Avs at Oilers, G 63/07-08

Burnaby Joe’s team with Captain Canada hit the Rexall Ice tonight against the Edmonton Oilers. The odds of Edmonton winning this game are (I would expect) less than 30% since these two points are vital to the Avalanche.

Poetic justice would be the Oilers playing a tremendous game and then Ryan Smyth scoring a late goal to win it for the Avalanche. A good night for Oilers fans would be another assist for Kid Gagner and a stellar effort from Dwayne Roloson.

It has once again come to this.

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60 Responses to "Avs at Oilers, G 63/07-08"

  1. kiwihockeyfan says:

    this is the start of a 10 game stretch with some winnable games and will determine how quickly BB gets to say “the anaheim ducks want to thank the edmonton oilers for the opportunity to take ….”. Not much to play for, but would take the sting out if it was out of the lottery

  2. Dennis says:

    Roli’s playing?

  3. Lowetide says:

    Dennis: No, I’m just saying.

  4. Dennis says:

    Looks like we’re gonna escape Richards.

    Dreger was on during the second int of the NHL’s Penguins Game Of The Week and said that Van-Dal-CBJ are th e frontrunners and have pitched actual packages.

    I’m pretty sure he said CBJ had offered Tollefsen, Brule and Fritsche and I ended up smirking so hard that I didn’t catch the other potential offers.

    It looks like Richards is gonna be a glorified salary dump.

    BTW, Barnaby said the Sens should just say shag it and pick up Roli and even if it means farming out one of Emery or Gerber. Now I’m not sure that Melnyk has passed his chequebook over to Matthew but let’s hope that’s the case:D

  5. PDO says:

    Dennis:

    And that is just another reason to loathe the Souray signing, ain’t it? We could have Richards here, for relatively cheap asset wise, and while he certainly will never be worth $7,800,000, he’s a guy who can really help his team win hockey games, and that’s a helluva lot more than can be said about Souray @ $5,400,000.

  6. Vic Ferrari says:

    I’ll bet that Richards ends up in Dallas. And when he re-ups there in three years for far less than his current salary, he’ll have taken over from Modano and given Ribiero somebody to play behind.

  7. Bruce says:

    SportsNet also puts Philly in the running.

    Anything Tampa gets for BR in terms of players/”assets” in a trade is a bonus AFAIC. At this point dumping his millstone salary is a priority if they want to keep Dan Boyle and add a proven goaltender. It’s pretty apparent how badly Tampa has missed both of the above this season, more than they would miss Teflon Brad IMO. He’s helped them win so many hockey games they’re last in the East.

    What saves us is Richards’ reported request to be traded to a contender. Call it the silver lining. :)

    I scored a ticket to tonight’s game, so an looking forward to seeing the three S’s, tastny, akic, and myth :) Those guys all missed a bunch of time and I don’t think Oilers played them at all during that entire stretch. That’s just the way our luck has been going this year. I also am planning to spend part of my time isolating on our own S, Master Samwise. His emergence to drive the offence by scoring in every game since Horc went down may prove to be the ultimate silver lining to this whole season.

  8. Lord Bob says:

    Personally, I’m more optimistic. I see the Oilers playing like demons and Nilsson winning it late in the third period while Smyth goes -2 or something and spends most of the third looking like he’s living a horror movie.

    If you can call that optimism.

  9. HBomb says:

    Tyler “Fat Fuck” Arnason does it again only 27 seconds in.

    Penner at center, Reasoner and Stoll with Hemsky….why do people defend MacT when he continually does stupid, stupid shit like this?

  10. Lowetide says:

    hbomb: He’s trying to protect the kids.

  11. garnet says:

    Er, 2-0 Avalanche in the first. How many guys can we trade away?

  12. danny says:

    The kids are having a tough game. A shift doesn’t go by where someone is making a poor play. Tom Gilbert has officially hit the wall in a big way… Cogliano with the mistake along the boards followed immediately by losing Guite who scored the 2nd goal.

    Interesting what Ferraro said, MacT is playing Penner at center as a development situation for 27. Pretty interesting stuff right there…

  13. honkey says:

    Gagners play in the offensive zone is the only thing worth watching in this game.
    Watching Greene, Roy, Stoll make me wanna puke my guts out.

    Poor Gilbert is getting worse every game and have to play too many minutes because noone else can do it.

