OILERS SIGN MCDAVID

It has been an eventful year for Connor McDavid. He reached the century mark in points at the end of the regular season, a romp to the scoring title. He would add the Hart and Lindsay trophies to the Art Ross, and today, he signed a long-term contract with the Edmonton Oilers. The most valuable future in hockey will play at Rogers Place for a long, long time. The contract is eight years, $12.5 million per season, via myriad sources.

Lots of talk today about the contract and cap and that’s fair, because it’s news. Consider this: Connor McDavid scored 71 EV points in 2016-17, and he did that in 1418:05 EV minutes. That works out to 3.00 per 60 at evens.

CONNOR MCDAVID 2016-17 SEASON

  • 5×5 points per 60: 2.89 (1st among regular forwards, No. 1 NHL)
  • 5×4 points per 60: 5.96 (3rd among regular forwards, No. 24 NHL)
  • Corsi for 5×5 %: 52.9
  • Corsi Rel 5×5 %; 3.5
  • DFF Elite 5×5 %: 55.2
  • DFF Elite Rel 5×5 %: 7.3
  • Shots on goal/percentage: 251 shots/12.0%
  • Boxcars: 82, 30-70-100 (Won Art Ross Trophy)
  • Hart Trophy
  • Lindsay Award
  • (All numbers via Stats.HockeyAnalysis.com and hockey-reference)
  • Special thanks to GMoney and Woodguy for sharing the DFF’s

 

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97 Responses to "OILERS SIGN MCDAVID"

  1. Pajamah says:

    Fabulous news, friends!!

  2. Snowman says:

    WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOT!

    WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOT!!!

    One beer and another please.

  3. Snowman says:

    WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOT!

    WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOT!!!

  4. leadfarmer says:

    There!!! Someone heard my bitching about the number and knocked it down. Great signing for team and player. You are now the highest paid player by 20% and we get to stop hearing rumors about you going to Toronto for a decade. Win – Win for all.

  5. stevebergeron97 says:

    Be thankful the face of the NHL is an oiler for 9 more seasons!!!!

  6. Professor Q says:

    Very good job. Love the signing.

  7. linkfromhyrule says:

    Connor Mcdavid just signed to play on our team for the next 9 seasons.

    In Edmonton.

    He took a discount, marginal though it may be, to play for our team.

    Like many others here, I’m going to have a beer, and then I’ll have another. Cheers everyone, we earned some good fortune with a decade of darkness.

    WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOT!!!!

    Oh, and suck it Leaf fans. Connor Mcdavid will never be a Leaf (for at least the next 9 years)

  8. vinotintazo says:

    This is an epic moment. will never forget. Now lets get Leon at 7.5M 🙂

  9. unca miltie says:

    That a lot of money and yet we are all happy because it could have been more. And is for 8 years. Now let’s get the rest of the team built.

  10. Professor Q says:

    Also hilarious that a lot of reporters are trying to both,

    A) Act surprised and unaware.

    B) Act as if they knew the détails all along, their rumours were still true, and they knew McDavid would sign for less than their true rumours anyway.

    All at the same time.

    They knew nothing, though, I’d wager.

  11. hags9k says:

    Smart move to leak the higher cap number last week, if that is in fact what happened. Both player and team come out looking good today.

    Cheers to 97 for at least 9 more!

  12. striatic says:

    A good contract that ticks all the checkmarks.

    McDavid is highest paid player in the league with enough of a gap so that this fact is somewhat future proofed. Check.

    McDavid is signed long term. Check.

    McDavid comes in at or under Crosby’s first negotiated contract cap hit percentage. Check.

    Saves just enough over speculated amount to free up money for Chiarelli to gamble a little on Draisaitl if necessary. Check.

    It’s a good day in Edmonton wherever we are.

  13. LadiesloveSmid says:

    Yaaaaasyyyy

  14. Professor Q says:

    striatic,

    He’s still 1.1% of the cap higher than Sid’s cap hit % from second contract, but I’m okay with that.

  15. Scungilli Slushy says:

    Pretty sure Connor is committed to winning. What a superb young man. The Oilers are the luckiest team in forever to have a player of this calibre and temperament. Come on Leon, you’re up!

