I see the bad moon arising, I see trouble on the way
I see earthquakes and lightnin, I see bad times today
Dont go around tonight, its bound to take your life
Theres a bad moon on the rise
I hear hurricanes ablowing, I know the end is coming soon
I fear rivers over flowing, I hear the voice of rage and ruin
John Fogerty is a talented songwriter and musician, but quite possibly the worst business man ever. No matter how much he’s earned from his music, he’s paid out that and more to people with 1/10 the talent.
Talent is on the mind of Oilers fans this week. The Oilers HAVE talent, just not in the quantities that they and other NHL teams might find useful. The Oilers have players who will have NHL careers, but their value and exactly what they can do hasn’t yet been established. So they are “prospects” or “suspects” but they are not worth 100 cents on the dollar.
An interesting media interview with Kevin Lowe was on Bob Stauffer’s show on the Team 1260 this afternoon. Lowe basically said he’s making more calls then he’s getting, and although he is open for business there’s not a lot shaking (that last portion is me summing it up, he didn’t say that).
I believe that’s predictable. The players Edmonton needs to keep (actual NHL players who can help you win games) are the only ones other clubs are interested in, as they try to fill the slots at the top end of their roster. The prospects and young NHLers EDM has are useful at the trade deadline and then after the draft and UFA season in summer.
Why? Well, with the UFA list not yet exhausted NHL teams are going with option A, which might be Scott Gomez or Paul Kariya or Brian Rafalski. Once those players find homes, and once some other holes are filled at the draft, then players like Marc Pouliot and Rob Schremp may have some value.
This week Lowe’s assets for trade include three first round picks this season and two next year. A clear reflection of the strength of this year’s draft is that EDM’s 1st rder in 2008 might be the most valuable asset available on draft day.
Hey, don’t get me wrong. I hope that on draft day Edmonton deals Matt Greene, Rob Schremp and the 30th overall pick for Wade Redden, but for the life of me I can’t find a good reason for Ottawa to make that trade.
This time next week I think the main topic of conversation for Oiler fans will be how high they’ll pick next season and who will replace Kevin Lowe when he’s canned in the spring.
The Oilers are similar to the Maple Leafs. They have players of value they don’t want to trade, players of value who are overpriced for the marketplace, and unproven talent they must develop in order to create interest.
If you’re a draft nut, this is going to be fun. If you like to see your team win hockey games, please direct your attention to the top of this post and Mr. Fogerty.