  14. doritogrande says:

    Has our 4th line now outscored anything Joe Reasoner’s been on?

    This really can’t be considered a 4th line anymore.

  15. Lowetide says:

    Gagner is “sneaky-good.”

  16. danny says:

    Gagner has really picked up steam where traditionally kids hit a wall. It’s definitely confidence with him, he is starting let his strengths show more.

    Gagner is a perfect example of what the draft has come to now. We have a guy that is showing great potential, but realistically won’t be a true difference maker until his 3rd or 4th season. Considering that he is a 1st round pick, that is racking up the ‘potential star’ accolades in his do-more-harm-than-good years, will he ever outperform his contract? Right now he is a $1.5M cap hit, and when he becomes a sifference maker, he is going to be extended for top market dollar.

    Is the gamble of a 5th overall pick worth not swapping it for an established roster guy thats entering his difference maker seasons?

    How many guys outside #1 #2 overall will outperform their contracts anymore?

  17. doritogrande says:

    Double error: 25.

    Holy fuck was that ever a brain cramp.

  18. mc79hockey says:

    How many guys outside #1 #2 overall will outperform their contracts anymore?

    As a starting point, the ones who don’t start burning their entry level contract years until they’re 20. Playing Gagner this year was criminal.

  19. doritogrande says:

    What stone hands?

    :)

  20. Lowetide says:

    Grebeshkov gets an assist and then knocks someone down. Nice little sequence there for him.

    Pitkanen’s decision making reminds me a little of Niinimaa. :-)

    Nilsson gets his points I’ll give him that much.

  21. doritogrande says:

    Who the hell is Grant Potulny, and why does he have 4 goals for the Falcons tonight? He’s the dude we were “loaned” for the serivices of Dan Syvret, correct?

  22. Lowetide says:

    27-year old AHL veteran.

  23. PunjabiOil says:

    As a starting point, the ones who don’t start burning their entry level contract years until they’re 20. Playing Gagner this year was criminal.

    On the flip side, bonuses likely won’t have to be paid out.

    There’s also the human element of it. There’s a bigger chance Sam Gagner keeps in mind that the Oilers kept him in the NHL at 18, when negotiating the next contract.

    ____________

    With regards to the game, I’ve been really impressed with Grebeshkov. The points are starting to come on for him, and he’s not making the same mistakes. I think this is the summer where you can afford to move one of Smid/Greene (preferably Greene.

    That was a lovely pass by Nilsson on Cogliano’s goal. He’s got excellent vision, and I’d keep him around.

    Cogliano has ~15.5 Shooting % after tonight. Marchant’s career average is 8.6%, but in his first year with the Oilers, he mustered a 13.7. Marchant got a lot of shots though – 95, 221, 202, 194, 183, 170, 113, 124, 146, 163. Cogliano had 62 going into tonight’s game.

    And Boy is Stortini turning into an NHL player. What a nice block that was.

  24. Lowetide says:

    Sundin will not waive his no-trade clause. It reminds me of the time I found out the Russian tanks were rolling into Afghanistan maybe 1979.

  25. Lowetide says:

    PJ Oil: Agreed, Grebeshkov had the best game I can recall him having as an Oiler. Calm feet, a little nastiness and a point.

  26. Lord Bob says:

    So, how ’bout that Nilsson!

  27. doritogrande says:

    Thanks for breaking my daze LT. Thought we might have had something there.

  28. Lowetide says:

    dorito: No worries. :-)

    lord bob: I was pretty late compared to most in giving Nilsson the keys to the executive washroom but he’s earned an NHL job. Right?

  29. Lord Bob says:

    lord bob: I was pretty late compared to most in giving Nilsson the keys to the executive washroom but he’s earned an NHL job. Right?

    It feels weird saying this the very day I’ve defended Rob Schremp, but Nilsson’s an NHLer. No doubt about it.

  30. danny says:

    mc79hockey said…
    As a starting point, the ones who don’t start burning their entry level contract years until they’re 20. Playing Gagner this year was criminal.

    Ok how many players that sign their first contract at 20, outperform their contract?

    There simply arent that many. I can think of Getzlaf off the top of my head, and as a 19th overall pick, that can’t be considered something you can depend on doing with much frequency.

    One disadvantage to players making the NHL at an earlier age is that they arent eligible for arbitration when their rookie contract expires, meaning their drafting team cant protect them from offer sheets within that window of time.

