I believe this to be the Colin McDonald who is the Edmonton Oilers prospect. He scored the only goal for the Oiler rookies in the Golden Bears game last night and was (according to many reports) their best player.
I don’t think there’s much surprise there. Colin McDonald will turn 23 later this month, and is only 13 and a half months younger than Ales Hemsky.
He’s a man.
He’s pretty much 5 years older than William Quist, who also played and impressed some in the game (Guy Flaming will have an interview with Quist on his show tonight).
Colin McDonald’s draft day scouting report read like this:
- Owns projectable size (6-2, 190) and a nice touch around the net. Will attend Providence College. Needs to prove he can put up numbers against stiffer competition or risk being labeled a checker.
- He will need time to develop. He’ll attend Providence College for at least two years, but may leave early if there’s an opportunity to crack the Oilers lineup at that time.
- Has a heavy shot, goes to the net consistently. Doesn’t have a scorer’s touch.
That is three different scouting reports and there’s some inconsistency (“nice touch around the net” and “doesn’t have a scorer’s touch” are at odds). This sometimes happens, especially with a player who isn’t scouted heavily (McDonald was in the EJHL the season of his draft). His goal totals in the NCAA over 4 seasons put to rest any questions about his being a scorer (10,11,9 and then 13).
Or did it?
Is it possible for McDonald to be a scorer in the NHL with those piddly college numbers? Fernando Pisani outscored him for crying out loud (Fernando had 56 goals in 4 NCAA seasons, compared to McDonald’s 43), and Fernando’s assists totals implied a much better offensive player (Pisani’s career assist total dwarfs McDonald’s, 110 to 34).
Is it possible that Providence College outlawed the forward pass ? Here are the goal totals for Hockey East in 06-07:
- Boston College 142
- New Hampshire 139
- Maine 133
- U Mass-Amherst 109
- Boston University 99
- Northeastern 84
- Vermont 87
- Providence 76
- Mass-Lowell 74
- Merrimack 37
Providence is a low scoring team, but they aren’t so low that we can give McDonald much of a lift. Pisani scored 14 goals for his team as a senior, which represented 12% of his team’s total. McDonald’s total as a senior represents 17%. That’s not a wide gap, and if we factor in their assist totals as senior wingers (24 to 4, Pisani) we come back to the horrible truth.
More Brad Winchester than Pisani. That’s what the numbers say. Brad Winchester started his pro career at age 22 and played 181 AHL games before playing his 20th NHL game. Fernando Pisani started his pro career at 23 and played 172 AHL games before playing his 20th NHL game.
Colin McDonald should probably count on two full seasons in the AHL before he arrives for any extended period in the NHL. The Oilers extremely poor depth at RW could fast track him, but he is likely to go 11-6-17 in the AHL this season.