A few items: These numbers nick the minor/junior numbers by many percent and follow the Gabriel Desjardins’ Equivalencies for each league, which is an “average” of several seasons and would probably go up or down using this past season’s results (either in the “average” mix or stand alone).
For instance, the OHL is a higher scoring league now but is still rated as being a tougher league to score in than the QMJHL (as an example). So Sam Gagner’s numbers might still be too inflated and Slava Trukhno’s might need a little more air in the tires. Either way, it gives an indication.
One final note: the Desjardins’ number is in 82gp form, and assumes that said player would come to the NHL and play in exactly the same slot in the lineup and get exactly the same minutes. Age in brackets.
- Sam Gagner: 16-39-55 (17)
- Slava Trukhno: 10-29-39 (19)
- Ryan O’Marra: 14-13-27 (19)
- Fedrik Pettersson: 10-14-24 (19)
- Sebastien Bisaillon: 4-14-18 (19)
- Theo Peckham: 5-11-16 (18)
- Alex Plante: 3-13-16 (17)
Gagner played for London remember, and the Schremp ATOI made it impossible to really project him to pro level. Pettersson is no longer a part of the organization, but I thought we’d include him anyway.
- Andrew Cogliano 17-19-36 (19)
- David Rohlfs 11-11-22 (22)
- Taylor Chorney 6-15-21 (19)
- Colin McDonald 10-3-13 (22)
- Cody Wild 5-7-12 (19)
- Geoff Paukovich 5-7-12 (20)
- Chris VandeVelde 2-4-6 (19)
- Matt Glasser 0-0-0 (19)
Cogliano had a terrific season, as did Chorney. Considering their ages these two may make that 2005 draft look terrific in a couple of years.
- Alexei Mikhnov (RSL) 82gp, 26-19-45 (24)
- Dragan Umicevic (SEL) 82gp, 16-19-35 (22)
- Jozef Hrabel (CZE & RSL) 7-19-26 (21)
- Denis Grebeshkov (RSL) 82gp, 10-13-23 (23)
- Linus Omark (SEL) 10-12-22 (19)
- Mikhail Joukov (RSL) 82gp, 3-16-19 (21)
- Jonas Almtorp (SEL) 82gp, 7-9-16 (22)
- Alexander Bumagin (RSL) 82gp, 3-5-8 (19)
- Fredrik Johansson (SEL) 82gp, 1-5-6 (22)
Mikhnov’s numbers were in very few games (11gp, 5-2-7 with Lokomotiv) and of course he may or may not come over for camp this fall. Umicevic is gone, Hrabel is probably still Oilers property and Grebeshkov has a one way contract with the big club. Almtorp remains a prospect of interest, especially considering his solid NHL camp one fall ago.
- Robert Nilsson 82gp, 10-27-37 (21)
- Marc Pouliot 82gp, 16-20-36 (21)
- Jean Francois Jacques 82gp, 13-23-36 (21)
- Kyle Brodziak 82gp, 15-20-35 (22)
- Rob Schremp 82gp, 10-21-31 (20)
- Tom Gilbert 82gp, 3-18-21 (23)
- Mathieu Roy 82gp, 7-13-20 (23)
- Tyler Spurgeon 82gp, 6-12-18 (20)
- Alexei Mikhnov 82gp, 6-12-18 (24)
- Danny Syvret 82gp, 3-11-14 (21)
- Zack Stortini 82gp, 7-5-12 (20)
- Brock Radunske 82gp, 3-0-3 (23)
- Troy Bodie 82gp, 0-2-2 (21)
- Bryan Young 82gp, 0-1-1 (20)
For me this is a really good indication about how close some of these prospects are in terms of NHL potential. Nilsson probably warrants the first shot before Schremp, but if healthy and effective in the AHL could Schremp push a struggling Nilsson? Could Brodziak take some playing time from both? Could Jacques put it all together? The AHL NHLE’s are just really interesting to me this season. Mathieu Roy shows well here, Mikhnov looks less impressive (an averaged number between the two leagues for Traktor Boy gets you 16-16-32).
Based on these numbers, the players who are candidates to surprise in camp are Gagner, Trukno, Cogliano and Brodziak.
And Jacques. Jacques is completely under the radar based on the disaster that was his NHL season, but his Triple A numbers say he can play. Is Jacques going to be hockey’s Anthony Shines?