    IMO though, unless you resign yourself to finishing bottom two or trhree depending on the draft, its a pretty good strategy to flip a 1st,2nd,3rd for a RFA. You overpay year #1 and year #2 possibly, but the prime years of their contract when they are delivering the mail they are good contracts.

    The difference to me is you bat .750 with the RFAs whereas your draftee % comes in at .250

  31. PunjabiOil says:

    For those who haven’t seen it, Nilsson has some terrible fashion sense.

    Or, some might call it confidence.

    T-shirt and tie, woman’s sweater, and drinking wine

    http://bp3.blogger.com/_AH7kGQLzIaE/R6o9t6PMlhI/AAAAAAAAAWw/lpGJi6b8gG8/s1600-h/jesus.jpg

  32. Lord Bob says:

    For those who haven’t seen it, Nilsson has some terrible fashion sense.

    Whereas Gagner dresses like he’s going to go get stoned and stare at grass all day, and he drinks champagne straight from the bottle.

    I’m not sure which I prefer.

  33. PunjabiOil says:

    On the Sundin front, bet you dollars to donuts, tomorrow the masses will be on his case.

    Too bad – the guy took hometown discounts to stay a Leaf, and had a clause built in his contract. He has every right to exercise it.

    Hossa’s price probably went up. If you’re Anaheim, do you swing the Oilers first straight up for Hossa? It’s already difficult to beat Anaheim – but with Hossa? Ottawa will be in the mix too, and probably Detroit too.

    Rumors floating that Lowe won’t trade Staios – I say, you’d be a fool not to at least listen to the offers. i.e. San Jose – 1st round pick?

  34. Dennis says:

    - In a not so little house on the prairie, Tom Gilbert’s is playing more like Melissa Gilbert. The guy’s frazzled, gassed; you name it. He doesn’t even try and jump into the play anymore.

    - Oilers D was fucking brutal in the first and third periods.

    - 12-89-13 is the highest even line I can remember in a long time. Something doesn’t always happen but there’s the potential for it.

    - No need trying to keep his counting stats down, put 27 with 83 and keep him there. Let Stoll centre them and fuck him if he can’t produce in that role.

    - Get rid of Reasoner and bring up Pouliot to centre 18-34. He looked his best last year when he played with 34. Let’s see if he can do it again.

    - Tried to isolate on Grebs tonight and the rumours are true: he’s taking a lot of chaos out of his game. Good to see.

    - Nilsson’s a player for sure and I’d keep him right here until he starts wanting to get paid. Perhaps we can sign him to a two year deal this summer, hope he gets 60 points in ’09 and then deal him off at the draft. I believe in right up to time where he wants close to two mill; then I’m running and screaming.

    LT : this assault will only be somewhat less vicious;) There’s a big part of the TO press that’s glad he decided the way he did because now they’ve got some fodder for the cannons. I think of this in these respects:

    - Along with their play since Neidermayer and Selanne returned, Sundin off the market means the chances of Burke dealing are pick have decreased. He might jump if Det lands Hossa but it would probably be only for Jokinen.

    Speaking of that, how can he be the problem in Fla? I don’t understand that unless he’s the one that wants out.

    Finally, is there any way Waddell can fuck this up?

  35. PunjabiOil says:

    Moreau hurt, same leg as pre-season.

    Pouliot 1-2-3 tonight. He could get the call. Schremp too, if they get rid of Sanderson at the deadline.

  36. Lowetide says:

    I think they’ll call Reddox, he had a pretty nice game.

  37. mc79hockey says:

    Ok how many players that sign their first contract at 20, outperform their contract?

    I don’t know the answer to that question but I’ll guarantee you that it’s a hell of a lot more than guys who play their entry level years from 18-20. My quarrel here is with respect to Gagner – I’m not dealing with the broader Penner point.

  38. HBomb says:

    LT, two things:

    1) Protecting the kids is all well and good, but wouldn’t Penner-Stoll-Hemsky and Moreau-Reasoner-Pisani make a ton more sense? Penner should not be playing center, and Marty Reasoner should be nowhere near Ales Hemsky other than on the team bus. End of story.

    2) Just say no to Liam Reddox as the replacement for Ethan Moreau. We don’t need another guy out of the Reasoner/Thoresen/Petersen tree on this team. Honestly, I’d rather see them give JF Jacques one last chance to prove he’s worth anything, crazy as it sounds.