  16. Admiral Ackbar says:

    Snowman:
    WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOT!

    WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOT!!!

    One beer and another please.

    ^^^^^^^
    ^^^^^^^

  17. DBO says:

    By McDavid taking less per season to win. Now have even more leverage for Leon to take less then reported. $7.5 max puts them at $20 mill between them, which is more then workable at this cap.

    And don’t forget the value deals we have for Klefbom and Larsson. Yes Russell a bit too much, Sekera prob about right. But our top pair makes less then PK Subban and thats no small thing.

    Also sets the standard for whole team. Take less to win and not break up the team when you go for new deal. Maroon, etc.

  18. Bag of Pucks says:

    9 more years of rocket skates. Awesome.

  19. pocession charge says:

    Connor McDavid is my new all-time favorite Oiler. Both on and off the ice he is someone that we can be truly proud of. Amazing young man — well done Mr. and Mrs. McDavid. We are so lucky!

  20. LadiesloveSmid says:

    O Captain my captain

  21. YKOil says:

    $12.5 is a number that works, kudo’s to McDavid and the Oiler’s mngt

  22. OilSafety says:

    What great news.

    I was happy to see Conner speak a little more freely, starting to look more comfortable.

    It is going to be great watching this guy progress on and off the ice for at least 9 more years.

  23. striatic says:

    Professor Q:
    striatic,

    He’s still 1.1% of the cap higher than Sid’s cap hit % from second contract, but I’m okay with that.

    I’ll start contemplating that comparison when he’s 29 ; ]

  24. pocession charge says:

    Is it too soon to rename Yellowhead Trail?

  25. Professor Q says:

    striatic: I’ll start contemplating that comparison when he’s 29 ; ]

    Second Contract as in the one post-ELC.

  26. Oilin4 says:

    pocession charge:
    Is it too soon to rename Yellowhead Trail?

    I’m pretty sure they’ve already made the signs to rename 104 ave.

  27. Kinger_Oil.redux says:

    – Great, but it’s still a LOT of money: He better be the most dominant player.. In order to be the same cap hit as Crosby/Malkin ($18.2), Drai would have to sign for $5.7…

    Cap hits for 2018 season:

    Patrick Kane $10,500,000
    Carey Price $10,500,000
    Jonathan Toews $10,500,000
    Anze Kopitar $10,000,000
    Alex Ovechkin $9,538,462
    Evgeni Malkin $9,500,000
    Jamie Benn $9,500,000
    P.K. Subban $9,000,000
    Sydney Crosby $8,700,000

  28. McSorley33 says:

    Awesome News!

    Now lets get Drai done…!

  29. Richard S.S. says:

    So $7.5 – $8.4 Million for Leon keeps it beneath Chicago’s $21.0 Million. Which should be good enough,

  30. Dee Dee says:

    pocession charge: POCESSION CHARGE says:
    July 5, 2017 at 1:32 pm
    Is it too soon to rename Yellowhead Trail?

    Connor McDavid Road

  31. McNuge93 says:

    linkfromhyrule:
    Connor Mcdavid just signed to play on our team for the next 9 seasons.

    In Edmonton.

    He took a discount, marginal though it may be, to play for our team.

    Like many others here, I’m going to have a beer, and then I’ll have another. Cheers everyone, we earned some good fortune with a decade of darkness.

    WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOT!!!!

    Oh, and suck it Leaf fans. Connor Mcdavid will never be a Leaf (for at least the next 9 years)

    Ahh com on. the Leafs have a pretty good young star as well. Next year it will be them sweating to see how much they have to pay to lock him up.

  32. Sugar Reijo says:

    Having been forced to watch so many of the dynasty players and eventually almost even the franchise itself sold like scrap metal, I’ve savoured every moment of McDavid playing for this team. The thought of him signed for the next NINE years is just awesome.

    Truly a great day to be an Oilers fan.

  33. Wild Bill Hunter says:

    Is Elliote (well connected) Friedman on twitter admitting he had NO inside information? His inside information was a number pulled out of Ryan Rishaug’s arse.

