Draft Post No. 1: Lock, Stock and Two Smoking Barrels

We’re inside the trade window now, teams positioning themselves for the draft and free agency by using assets great and small to acquire talent. Yesterday we discussed a Terry Jones article that put everyone on notice: Edmonton is about to do something in the procurement market. What would that look like?

THE ATHLETIC!

Great playoff special! try The Athletic on for size free and see if they enjoy the in-depth, ad-free coverage on the site. Offer is here. There’s a 7-day free trial and the cost for an annual subscription is less than one (or two) coffee per month, depending on where you buy your coffee. We have a mountain of good reading to come in the next 30 days at The Athletic Edmonton, including draft coverage, prospect updates and reaction to the deals of summer. Join us, for the Oilers coverage, stay for all of the other brilliant writing on the site.

OILERS 2018 DRAFT PICKS

  • First Round—No. 10 overall. Ty Smith
  • Second Round—No. 40 overall. Liam Foudy.
  • Third Round—No. 71 overall. Sean Durzi
  • Fourth Round—No. 102 overall (Oilers acquired goaltender Al Montoya from the Montreal Canadiens in exchange for a conditional fourth-round pick in 2018. Montoya covered the condition).
  • Fifth Round—No. 133 overallPavel Gogolev
  • Sixth Round—No. 164 overall. 
  • Seventh Round—No. 195 overall

Using Craig Button’s list I linked to yesterday, Edmonton’s top three selections would be Oliver Wahlstrom, Liam Foudy and John Gruden. That would be a massive draft.

CHIARELLI’S NEEDS LIST

  1. A scoring winger capable of sliding up and down the depth chart as required (Rattie insurance and a finisher for Leon’s line).
  2. A two-way winger who can provide veteran presence on the third line.
  3. A second-pairing defender (patience may require this solution arrives later).
  4. A backup goalie (Mikko Noskinen).

CHIARELLI’S ASSET LIST

  1. Oscar Klefbom
  2. Jesse Puljujarvi
  3. No. 10 overall
  4. Andrej Sekera
  5. Ryan Strome
  6. Kris Russell
  7. Zack Kassian
  8. Milan Lucic

I have included the NMC’s due to Milan Lucic’s presence on the TSN Trade List. This list isn’t pulled out of nowhere and there are some amazing names on it (more in a minute).

TARGETS

The TSN trade list is fascinating. Compiled by the insiders and focused on names in play, last year’s list identified 10 (33 percent) of a 30-man list who would eventually move on. Milan Lucic makes the list, Oscar Klefbom does not (but did make an appearance here). Again, the people behind the work aren’t just making things up. Here are the fascinating names that may be of interest to Edmonton this month (with years left on contract).

  • L Mike Hoffman, Ottawa Senators. I’m a big fan of this player, brilliant scorer. (2) (5.187M)
  • L Jeff Skinner, Carolina Hurricanes. Speed merchant and a born scorer. (1) (5.725M)
  • L Max Pacioretty, Montreal Canadiens. Talented scorer. (1) (4.5M)
  • LD Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Arizona Coyotes. If he’s available, Oilers will push. (1) (5.5M)
  • RD P.K. Subban, Nashville Predators. Why is he always available (4) (9.0M)
  • RD Dougie Hamilton, Calgary Flames. The impossible dream (3) (5.75M)
  • L Max Domi, Arizona Coyotes. He’s a skilled player on a struggling team (RFA)
  • L Alex Galchenyuk, Montreal Canadiens. He would be a solid addition (2) (4.9M)
  • L Andre Burakovsky, Washington Capitals. He’s a brilliant young player (1) (3.0M)
  • RD Chris Tanev, Vancouver Canucks. Seldom mentioned, he can help the Oilers (2) (4.45M)
  • L Vladislav Namestnikov, NY Rangers. Skilled winger apparently available. (RFA)

Plenty of options, lots of cap. I like Burakovsky a lot but can’t imagine the Capitals dealing him. If you can trade Lucic without retaining (more in a minute) then maybe it’s possible to snag one of these fine wingers (Hoffman would be my choice). As for defensemen, they all have appeal but price is an issue.

