In the last couple of weeks coach MacT has mentioned that Marc Pouliot is the likely next callup from the minors and that Rob Schremp is there for the long term.
I’m on record as being a Pouliot fan, in fact between the Hemsky and Cogliano drafts he’s the one player I felt would have found his way into the NHL as a regular by now. It has not happened.
Based on the boxcar numbers it would seem to me that Schremp is clear of Pouliot at this time. However, MacT and the Oilers must see something in Schremp’s game that is holding him back. I think it might be worth a closer look at the stats.
Here are the top 5 forwards for Springfield in terms of PP scoring:
- Rob Schremp 6-16-22
- Marc Pouliot 6-8-14
- JF Jacques 5-4-9
- Slava Trukhno 3-6-9
- Colin McDonald 4-4-8
A couple of points. I took these from the AHL site which isn’t very user friendly so there may be some small errors. Second, I didn’t use players who have been called up (Thoresen). In regard to powerplay points, Schremp is certainly carrying the mail. Pouliot has played 10 fewer games but their powerplay points-per-game this season favors Schremp by a wide margin (.468 for Schremp, .378 for Pouliot). Interesting to see that young Trukhno (.388) is on par with Pouliot despite having a poor season overall statistically.
Here are the 4 forwards I could find with SH points:
- Marc Pouliot 2-0-2
- JF Jacques 1-1-2
- Tim Sestito 1-0-1
- Tyler Spurgeron 0-1-1
No real surprise here, I guess we might have expected a veteran AHLer like Ben Simon to lead this category, then again Marc Pouliot is pretty much an AHL veteran at this time.
Next we come to EV stats, and I’ll list points-per game:
- Liam Reddox .474 (10-8-18)
- Rob Schremp .447 (5-16-21)
- JF Jacques .368 (5-9-14)
- Marc Pouliot .351 (5-8-13)
- Colin McDonald .234 (5-6-11)
Reddox has the edge here, despite slowing down a lot (10gp, 2-0-2 since December 22) mostly due to injury. Schremp is second best in this category, and we should also mention here that we don’t know the total minutes for each player which could skew things too.
Finally, plus minus. I’m not a big fan of the stat without knowing who is playing the tough minutes, but let’s list the numbers for the top 9 forwards anyway:
- Liam Reddox +5
- Troy Bodie -3
- Rob Schremp -5
- Ben Simon -5
- Slava Trukhno -9
- Marc Pouliot -10
- Tim Sestito -12
- JF Jacques -13
- Colin McDonald -15
This is quickly becoming a Liam Reddox thread but that’s a nice number compared to the others on the list. There’s puck luck and tough minutes and ebb and flow, but that’s a gap. Schremp is near the top here, with the 2003 draft sucking hind tit once again. You could make a case that Pouliot’s line is doing the heavy lifting and honestly that’s likely but that -10 looks pretty bad. Pouliot is -8 in the 17 games since December 21, he was -2 in the 20 games previous to December 21.
Based purely on stats, the difference between Schremp and Pouliot favors the kid from Syracuse. Logic then dictates that Schremp’s shortcomings (skating, playing away from the puck) fall into the “saw him good” category and can’t be supported by the numbers as we know them today.