  34. Admiral Ackbar says:

    Oilin4: I’m pretty sure they’ve already made the signs to rename 104 ave.

    McDangles Ave?

  35. stephen sheps says:

    McNuge93: Ahh com on. the Leafs have a pretty good young star as well. Next year it will be them sweating to see how much they have to pay to lock him up.

    actually they have two, and like the Oilers with Drai and McDavid, both players are due for extensions next summer, only their cap hits kick in at the same time rather than staggered. Year three of the Marleau contract is going to be a killer in leaf land. I’m sure Lou will find a classic Lou way to get rid of it though, and if not, there’s always Robidas Island.

  36. Oilin4 says:

    Kinger_Oil.redux:
    – Great, but it’s still a LOT of money:He better be the most dominant player..In order to be the same cap hit as Crosby/Malkin ($18.2), Drai would have to sign for $5.7…

    Cap hits for 2018 season:

    Patrick Kane$10,500,000
    Carey Price$10,500,000
    Jonathan Toews$10,500,000
    Anze Kopitar$10,000,000
    Alex Ovechkin$9,538,462
    Evgeni Malkin$9,500,000
    Jamie Benn$9,500,000
    P.K. Subban$9,000,000
    Sydney Crosby $8,700,000

    But what are the cap hits going to be in for the 2025 season? My guess is there will be more higher than 12.5. It’s not a fair comparison to compare the 4th, 5th or 6th year of a contract’s cap hit to the first year straight up.

  37. Professor Q says:

    Wild Bill Hunter:
    Is Elliote (well connected) Friedman on twitter admitting he had NO inside information?His inside information was a number pulled out of Ryan Rishaug’s arse.

    And Rishaug brought that from Dreger’s guess, which was recanted and admitted.

    Even McKenzie is trying play both sides.

    They all were just playing us.

  38. N64 says:

    86% in bonus money.

  39. Oilin4 says:

    Admiral Ackbar: McDangles Ave?

    No, it will be understated and classy just like the player. Simply: McDavid Avenue.

    I’m a grown man swooning over a 20 year old. What is wrong with me?

  40. stephen sheps says:

    also

    WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOT!!!!!!!!!!

    9 more years of McDavid!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Now if I could just get this blasted book chapter finished so I can have a beer and then another one…

    (I’ll show myself out and get back to work)

  41. N64 says:

    Professor Q: And Rishaug broight that from Dreger’s guess, which was recanted and amditted.

    Even Mackenzie is trying play both sides.

    They all were just playing us.

    ~ Or 97’s agent got Chia to agree to 8 x 13.25. Then 97 talked them down. ~

  42. McNuge93 says:

    Sugar Reijo:
    Having been forced to watch so many of the dynasty players and eventually almost even the franchise itself sold like scrap metal, I’ve savoured every moment of McDavid playing for this team. The thought of him signed for the next NINE years is just awesome.

    Truly a great day to be an Oilers fan.

    Yes, for all of Katz” shortcomings you can’t complain that he doesn’t spend the money on this team both on players and management.

  43. commonfan29 says:

    Professor Q: And Rishaug brought that from Dreger’s guess, which was recanted and admitted.
    Even McKenzie is trying play both sides.
    They all were just playing us.

    Rishaug tweeted exactly what Chia wanted him to tweet.

    He transitioned from reporter to press agent over a year ago.

  44. SayItAin'tSo, Gretz, SayItAin'tSo! says:

    I can’t wipe the smile off my face.

    The numbers can be debated until the sun goes down but NOTHING changes the fact that the new face of the NHL just agreed to play for franchise for the better part of a decade.

    This is simply amazing, like can’t put into words, a truly great day for Oiler fans.

    Now that all the drama is over, Connor go out there and win us a Cup will ya?

  45. McNuge93 says:

    stephen sheps: actually they have two, and like the Oilers with Drai and McDavid, both players are due for extensions next summer, only their cap hits kick in at the same time rather than staggered. Year three of the Marleau contract is going to be a killer in leaf land. I’m sure Lou will find a classic Lou way to get rid of it though, and if not, there’s always Robidas Island.

