The list is here. Stoll is the leader of the 18 forwards listed, with Thoresen, Hemsky, Chimera and Pouliot rounding out the top 5.
From that July update: “I don’t think the Oilers are likely to have a Paul Stastny this fall for three reasons: there are no prospects who have a clear edge over the rest of the pack, the organization has a tremendous number of options on the prospect tree right now and finally coach MacT doesn’t hand out playing time to rookies in a way that makes them strong Calder candidates.”
I used Paul Stastny’s season because he is in the NW division and because he was a college kid we could compare at least a little to Cogliano.
The basic premise was that the Oilers wouldn’t have a strong Calder candidate because no rookie would get close to Stastny’s TOI: 1,500 minutes with 300 minutes on the powerplay as a rookie.
At this point, it looks like no rookie will get 1,500 minutes on this year’s Oiler team but Jarret Stoll’s number is in real trouble. If they keep up their current pace, several rookies will pass the 1,000 minute marker this year.
Andrew Cogliano would play over 1,150 minutes over a full season based on the early trend, and Sam Gagner would total pretty close to 1,000 as well. Kyle Brodziak would slide in at about the 950 mark so there are three guys who may challenge Stoll. Of course it’s a long season and you never know, but with three players breaking camp and playing regularly it would seem a strong possibility. Andrew Cogliano has the best chance.
As for PP, well no one is on track for 300 minutes ala Stastny, but Cogliano is on track for about 220 and Gagner for 144 minutes. Ales Hemsky got 153 minutes on the PP as a rookie.