    I guess this means any hope of landing a 5th rounder for Sanderson or Marty Sakic just went out the window if Moreau’s out for an extended period. This might be like the deadline in 2004 where the only Oiler deadline day deal was Salo for a 6th rounder and some kid named Tom Gilbert.

    If we’re lucky.

  39. doritogrande says:

    “For those who haven’t seen it, Nilsson has some terrible fashion sense.”

    PJ, Lord Bob, are you two telling me you’re actually looking at the Oilers in that picture? Go Cowboys :D

    H-bomb: JFJ’s injured, or at least hasn’t been playing this weekend for some other reason. Suspect it’ll be Pouliot for a pump-and-dump.

  40. digger says:

    IMO it’s a little late to do the ol’ pump and dump routine on Pouliot, considering there’s zero games to show his wares between now and noon tuesday. Either a team wants him, or they don’t.

    At this point, it’s either keep or dump.

  41. Bendelson says:

    pj oil.

    If your right and that is the trade on the table, Staios has to go. I can’t see how KLowe could not pull the trigger, regardless of Stevie’s supposed leadership.
    SJ’s 1st rd pick in a deep draft? Sounds to good to be true…

    next you’ll tell me Det will send us their 2nd rd pick for Rollie…

  42. Bruce says:

    Fun game tonight. The Oil showed a bit of character battling back from 2-0 down in the always-tough first game home from a (bad) road trip. After a poor start Garon slammed the door, starting with a great stop off Cumiskey on a bang-bang play set up by Smyth that would have extended the lead to 3-0, and ending with a 15-stop third period.

    Like others who have posted above, I was especially impressed with Denis Grebeshkov who has really settled down into a solid defender with decent puck-moving skills. Mathieu Roy had a solid game in limited minutes, posting a +2 and more than holding his own in a tangle with Avs agitator Ian Laperriere. The other defender who caught my eye was Matt Greene, who brings imposing size and an honest work ethic to every shift. He’s really got his head on a swivel out there, has worked hard on his awareness to danger, and is rounding into a real solid defensive blueliner.

    Odd fact: five of the six Oilers defencemen who played tonight were born in 1983.

    Fine game tonight from Sam Gagner who had many dangerous moments in the Colorado end and made a numebr of solid plays in all three zones. Just little things here and there but his head was in the game all night. A very subtle passer, seems to have good chemistry with Bobby Nilsson.

    Noticed yet again something that often catches my eye about Ales Hemsky, he likes to fuck up the other team’s timing by making the play later than he “should”, but he doesn’t ever seem to make it early. Tonight there were a couple times the pass receiver was open right as Hemsky got the puck, or the shot was there for the first split second, and as always Ales just held the puck and missed those types of chances. I’m afraid he will never blossom into a truly elite scorer until he learns that sometimes things need to be done quickly, before the other guys are ready.

    In his 500th game as an Oiler, Ethan Moreau could’ve celebrated in style with about a minute left had he only hit the empty net to put the darn game away. Instead we were treated to yet another 45 seconds of Avs pressure right up to the final siren, a sequence in which Ethan hurt his foot when he banged it hard against the side boards. He was playing on one leg as Colorado swarmed the net in the dying seconds. I wonder how long he’ll be out this time.

    Another huge outing from the 4th line, who turned the game with a pair of short but great shifts in the second, one of which caused the powerplay that resulted in Gagner’s goal, the second which saw the grinders score themselves to tie the score. Tremendous effort by GlenX on the goal with a strong backcheck and takeaway, a good play to hold the puck outside the line as his linemates cleared the zone, a nice dish to Brodziak and a charge to the net to get open for the return feed, which he buried. Not much not to like on that sequence.

    I took advantage of the live setting to keep a close eye on Stortini tonight, trying to gauge his presence within the game. Zack’s confidence has just soared in recent weeks and the results are starting to show. After sinking as low as -7 before New Year’s, Zack has turned it around and after another plus tonight now stands at +1 on the season, no mean feat on a -30 team.

    I enjoyed his bull-in-a-china-shop style, esp. crashing the end boards where more than one Av defender threw a little snow in losing the race to the puck. On the defensive end, when the grinders were given a rare shift very late, Stortini contributed a huge blocked shot and moments later made a key play to clear the zone and relieve the pressure.