    Yes, Actually McD’s contract sets a new standard for all the young stars like Matthews, Eichel, Laine. Their contracts will be easier to establish value – just rank them somewhere below McD.

  46. northof51 says:

    I’m very pleased with the $12.5M per. But I was just happy that he was re-signing, period, long before $13.25M got floated and estimates were coming in at $14M.

    What I’m even more pleased with is that both the team and player look favourable in the eye of the (common) fans… And that this hometown “discount” puts major heat on Drai’s camp. It would be ill-advised for Mr. Draisaitl to push for anything more than the Kuznetzov deal.

  47. Scungilli Slushy says:

    If Leon comes in under 9M, here is what’s possible (or the like) in 2018-2019

    Nuge 6 McDavid 12.5 Slepy 1.5
    Lucic 6 Drai 8.75 JP .925
    Cagguila 1.5 Strome 2.75 Kassian 1.95
    Khaira .675 Malone .650 Pak .850
    Gambardella .725
    Rattie .750

    Klef 4.167 Larsson 4.167
    Sekera 5.5 Russell 4
    Nurse 1.5 Benning 1.5
    Gryba.9

    Talbot 4.167
    Broissoit 1.0

    roster 23
    cap 75M
    cap hit 73.759M
    bonuses 2.5M
    cap space 1.24M

    Edit:
    Nurse and Benning on one or two year deals until one of Sekera or Russell can be moved to free up cap for them.

  48. barry.moore23 says:

    Is this a good time to sneak in that I love Kris Russell, Milan Lucic, Connor McDavid, LT, Woodguy and all things Edmonton Oilers ???

    Woo hoo !!!

  49. fuzzy muppet says:

    Nothing beats landing in San Francisco and opening your phone to this brilliant news!

  50. linkfromhyrule says:

    McNuge93: Ahh com on. the Leafs have a pretty good young star as well. Next year it will be them sweating to see how much they have to pay to lock him up.

    My comment was directed to a certain portion of Leaf fans who were apparent experts in reading facial expressions on lottery day.

    “Look at how disappointed he is that it was Edmonton”
    “He’ll leave that s**thole city at the first chance he gets”
    “Maybe he’ll hold out and refuse to play there”
    “The NHL should have rigged the lottery in favour of the Leafs”

    This is as much a vindication as it is a total win for the team and city. Whether they were right or not about Mcdavid’s feeling post-lottery win, he has still chosen to sign and play here for the prime of his career. A GTA boy chose the Albertan hinterland for the prime of his career, rather than the centre of the universe.

    This is a wonderful, great day.

  51. N64 says:

    When he retires would like to nominate Stamkos as Team Canada head scout:

    “I think he’s better than me right now. I wouldn’t have a second thought on saying that.”

    Sept. 8 2015

  52. McNuge93 says:

    Scungilli Slushy:
    If Leon comes in under 9M, here is what’s possible (or the like)in 2018-2019

    Nuge 6 McDavid 12.5 Slepy 1.5
    Lucic 6 Drai 8.75 JP .925
    Cagguila 1.5 Strome 2.75 Kassian 1.95
    Khaira .675 Malone .650 Pak .850
    Gambardella .725
    Rattie .750

    Klef 4.167 Larsson 4.167
    Sekera 5.5 Russell 4
    Nurse 1.5 Benning 1.5
    Gryba.9

    Talbot 4.167
    Broissoit 1.0

    roster 23
    cap 75M
    cap hit 73.759M
    bonuses 2.5M
    cap space 1.24M

    OK, but delete Nuge (I’ll have to change my nickname) and add Maroon. That’s give us a little extra room.

  53. LadiesloveSmid says:

    Bob sprinkling in now that this vet they may sign should have some wheels. No Jagr or Iginla I don’t think then. Wonder who, Jokinen?

  54. rickithebear says:

    Oilin4: But what are the cap hits going to be in for the 2025 season? My guess is there will be more higher than 12.5. It’s not a fair comparison to compare the 4th, 5th or 6th year of a contract’s cap hit to the first year straight up

    when dealing with people who want to look at the monetary value of contract
    at the time of signing.
    and not the %
    I go back with what did that Player leave per player when it was first signed.

