him No. 77.
- Button list.
- My ranking.
If Tippett falls someone will trade up to get him, and it might be the Oilers. I can’t believe he’ll drop past No. 10 though, Bob McKenzie has him No. 6 in the late April ranking. He is fast and is a volume shooter, so despite being one-dimensional he picked the correct dimension. Impossible for the Oilers to get three picks like Tippett, Lodnia and Reedy where they are picking but it’s a fabulous dream.
TRADE BAIT 2016 and 2017
As we discussed a week ago, on June 2 2016 Taylor Hall’s name wasn’t on the TSN Trade Bait list. By June 22, he was No. 25 among 30 names, with Edmonton’s No. 4 overall selection, RNH, Jordan Eberle and Nail Yakupov all ahead of Hall. A week later, Adam Larsson was an Oiler.
I’ve tweaked my list of possible assets out (below), but I don’t think we’re going to see a lot of late movement (as in Hall a year ago). My list from one year ago (sorted by most likely to be dealt):
- Benoit Pouliot
- Mark Fayne
- No. 4 overall selection
- Young LHD (Darnell Nurse, Griffin Reinhart,
- Cap space
- 2017 1st round selection
- Jordan Eberle
- Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
- Leon Draisaitl
I had Hall on the trade list, but listed as least likely to be dealt. It was a longshot until late, very late. I think, based on what we know now, PC had planned on using the pick to address need. As it turned out, he dealt Hall and drafted a power forward closer in age to the McDavid cluster. We won’t know for some time if JP can push the river, but the reasoning behind last summer is in the history books and can be evaluated moving forward. I think there are fewer actual options this year, and that means it is more likely we’ll see the names at the top going (if a substantial trade is to be made).
ASSETS OUT LIST, SUMMER 2017
- Jordan Eberle
- Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
- Cap space
- Jesse Puljujarvi
- Anton Slepyshev
- Caleb Jones
- No. 22 overall
- 2018 first-round selection
- Benoit Pouliot
- Jujhar Khaira
- Ethan Bear
- Griffin Reinhart
- Mark Fayne
It will be damned hard to get the Oilers into a conversation about impact options this summer (Drew Doughty was being thrown around yesterday) based on this list. I think PC’s options in a case of that kind (Doughty) might be Jesse Puljujarvi or combining Nuge and Eberle in a deal. I’ll keep those three at the top, and have moved No. 22 overall down just a little based on the interesting names that may be available at that number. I get at least one comment expressing rage over including Anton Slepyshev on this list, but please understand he has extra value because of his being ineligible for the expansion draft. That could be key, as could cap space.
*Note: The Doughty reference above doesn’t come from Bob Stauffer’s mentioning of Doughty. He referenced the name yesterday in context of a “Golden State Warriors Dream Team” and was clearly not a rumor. However, I read a lot of references on twitter and received dm’s on the subject, sparking the paragraph above.
Another factor in this summer’s business is Spencer Foo. The young free-agent winger will be on the Dave Jamieson Show today between noon and 2pm. It’ll be interesting to see what his throught process is at this time and how close he is to making a decision.
Should Foo sign with Edmonton, it increases (imo) the chances of PC dealing one of the younger RW pieces but does not make it necessary. If the club has Puljujarvi, Slepyshev and Foo for two spots on the NHL depth chart, it’s very easy to send one (JP?) down and that may in fact be the case. Drake Caggiula stayed up all year, chances are Foo will get the same guarantee should he sign with Edmonton.
LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE
A busy show, we’ll kick off a summer weekend with some fun and frolic. TSN1260, 10 this morning. Scheduled to appear:
- Steve Lansky, BigMouthSports. Sidney Crosby hammered PK Subban’s head into the ice about eight times last night. Why are people blaming Subban?
- Simon Boisvert, Prospect Insider. Simon will give me his opinion on the current market value of men like Eberle, Nuge and Jesse Puljujarvi.
- Matt Iwanyk, TSN1260. Preview of the Eskimos game on Sunday, and where does Spencer Foo sit on the Oilers RW depth chart?
- Paul Almeida, SSE. We’ll preview our Saturday expansion draft show.
10-1260 text, @Lowetide on twitter. 90 minutes!