    While 46 was throwing his weight around I was particualrly impressed with one play where he didn’t; he had a chance to hammer Ryan Smyth in the numbers and took the right decision not to finish that check because his opponent was in a vulnerable position. He plays with enthusiasm bordering on exuberance, but he is disciplined and doesn’t do dumb shit like that. As a result this Zack Stortini fan can look myself in the eye in the mirror tomorrow morning; how do the Matt Cooke fans do that?

  43. Dennis says:

    From CP:

    However the news wasn’t all good for Moreau, as the oft-injured forward looks like he may go on the shelf again after suffering a leg injury after awkwardly running into the boards as the clock ran out.

    “He’s not good,” MacTavish said. “He’s in a lot of pain right now. It looks really bad right now.”

    Well, there you go, this could mean that 8 or 19 won’t be moved or it could mean that we’ll say fuck it and deal them anyway and just bring up two kids instead of one.

    Even though the Oilers say that Ana having their pick makes no difference to how they’re game-planning, a part of me thinks they’d go all super young again down the stretch if Burke sends the pick to Atl or Fla.

    In any case, this sounds like Moreau could be done for yet another season and that we should see Pouliot, Reddox or Schremp here by Tues night.

    The problem is that because it’s a vet that’s gone down in order to necessitate another call-up, the kid on the way back will have one less experienced guy to partner with on whichever line he lands. And we know that makes a difference.

    Hopefully Burke moves our pick and the Oilers move Reasoner and Sanderson and bring up all of Pouliot, Reddox and Schremp as our forwards 11-13th. Then we can just rotate them in and out of the lineup for the last 20 odd games or so.

    A final word on Moreau; I noticed him him stopping to the left of Garon with about say eight seconds left in the game. He basically just stopped playing and stood upright and I wondered what the hell was going on.

    I guess I should’ve smelled this one right off the bat.

    BTW, in addressing Sundin’s decision and talking about which other Leaves might be on the way out, Mackenzie said the Oilers are interested in Steen.

  44. garnet says:

    I think this team just acquires players based on who their fathers were.

  45. Lord Bob says:

    BTW, in addressing Sundin’s decision and talking about which other Leaves might be on the way out, Mackenzie said the Oilers are interested in Steen.

    Steen just signed a two-year extension last week, didn’t he? Does Fletcher want every player in the league to hate his guts?

  46. Shawn says:

    regarding Gagner playing at 18…. is there not some consideration that this way he’ll learn the pro game faster. He’ll develop faster this way playing against men then he would back in junior.

  47. digger says:

    Steen just signed a two-year extension last week, didn’t he? Does Fletcher want every player in the league to hate his guts?

    Fletcher needs to deal SOMEBODY, and with Sundin, Kubina, Kaberle and Tucker basically giving Fletcher the one finger salute to that idea, he’s got potentially McCabe and whatever other dregs he can dig up.

    That franchise is so awesome, on multiple levels.

  48. HBomb says:

    Moreau re-broke his ankle and is done for the season.

    Between he and Souray, they will end up with 51 games played this season for a total cap-hit of 7.4 million dollars.

    Disgusting.

  49. Bruce says:

    Between he and Souray, they will end up with 51 games played this season for a total cap-hit of 7.4 million dollars.

    Throw in Raffi and you got three guys who barely played one season among them (83 games), for a cap hit of $9.65 MM.

    Include Horcoff and you got $13.25 MM on the long-term IR for the rest of the season.

    The good news is we’re still going to be better this March than we were last March.

    Fuck, this is getting old.

  50. Matt says:

    Noticed yet again something that often catches my eye about Ales Hemsky, he likes to fuck up the other team’s timing by making the play later than he “should”, but he doesn’t ever seem to make it early. Tonight there were a couple times the pass receiver was open right as Hemsky got the puck, or the shot was there for the first split second, and as always Ales just held the puck and missed those types of chances. I’m afraid he will never blossom into a truly elite scorer until he learns that sometimes things need to be done quickly, before the other guys are ready.

    Interesting observation, Bruce, and pretty consistent with my own view. Know what? Alex Tanguay and Ales Hemsky are the exact opposite player; I think this is why Tanguay’s PP numbers are consistently lousy relative to his EV numbers, and Hemsky’s are generally the opposite.