    Crosby signed for 8.7m when the cap was 64.3M
    64.3M – 8.7M = 55.6M/22players = 2.527M

    Mcdavid signed for 12.5M when the cap was 75M
    75m – 12.5 = 62.5M/22 players = 2.841M

    Crosby that selfish bastard only left 2.527M per player
    and
    Mcdavid the saint left 2.841M per player.

    stops all the flames fans who think in dollars.

  55. YKOil says:

    SayItAin’tSo, Gretz, SayItAin’tSo!:
    The numbers can be debated until the sun goes down (snip)

    Not by me. $12.5M is a pretty fair number for the #1 (or #1A) player in the NHL.

    I will, however, continue to debate all other salaries. Except for Lucic’s. No debate there. That contract just makes me want to cry.

    The Oiler’s can’t afford anymore Lucic contracts.

  56. Professor Q says:

    LadiesloveSmid:
    Bob sprinkling in now that this vet they may sign should have some wheels. No Jagr or Iginla I don’t think then. Wonder who, Jokinen?

    I thought he said that today is his off-day?

  57. rickithebear says:

    Professor Q:
    striatic,

    He’s still 1.1% of the cap higher than Sid’s cap hit % from second contract, but I’m okay with that.

    you can only take the first 8 years.
    the other 4 are illegal.
    which worsks to 10.8M on a 64.3M cap
    16.796%

    Mcdavid
    12.5M of 75M
    16.667M

    or we can add the last 4 years of crosbys contract
    12 years @ 8.7M
    13.530%

    Mcdavid
    12years @ 9.833M
    13.111%

  58. Lowetide says:

    LadiesloveSmid:
    Bob sprinkling in now that this vet they may sign should have some wheels. No Jagr or Iginla I don’t think then. Wonder who, Jokinen?

    Drew Stafford? Someone mentioned that name to me today. He’s not a bullet, but he’s faster than the old pokes.

  59. leadfarmer says:

    rickithebear: you can only take the first 8 years.
    the other 4 are illegal.
    which worsks to 10.8M on a 64.3M cap
    16.796%

    Mcdavid
    12.5M of 75M
    16.667M

    or we can add the last 4 years of crosbys contract
    12 years @ 8.7M
    13.530%

    Mcdavid
    12years @ 9.833M
    13.111%

    No. Thats his third contract.

  60. Ducey says:

    LadiesloveSmid:
    Bob sprinkling in now that this vet they may sign should have some wheels. No Jagr or Iginla I don’t think then. Wonder who, Jokinen?

    Vanek, Campbell, Chiasson, PA Parenteau, Chris Kelly?

  61. Ribs says:

    LadiesloveSmid:
    Bob sprinkling in now that this vet they may sign should have some wheels. No Jagr or Iginla I don’t think then. Wonder who, Jokinen?

    Stalberg, maybe.

  62. Chachi says:

    Lowetide: Drew Stafford? Someone mentioned that name to me today. He’s not a bullet, but he’s faster than the old pokes.

    Was it Jim Matheson?

  63. Soup Fascist says:

    Lowetide: Drew Stafford? Someone mentioned that name to me today. He’s not a bullet, but he’s faster than the old pokes.

    Bob also mentioned leadership and ability to fit into the room. Add somebody with boots left – not sure who the mystery man is.

    Not many guys available check off all those boxes.

  64. McSorley33 says:

    I am curious as to who Bob is talking about….

    Leadership and ability to fit in a room has to be Iggy…..but the boots?

  65. franksterra says:

    Soup Fascist,

    “boots left” could be issue framing – maybe it is Iggy or JJ and they want to establish a narrative of something better than Absolute Zero Brownian Motion

  66. Todd Macallan says:

    Maybe Mike Fisher is this mystery UFA vet?

  67. npanciroli says:

    Jokinen or Jagr are who I want.

  68. McSorley33 says:

    Todd Macallan,

    Good call…..

  69. jake70 says:

    Hold it..hold it a minute. Wasn’t he supposed to bolt to Toronto at the first chance he got???

