The Edmonton Oilers return from California with yet another confirmation that this team, as constructed, isn’t good enough for the playoffs. As other teams gear up for the postseason, they will say goodbye to teammates at the deadline and some will say goodbye to their NHL careers at season’s end. Losing teams sewer NHL careers like hell won’t have it. On this blog, we’re moving on. Beginning today, we talk of summer.
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- New Lowetide: Kailer Yamamoto’s Future
- New Jonathan Willis: Would trading Leon Draisaitl get the Oilers closer to Stanley?
- New Lowetide: How Good is Kirill Maksimov?
- Lowetide: Now is the time to play Khaira and Puljujarvi
- Lowetide: Draft 2018: Oilers and the WHL.
- Lowetide: What would Sam Pollock do?
- Lowetide: Oilers Keeper List
- Lowetide: Draft 2018: Oilers and the WHL.
- Lowetide: Oilers draft history and the OHL
- Lowetide: Oilers draft and college returns
- Lowetide: Central Scouting and where the Oilers shop for talent
SOUND AND VISION, YEAR OVER YEAR
- February 2016: 2-3-0, goal differential -3 (4 points)
- February 2017: 2-3-0, goal differential -4 (4 points)
- February 2018: 1-3-1, goal differential -3 (3 points)
- February 11, 2016: Edmonton 5, Toronto 2 (Source)
- February 16, 2016: Edmonton 6, Philadelphia 3 (Source)
The Oilers wins are still important (GM & Coach won’t survive a long losing streak, although it may be over for one or both anyway) but we’re likely to see odd line and pairings combinations now as Edmonton showcases their tradeable talent.
AFTER 54, YEAR OVER YEAR
- Oilers 15-16: 21-28-5, goal differential -32 (47 points)
- Oilers 16-17: 28-18-8, goal differential +15 (64 points)
- Oilers 17-18: 23-27-4, goal differential -26 (50 points)
- February 9, 2016: New Jersey 2, Edmonton 1 (Source)
- February 5, 2017: Edmonton 1, Montreal 0 (Source)
The list of needs is great, goaltending was a problem this year and special teams a train wreck. There’s some cap room and the team could move a center and a lefty blue.
WHAT TO EXPECT FROM FEBRUARY
- At home to: Colorado, Tampa Bay (Expected 0-1-1) (Actual 1-0-1)
- On the road to: Los Angeles, Anaheim, San Jose (Expected 1-1-1) (Actual 0-3-0)
- At home to: Florida (Expected 1-0-0) (Actual 0-0-0)
- On the road to: Vegas, Arizona, Colorado (Expected 2-1-0) (Actual 0-0-0)
- At home to: Boston, Colorado (Expected 1-1-0) (Actual 0-0-0)
- On the road to: Los Angeles, Anaheim, San Jose (Expected 0-2-1) (Actual 0-0-0)
- Overall expected result: 5-6-3, 13 points in 14 games
- Current results: 1-3-1, three points in five games
There are a couple of winnable games this week, Oilers often have trouble getting up for games against less than stellar opponents. It’s also true that some opponents will be pulling the chute on winning but we’re not there yet. Florida and Arizona should be wins this week.
— Worlds Longest Game (@longest_game) February 12, 2018
POSSIBLE OFFSEASON ROSTER
Can’t make it work. You need six more forwards, one of whom is on a skill line and another on the third line. If the Oilers fill the depth holes internally, the following players could see the NHL in 2018-19 (all numbers via CapFriendly):
- 3R Kailer Yamamoto, who would make $1.155 million including bonuses.
- 4L Drake Caggiula, we’ll estimate his new deal at $1.2 million.
- 5R Iiro Pakarinen, we’ll estimate his new deal at $750,000.
- 4C Brad Malone, he’ll make $650,000 in 2018-19.
- 5C Mitch Callahan, he’ll make $700,000 in 2018-19.
All-in, that means the Oilers will have less than $2 million for the No. 1 left-wing on the roster. Can’t be done. As we have discussed many times, that means one of Oscar Klefbom, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or the first-round pick would be heading out. The only two outs are grabbing another Patrick Maroon for Patrick Maroon or Mark Letestu at the deadline, winning the right to draft one of those insane skill wingers at No. 2 or No. 3 overall, winning the lottery outright (allowing a trade of LHD easily), or someone to release their no-movement clause (likely Sekera). Peter Chiarelli has boxed himself in based on what I can see, perhaps he has an out that is not known to us. Seems unlikely.
Does TOR make a “move” today? Broad definition on move. IIRC, Soshnikov’s AHL stint now over. Need roster spot. Could demote Dermott/Kapanen but big game vs. TB tonite, not optimal. Trade Sosh? Martin? Leivo? Put someone on IR? Some other Lou Lamoriello/Brandon Pridham sorcery?
— Bob McKenzie (@TSNBobMcKenzie) February 12, 2018
Best to bet IR, but Leivo would be an interesting bet for Edmonton. This club badly needs value contracts for next season and Leivo has done some fine work in a part-time role. There are less than 30 games left in the season, we should see Jesse Puljujarvi, Jujhar Khaira and Anton Slepyshev in every game. If Slepyshev doesn’t fit the coach, then maybe he’s the guy heading out for Leivo. I’ll tell you though, I think Slepyshev can play.
LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE
A busy morning and a fluid show in terms of guests. All starts at 10, TSN1260, expect we’ll be adding a CFL guest to discuss free agency. Scheduled to appear:
- Pierre Lebrun, TSN and The Athletic. Trade deadline rumors heating up!
- Jason Gregor, TSN1260. CFL free agency, Oilers.
10-1260 text, @Lowetide on twitter.