    Tanguay is not a terribly effective puck-handler, and his “misdirection” gifts are poor, but his productivity arises from making decisions and executing them very quickly. The large majority of Tanguay’s plays don’t amount to squat (or end up as seemingly good scoring chances), but the sheer quantity of times he zips the puck promptly to someone who has position or some open ice translates over the long run into a lot of EV goals.

    Tanguay could stand to be more like Hemsky at times also, but I really doubt that you could influence either player to be much more like the other.

  51. PunjabiOil says:

    If your right and that is the trade on the table, Staios has to go. I can’t see how KLowe could not pull the trigger, regardless of Stevie’s supposed leadership.
    SJ’s 1st rd pick in a deep draft? Sounds to good to be true…

    next you’ll tell me Det will send us their 2nd rd pick for Rollie…

    I didn’t say the deal is on the table – but that it might be there. Craig Rivet yielded a 1st round pick last year, and with Staios he carreis value beyond the year since he’s not a rental (3 years left on contract).

  52. Doogie says:

    More accurately, Rivet netted Gorges and a first, and he was a pending UFA at the time.

  53. BrooklynOIL says:

    Confirmation in the NY Post today that the Rangers and Oil are talking swap with Schremp and Jessiman as the main pieces, though apparently Lowe wants more… and of course Sather is trying to “win the deal 10-0″….

  54. Dennis says:

    I waiver back and forth about whether I want Burke to keep our pick and slam Lowe at the draft or if I want him to deal the pick and then, even though we’ll never reclaim it, we don’t have to worry about Burke ending up with Stamkos.

    To that end, I’d rather have Pouliot play the last 20 games than Moreau. We know what we’re getting with Ethan and he isn’t gonna improve at this age.

    This is an interesting time for a season ending injury though, isn’t it?

    Lowe’s been floating that he’s thinking of moving JFJ, Pouliot and Schremp and now he’s either gonna have to recall one of them or Reddox to finish out the season.

    Not to mention how this might impact any thoughts that he should’ve been having about moving Sanderson and/or Reasoner.

    I hope Burke lands Hossa, flips the Oilers pick in the process, Oilers deal off Sanderson and we pretty much empty the farm and get a look at the kids.

    Going forward, it’s hard to ever put your trust again in Moreau.

    Bruce: it could get worst. We’re a Horcoff trade demand away from being garbage until at least 2011.

    Digger: as much as I like seeing the Leaves suffer, they really only got on my nerves once CuJo went there. In any case, given our proximity to the lottery for the last two seasons and the fact we might have very well given away our every Own Neidermayer, now’s not the time to be laughing at any other franchises.

  55. Bruce says:

    This is an interesting time for a season ending injury though, isn’t it?

    Boy, that would have been the perfect spot to put Patrick Thoresen to sink or swim for 20 games … except we just lost him for nothing on waivers. The timing of the Moreau injury sucks, but as I mentioned the day it happened, the timing of unloading Thor days before the deadline when all “assets” could generate potential return OR serve in replacement roles, I’ll put on Lowe.

  56. digger says:

    Dennis, who’s to say I can’t laugh at both franchises? ;)

  57. Alice says:

    Since we’re still with the Avs here, let’s hope the return of Forsberg gives us something to cheer about in the West. If he can drag Smyth into another SCF final, and therein halt the run of the House that Mickey Built, well I couldn’t be happier

  58. doritogrande says:

    “Since we’re still with the Avs here, let’s hope the return of Forsberg gives us something to cheer about in the West. If he can drag Smyth into another SCF final, and therein halt the run of the House that Mickey Built, well I couldn’t be happier”

    Play for the Oilers then skip town. Next year you’re winning the cup!

    There’s your marketing ploy.

  59. Dennis says:

    Fair enough, Digger. Carry on:)

  60. Bank Shot says:

    I don’t know the answer to that question but I’ll guarantee you that it’s a hell of a lot more than guys who play their entry level years from 18-20.

    Here are three assumptions.

    A) Gagner will score less points in his contract year as a 20 year then he would have as a 21 year old.

    B) Salaries will continue to escalate every season from now until the end of time. (Or at least until Sam is an RFA)

    C) The Oilers will try to sign Gagner to a 6-7 year contract the likes of which every other young gun has been getting.

    If these three things prove to be true, then the Oilers will be signing Gagner to a better long-term contract capwise then if they had waited until his 19th year to promote him.

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