  70. Scungilli Slushy says:

    McNuge93: OK, but delete Nuge (I’ll have to change my nickname) and add Maroon. That’s give us a little extra room.

    True, the main thing is they can keep things much the same if Leon also comes in a little lower than expected. There will always be some turnover, but that should mean young guys pushing up. Good news.

  71. McSorley33 says:

    99.9999999999999999999999999 % I would hate signing ancient players who have glacial skating speed.

    But who can resist the idea of Jaromir Jagr for 1 year ?

  72. Scungilli Slushy says:

    Chachi: Was it Jim Matheson?

    No, he’s a terrible skater and avoids the blue paint.

  73. Chachi says:

    Scungilli Slushy: No, he’s a terrible skater and avoids the blue paint.

    Also first off the ice after practice.

  74. Ribs says:

    Soup Fascist: Bob also mentioned leadership and ability to fit into the room. Add somebody with boots left – not sure who the mystery man is.

    Not many guys available check off all those boxes.

    Hmm… Maybe we’re talking Scottie Upshall here.

  75. godot10 says:

    Lucic ($6 million)
    Draisaitl ($8.67 million)
    McDavid ($12.5 million)

    Lucic x 1.44 = Draisaitl
    Draisaitl x 1.44 = McDavid.

    I think Draisaitl should come in between $8.5 and $9 million on a 8-year deal.

  76. Chachi says:

    Ribs: Hmm… Maybe we’re talking Scottie Upshall here.

    Scott Hartnell?

  77. VOR says:

    rickithebear: when dealing with people who want to look at the monetary value of contract
    at the time of signing.
    and not the %
    I go back with what did that Player leave per player when it was first signed.

    Crosby signed for 8.7m when the cap was 64.3M
    64.3M – 8.7M = 55.6M/22players = 2.527M

    Mcdavid signed for 12.5M when the cap was 75M
    75m – 12.5 = 62.5M/22 players = 2.841M

    Crosby that selfish bastard only left 2.527M per player
    and
    Mcdavid the saint left 2.841M per player.

    stops all the flames fans who think in dollars.

    Ricki,

    Don’t we have to build in the actual average salary per team member. If your math is right (and I didn’t check it) then in the Crosby case you mention at 64.3 cap hit each of the players on an average team would be making an average salary of $2,795,652 and Crosby’s salary reduced that to 2,527,000 a difference of $268,652 or 0.42% of the cap. McDavid’s contract reduces an average salary of $3,260,870 (75/23) to $2,841,000 a difference of $419,870 or 0.56 of the cap.

    Just saying.

  78. slopitch says:

    Credit to David Staples for writing that post about him being greedy and taking too much money. Was worth 750k a year.

    I kid.

    AWESOME NEWS!

  79. Bobcaygeon says:

    So many positives today.

    I look at McDavids contract as a value contract and in 3 years it could very well be a value contract vs other elites and the cap.

    I still stand pat with Draisaitl at 7.5, the team still needs balance and anything over 7.5 takes away from balance.

    The only negative will be reading Lowetide’s “sail on rebel” in the upcoming year.

  80. Scungilli Slushy says:

    LadiesloveSmid:
    Bob sprinkling in now that this vet they may sign should have some wheels. No Jagr or Iginla I don’t think then. Wonder who, Jokinen?

    MAB? *ducks*

  81. McNuge93 says:

    McSorley33:

    But who can resist the idea of Jaromir Jagr for 1 year ?

    Certainly not any ofl the young ladies in Edmonton.

  82. Wild Bill Hunter says:

    commonfan29,

    Baloney! Nobody with any inside info told him anything. He either made a shot in the dark guess or quoted somebody making a shot in the dark guess. Please remember this when you want to tell someone how “connected” Elliote Friedman is. btw I am not speaking about you in particular but I read that so many times over the past couple of weeks that it made me just about puke.

  83. Soup Fascist says:

    McNuge93: Certainly not any ofl the young ladies in Edmonton.

    By “young” in context of JJ, you mean under 44 years old, right?