MILAN LUCIC

  • Jason Gregor, TSN1260: “I’ve heard that he (Lucic) would be open to a trade but obviously he’s going to have to agree to the city. If you’re moving him, you’re taking on a bad contract as well.” Source

Gregor was in conversation with Ryan Rishaug at the time, and Rishaug said he thought the team would be better off just bringing Lucic back as opposed to dealing him for another difficult contract. I agree with him, depending on the actual player coming back. You get into problems, like Corey Perry at 33 with a $8.625M contract for three more years (all of the numbers via CapFriendly) or Bobby Ryan ($7.25M times four) because there are other contracts out there for more than $6 million times five more years.

SCARED STRAIGHT

It also gets into an area I’ve mentioned a few times, and that is Peter Chiarelli’s pursuit of the aged. When in Boston, he added men like Mark Recchi and Tomas Kaberle, who were long in the tooth and then some, and he had success in doing it. Which brings me to Dion Phaneuf, he of the $7 million contract times three. A team owning this contract might see Lucic as an attractive trade option, and Phaneuf’s 3.98 5×4/60 scoring number a year ago might have some appeal.

CURRENT 50-MAN LIST

If the Oilers reach July 5 with Ty Smith, John Gruden, Thomas Vanek, Derek Ryan and Austin Czarnik, I’ll consider it a successful summer. The problem? Peter Chiarelli is an aggressive general manager who wants to add a power-play expert who plays defense. Torey Krug, making $5.25M for two more years, is likely going to cost you Oscar Klefbom. It continues a trend by PC of addressing specific need while also overpaying in the marketplace.

LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE

A fun, busy Thursday morning awaits us, beginning at 10 on TSN1260. A special thanks to everyone I met yesterday at the TSN1260 Golf Tournament, thanks for the kind words and hope you enjoyed the pie. Scheduled to appear:

  • LHP Erik Sabrowski, Cloud County CC. He was drafted this week by the San Diego Padres, making St. Albert and the entire Edmonton area proud. We’ll find out how he found out, ask about his baseball experience growing up and find out where he’s heading next.
  • Jason Rogers, Japers Rink. Long-suffering Capitals fans are on the verge of the team’s first Stanley. From an overwhelmed Milt Schmidt trying to make sense of the worst expansion pool in history to crazy trades and some of the game’s most entertaining players, they have finally reached the pinnacle of hockey. We’ll chat.
  • Rob Vollman, NHL.com and ESPN. Barry Trotz bet on himself and it’s going to be raining money this summer. We’ll also chat about Erik Karlsson and where he might land.
  • Frank Seravalli, TSN. Final hockey game until fall tonight? SCF game five preview, plus a look at the TSN trade list.

10-1260 text, @Lowetide on twitter. Talk soon!

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203 Responses to "Draft Post No. 1: Lock, Stock and Two Smoking Barrels"

« Older Comments
  1. OriginalPouzar says:

    ArmchairGM: I smell a 3-way with Vancouver.

    Wouldn’t be the first time for a 3-way in Vancouver……. wait a second, are we talking about the same thing……

  2. VOR says:

    JimmyV1965:
    I’m not sure if this has been discussed yet, but where does everyone think this year’s draft stacks up to last year’s draft. Where would the top two picks from last year be ranked this year?

    Even years after the fact it can be hard to compare drafts. Here we are talking about a year old draft and one that hasn’t happened yet. #1 last year would be 3 this year. #2 last year isn’t as clear cut. Probably 5 or 6 this year. But maybe as high as three.

    I think we can say there are several very high end prospects this year (Dahlin and Svechnikov) who would have gone 1,2 last year and there seems to be more depth overall this year.

    I am on record as saying I think this year’s draft and the next are critical to get right. Like 2002 and 2003 the players from this draft will get extra development time from the pro pal lockout. Teams that aced 2002, 2003 have done great since. Though those players have aged out or are aging out.

  3. ArmchairGM says:

    OriginalPouzar: Wouldn’t be the first time for a 3-way in Vancouver……. wait a second, are we talking about the same thing……

    lol

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