G78 2017-18: Oilers at Canucks

In the last 10 games, Edmonton has a record of 5-3-2. The Vancouver Canucks, who have won two in a row, are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games. Tonight, Edmonton can move into No. 22 in the overall standings, ahead of the Manhattan Rangers. That would mean the Oilers would be scheduled to pick No. 10 before winning the lottery. This winning streak isn’t as bad as the “Patrick Kane victory” but has robbed the organization of an elite talent. Unless……the lottery offers salvation. Again.

THE ATHLETIC!

Great offer! Includes a free 7-day trial so you can try The Athletic on for size free and see if they enjoy the in-depth, ad-free coverage on the site. Offer is here.

HAMMER ON A DRUM, YEAR OVER YEAR

  • March 2016: 7-7-0, goal differential -2 (14 points)
  • March 2017: 10-2-1, goal differential +21 (21 points)
  • March 2018: 7-5-2, goal differential +3 (16 points)
  • March 28, 2016: Anaheim 2, Edmonton 1 (Source)
  • March 2017 schedule complete

There are two more games to go and both would appear to be winnable (Vancouver and Calgary). A 20-point month would be an insane end to a pretty queer season. The goal differential has taken a major kick in the ass over the last four periods, perhaps the team can get some of it back by Sunday and turkey time.

AFTER 77, YEAR OVER YEAR

  • Oilers 15-16: 30-40-7, goal differential -45 (67 points)
  • Oilers 16-17: 43-25-9, goal differential +39 (95 points)
  • Oilers 17-18: 34-37-6, goal differential -29 (74 points)
  • March 26, 2016: Los Angeles 6, Edmonton 4 (Source)
  • April 1, 2017: Edmonton 3, Anaheim 2 (OT) (Source)

There are 10 points still on the table and if you’re Todd McLellan every damned one of them means something. Now, he doesn’t have his complete roster and running the table is impossible, but driving up to 80 points should be the goal.

WHAT TO EXPECT FROM MARCH

  • At home to: Nashville, NY Rangers, Arizona, NY Islanders, Minnesota (Expected 2-3-0) (Actual 3-2-0)
  • On the road to: Calgary (Expected 0-1-0) (Actual 0-1-0)
  • At home to: San Jose (Expected 0-0-1) (Actual 0-0-1)
  • On the road to: Florida, Tampa Bay, Carolina, Ottawa (Expected 1-2-1) (Actual 3-1-0)
  • At home to: Los Angeles, Anaheim, Columbus (Expected 2-1-0) (Actual 1-1-1)
  • On the road to: Vancouver, Calgary (Expected 1-0-1) (Actual 0-0-0)
  • Overall expected result: 6-7-3, 15 points in 16 games
  • Current results: 7-5-2, 16 points in 14 games

JOE GAMBARDELLA, BAKERSFIELD

  • October-February: 32gp, 5-5-10
  • March: 10gp, 7-0-7
  • Source

I’m preparing an article about Bakersfield’s season for The Athletic, looking at statistical curios and indications that youngsters progressed during the campaign. Joe Gambardella has been on fire in March, scoring seven times in 10 games. Does this indicate a step forward? In my opinion, it’s more likely he is receiving more playing time and with better linemates. You can’t really tell much from a season of fourth-line minutes.

I’m not sure about the criteria (99, Messier, Anderson all scored over 100 in 1982-83 at 21) but McDavid’s presence on this list is incredible. You have to remember the era and just how much adjusting there is to do. The 1981-82 Oilers scored 417 goals, fully 96 more than the league average of 321. This year’s Oilers have scored 220 in a league that is averaging 227. Yeah. The era-adjustment is a monster. If I had a vote, McDavid would be No. 1 on my ballot for the Hart.