  84. McNuge93 says:

    Soup Fascist: By “young” in context of JJ, you mean under 44 years old, right?

    From my perspective anything under 60 is young.

  85. LoDog says:

    Bobcaygeon:
    So many positives today.

    I look at McDavids contract as a value contract and in 3 years it could very well be a value contract vs other elites and the cap.

    I still stand pat with Draisaitl at 7.5, the team still needs balance and anything over 7.5 takes away from balance.

    The only negative will be reading Lowetide’s “sail on rebel”in the upcoming year.

    Agreed. I guessed McD at 12.25 and Drai at 7.5, I could see it being 7.8 but thats it.

  86. VOR says:

    Scungillis slushy,

    Good on you for trying to point out the problem.

    A few minor caveats. The first is Benning, Cagguila, Slepyshev, and Strome have arbitration rights I believe. So your numbers for them are probably far too low based on average arbitration awards (if the players choose to go that route – and at your numbers they would). I don’t think your take less now and we will pay you more later idea works because even in your model it is very hard to see where that future money would come from – and the players will know there is a chance the cap goes flat.

    If they arb out then Benning is probably $2.5 to $3.0 Slepy is $2.0-$2.5, Strome is $3.0, and Cagguila is $2.0-$2.5. This assumes the Oilers get lucky in arbitration with each player. It also assumes they all continue to progress. If they don’t the Oilers are in deep, deep trouble. If any of them really go super nova and that isn’t impossible while it is great this coming year next year the Oilers are in deep, deep trouble. The Oilers, your efforts are clearly showing they are the Goldilocks team their young players all have to improve just right – not too little, not too much. I am not liking the odds.

    If Brossoit plays 20 games as good as the few he played this year he will want more than a million dollars and Nurse is, as far as I am concerned a big black box. If the Oilers sign a free agent D to help out this year my guess is your number is probably good. If they don’t he might well get $2 million plus.

    That would put you over the existing cap. You have to move Nuge for futures. But you get Maroon back.

    Now try to fit in Kailer Yamamoto and his bonuses which will leave you with a big bonus penalty in 2019-2020. With Talbot and Puljujarvi to sign and now all these cap hits continuing forward.

    Assume your lineup with Nuge out, Maroon in, and Yamamoto in plus a lower end free agent signing. Is that team good enough to win a Stanley Cup?

    What you have convinced me of is that the Oilers need to try to go for the Cup this year. Because even with a $3 million cap increase into 2018-2019 and another in 2019-2020 the Oilers are going to be forced to run with in-house developed talent and endless cheap new kids and lower end free agents and golden oldies. Yes, it worked for Pittsburgh but they had a mature tandem that happens to include (especially if you adjust the numbers for the dead puck era) – two of the best playoff scorers hockey has ever seen.

    Scungilli Slushy:
    If Leon comes in under 9M, here is what’s possible (or the like)in 2018-2019

    Nuge 6 McDavid 12.5 Slepy 1.5
    Lucic 6 Drai 8.75 JP .925
    Cagguila 1.5 Strome 2.75 Kassian 1.95
    Khaira .675 Malone .650 Pak .850
    Gambardella .725
    Rattie .750

    Klef 4.167 Larsson 4.167
    Sekera 5.5 Russell 4
    Nurse 1.5 Benning 1.5
    Gryba.9

    Talbot 4.167
    Broissoit 1.0

    roster 23
    cap 75M
    cap hit 73.759M
    bonuses 2.5M
    cap space 1.24M

  87. Truth says:

    This announcement is great for the Oilers in regards to Draisaitl. The best player in the league took a max contract length term at discount. Is he going eat up all of those savings by being greedy? Not a good look if he does.

  88. Scungilli Slushy says:

    VOR:
    Scungillis slushy,

    Good on you for trying to point out the problem.

    A few minor caveats. The first is Benning, Cagguila, Slepyshev, and Strome have arbitration rights I believe. So your numbers for them are probably far too low based on average arbitration awards (if the players choose to go that route – and at your numbers they would). I don’t think your take less now and we will pay you more later idea works because even in your model it is very hard to see where that future money would come from – and the players will know there is a chance the cap goes flat.

