18 Shots, 1 Goal

The Springfield Falcons are fighting for their playoff lives tonight in AHL action against the Providence Bruins.

In the first period, the Bruins got 18 shots on net and scored a goal against DD. The Falcons got 1 goal on 5 shots (Sestito with the G) and they are tied through one period.

Dubnyk’s SP for the season is now .912, slightly ahead of Jeff Deslauriers (.911).

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12 Responses to "18 Shots, 1 Goal"

  1. PunjabiOil says:

    All further suggesting JDD is either traded or not re-signed next year unless he’s firmly willing to be a backup.

    It’s time for Dubnyk to get those at-bats.

    JDD has his shot – now it’s time to move on.

    Wonder where the ”Schwarz” crowd is -the guy has stunked it up everywhere except the year in which he was named the goaltender of the WJC.

  2. toqueboy says:

    is this game on the net anywhere?

    and thanks to everyone who pitched in about sopcast. so great.

  3. Josh says:

    2-1 springfield. Reddox from Schremp

  4. Asiaoil says:

    Dubnyk had a couple get by him in the 3rd (one SH) but the Falcons came back and he shut the door in the shootout. Basically he kept the Falcons in the game when Providence took their best shot at them in the first period.

    I think it’s vital that Dubnyk play at least 50 games next season. He’s had a decent season and shows signs of being good – but we need to see if he can keep up an elite level of play over the course of a full season.

    If that’s the case then JDD needs to be capable of being a backup in the NHL next year (and I’m not sure he is good enough yet) or we need to move him somewhere. Investing another full season in JDD at the AHL level at the expense of Dubnyk’s development would be very poor asset management. Especially when there is no evidence to suggest that JDD will do anytihng other than put up mediocre starter numbers again.

    A good compromise between cutting him loose and keeping him in the AHL may be to let JDD play in a European pro league (SWE, RUS, FIN) if there is any interest on that side. JDD gets to play in a decent league and make some coin – we get to keep his rights for another year and develop Dubnyk in the AHL. Not sure when JDD would reach free agency – but it’s probably not far away given his lack of NHL games.

    Edit….JDD will be 25 next May and unless he is in EDM next season – he should be an unrestricted Group VI free agent in the summer of 2009 (age 25 or older, completed 3 or more pro seasons, played fewer than 28 NHL games). So either he is ready to be an NHL backup NOW and we dress him for the required number of games or he walks next summer. Decision time on this prospect is here.

  5. Bruce says:

    Question: does dressing as a backup and not playing at all count as a “GP” for contract purposes? Seems like it should …

  6. Asiaoil says:

    It should – but why dink around with a guy that has limited upside? You can acquire a goalie like JDD basically any time you want – NHL backups pretty much have zero value. Even a half-assed NHL starter can carry very little value as we have seen several times this season.

    If JDD is at our next TC it will remind me of the year we had Valliqette on the Oilers – he wasn’t ready for the NHL at that point – and only after knocking around for a few more seasons was he ready to be a reiable backup. I think we’ve seen enough from JDD to know that we are not giving up on any more upside than a good back or mediocre starter. A guy like Garon had shown way way more than JDD by this point in his career – so his upside is probably pretty limited

  7. Lord says:

    Nice post. Really liked it..
    Don’t forget to update it regularly.
    I am looking for new updates dieing to read more stuff from you ..
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    JOB-HUNT
    Aims at helping the Fresh Graduates, Engineers, MBAs to get jobs in good companies
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  8. Lowetide says:

    I think both goalies have something of a case for their numbers being hurt by a very young team in front of them.

    Having said that, Dubnyk looks like the real prospect based on the math.

  9. Asiaoil says:

    LT – what worries me about JDD is that he’s had a very poor 2nd half both years he’s been a starter – barely .900 SP since Jan 1 this season and worse last year. The kid will also be a Group 6 UFA next season unless he gets 28 NHL games under his belt.

    So unless we can get rid of Roloson this summer or no later than Feb 1/09 – JDD walks. But I’m really not inclined to screw with the roster needlessly or give an NHL backup job to a guy who really hasn’t proven anything. Look at what we had to pay for Garon – zero – and he is a far superior goalie. So I don’t think we should get caught up in hoarding low value assets – especially goalies – since we can get a quality backup on the UFA market so easily and cheaply.

    Going forward I would be much happier if we tried to draft more NCAA goalies in the 3rd round or later. You can still get a quality NCAA goalie in R3 or R4 and the college route gives them 4 years of experience until they are 22. Then you have another 5 RFA years which takes them up to about 27.

    I’d only draft a goalie in R1 or R2 now if you think he has elite ability. While average starters and backups are not worth much – elite goalies are serious difference makers and are worth spending a high pick on – but you better be sure that you are getting quality or it’s a waste. If that’s the case – then the Oilers must think that DD has elite potential and maximizing that investment is far more important than keeping the rights to a low potential prospect like JDD.

  10. Lord Bob says:

    Wonder where the ”Schwarz” crowd is -the guy has stunked it up everywhere except the year in which he was named the goaltender of the WJC.

    I’m right here, and I’m feeling pretty stupid right now, let me tell you.

  11. Dennis says:

    I believe this late season segment by Roli has done as much to hurt his value as anything so I don’t think we’ll be able to move him between now and ’09.

    That being said, I feel more comfortable with him as the back-up then JDD.

    And I agree that it’s time to let DD start carrying the mail next year in SF and if that means the end of JDD’s Oilers tenure, then so be it.

  12. Ducey says:

    Wow, talk about an illustration in small sample size. You can change the title to “29 shots, 7 goals”. Springfield got toasted 10-1.

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