Those early Expos teams were part baseball, part carnival. The PA man was a big star (“Johhhn BOCCCCCC-A-BELLLLLLLAAAAAA”) and Claude Raymond (a Canadian) received a hero’s welcome each time he came in from the bullpen. Rusty Staub came to the Expos in a strange trade that almost got reversed (slugger Donn Clendenon wouldn’t report to Houston) but eventually got worked out (cost the Expos a great arm, Jack Billingham). He averaged 27 home runs, 92 rbi’s and 95 runs scored in his three seasons in Canada, Staub was the heart of the order. When they traded him to the Mets, I was spitting nails. The return was handsome (Ken Singleton was a more productive player, Tim Foli an everyday shortstop and Mike Jorgensen possibly the best fielding first baseman in team history), but my hero had been traded. I followed him in New York (he tore the cover off the ball in the 1973 World Series) and to Detroit where he spent some time as an early DH. When he returned to Montreal in 1979, I was thrilled to have him for the pennant race. Rusty Staub died today, and took some of me with him. RIP.

LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE

At 10 this morning, TSN1260. It’s our final show of the week and the guests are outstanding:

  • Steve Lansky, BigMouthSports. Opening day baseball! Plus Easter and family, goodbye Mr. Staub.
  • Andrew Stoeten, The Athletic. Opening day! Jays are going to win 90!
  • Rob Vollman, NHL.com and ESPN. Who deserves the Hart, plus late additions who are helping.
  • Frank Seravalli, TSN. Deadline deals that have worked, and those that haven’t.

10-1260 text, @Lowetide on twitter. See you on the radio.

 

 

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207 Responses to "G78 2017-18: Oilers at Canucks"

« Older Comments
  1. Wilde says:

    godot10:
    Pierre-Luc Dubois with the hattrick against the Flames tonight.

    With PLD’s hattrick, he climbs up to 0.84 goals per hour in all situations.

    He has played 1061 minutes at 5v5, and 146 minutes on John Tortorella’s first unit powerplay.

    He has played 739 minutes 5v5 with the Jacket’s best player, Artemi Panarin. That’s roughly 70% of his ice time.

    Jesse Puljujarvi has 0.80 goals per hour at 5v5 alone.

    With a lower shooting percentage.

    With half of the share of ice-time (35% ish) with the best player that Dubois has.

  2. Professor Q says:

    JimmyV1965: Ouch. I thought it was a year earlier.

    It could in fact be ended up to 2 years earlier (September 2019 or September 2020 instead of September 2021) by either/both of the owners and/or players.

  3. Professor Q says:

    Doug McLachlan: I am ok with #Faux500 as a target.Would also like to win the Gold race, currently trailing Arizona.Worked in the McDavid draft so, you know, why not?

    Wasn’t Edmonton like 3rd last in that draft and leap frogged to get the pick? They are way ahead this year at 7th/8th. Hopefully good things happen in the lottery, though.

  4. NYC-Back-to-Tokyo Oil (Gentleman Backpacker) says:

    Wilde,

    I feel like I am culpable when all I said was he does not belong out on the 6 on 5.

    McLellan keeps going there and he keeps JP and Slepyshev down.

    Getting to the point where I think a fresh mind behind the bench is needed. Talk continuity all you want., but one possible result of continuity is insanity (doing the same thing over and over and expecting different results).

  5. OriginalPouzar says:

    Ribs: Current CBA expires after 2021–22 season. Could Lucic survive that long?

    JimmyV1965: Ouch. I thought it was a year earlier.

    Both the NHL and the NHLPA have the option to opt out early effective September 15, 2020 (the option must be exercised by the fall of 2019).

  6. OriginalPouzar says:

    Professor Q: It could in fact be ended up to 2 years earlier (September 2019 or September 2020 instead of September 2021) by either/both of the owners and/or players.

    Can’t be ended in 2019 – the option to terminate early must be exercised in 2019 but, whether its by the league or the players, if exercised, the termination is effective September 15, 2020.

  7. Professor Q says:

    OriginalPouzar,

    Indeed. I was mis-reading it.

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