    If they arb out then Benning is probably $2.5 to $3.0 Slepy is $2.0-$2.5, Strome is $3.0, and Cagguila is $2.0-$2.5. This assumes the Oilers get lucky in arbitration with each player. It also assumes they all continue to progress. If they don’t the Oilers are in deep, deep trouble. If any of them really go super nova and that isn’t impossible while it is great this coming year next year the Oilers are in deep, deep trouble. The Oilers, your efforts are clearly showing they are the Goldilocks team their young players all have to improve just right – not too little, not too much. I am not liking the odds.

    If Brossoit plays 20 games as good as the few he played this year he will want more than a million dollars and Nurse is, as far as I am concerned a big black box. If the Oilers sign a free agent D to help out this year my guess is your number is probably good. If they don’t he might well get $2 million plus.

    That would put you over the existing cap. You have to move Nuge for futures. But you get Maroon back.

    Now try to fit in Kailer Yamamoto and his bonuses which will leave you with a big bonus penalty in 2019-2020. With Talbot and Puljujarvi to sign and now all these cap hits continuing forward.

    Assume your lineup with Nuge out, Maroon in, and Yamamoto in plus a lower end free agent signing. Is that team good enough to win a Stanley Cup?

    What you have convinced me of is that the Oilers need to try to go for the Cup this year. Because even with a $3 million cap increase into 2018-2019 and another in 2019-2020 the Oilers are going to be forced to run with in-house developed talent and endless cheap new kids and lower end free agents and golden oldies. Yes, it worked for Pittsburgh but they had a mature tandem that happens to include (especially if you adjust the numbers for the dead puck era) – two of the best playoff scorers hockey has ever seen.

    Yes they could lose players to cap. My thought is that Nurse and Benning can be asked to wait a year so cap can be cleared.

    One change that has been discussed and I think valid is that if the league’s best players start to get paid high cap % it has to push down everyone else. If the team has another great year players might choose, as they do with other contending teams, to take less to be a role player on a contender, as opposed to getting more and living it up out of the playoffs in Miami, Las Vegas or Calgary.

    If they want money let them go, next man up. If somebody breaks out that is a problem in it’s own contract wise, but then you do have a player that’s emerging, so again adjustments are made and another young guys gets his shot.

    If Leon comes in nice the cap pressure is reduced, some of the rumoured or max amounts made it really hard to piece what looks like a strong team on Mr Friendly.

  89. N64 says:

    godot10:
    Lucic ($6 million)
    Draisaitl ($8.67 million)
    McDavid ($12.5 million)

    Lucic x 1.44 = Draisaitl
    Draisaitl x 1.44 = McDavid.

    I think Draisaitl should come in between $8.5 and $9 million on a 8-year deal.

    I expect 8 x 8.5, but I think a fairer contract would give us more balance:

    Draisaitl ($7.725 million)
    McDavid ($12.5 million)
    Total ($20.225 million)

    Draisaitl x 1.618 = McDavid
    McDavid x 1.618 = Total

    Then LT can post a balance photo:

    https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:7234014_Parthenonas.JPG

  90. gogliano says:

    One thing that doesn’t get mentioned enough is that McDavid’s contract doesn’t kick in until next year. An NHL inflation-adjusted 2017-2018 salary equivalent to his first year on the new K is closer to $12 million.

    That’s value all the way through for the best player in the world but it will be a wonderful contract on the back half.

  91. Oddspell says:

    Joey Legs files for arbitration.

  92. Gross misconduct says:

    Hey Toronto…Mcdavid is happy here. Time to move on from the Mcdavid will bolt from Edmonton first chance he gets narrative.

  93. Professor Q says:

    Chachi: http://www.thehockeynews.com/news/article/jaromir-jagr-blackmailed-with-photo-could-not-care-less-about-it

    I do feel really terrible about her boyfriend/his teammate in that scenario, however. Never an excuse for that.

  94. Chachi says:

    Professor Q,

    Agreed!

  95. Hall Awaits says:

    CONNOR MCDAVID. The Hockey Gods truly blessed an entire city and fanbase. Incredible.

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