AHL Report Cards: Devan Dubnyk

There is some progress to be noted this season when it comes to Devan Dubnyk.

Dubnyk has allowed 29 powerplay goals this season out of a total of 79 total goals against for the Falcons while shorthanded (36.7%). He’s done this while playing 35.95% of the total minutes on the team. His ability to be his club’s best penalty-killer has been a problem in the past so those numbers (they are a wash, well within the range where we can argue the results are completely random) appear to be an improvement.

DD’s save percentage (.906) has been up and down all season and he currently ranks in a tie for 30th overall and tied for 7th among rookies in this category.

His problem is with consistency and it’s probably fair to suggest that he’ll need at least one more full season at the AHL level before we even begin to discuss his NHL future. Should the Oilers trade Dwayne Roloson this summer and bring in Jeff Deslauriers as the big league backup, Dubnyk would become the #1 starter in the minors which is the next logical step.

As it is, the clearance between Deslauriers and Dubnyk in the AHL isn’t huge based on the numbers:

GAA: JDD 2.89; DD 3.08
SP: JDD .912; DD .906

The difference is SP is 6 shots.

FINAL GRADE: 70%

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6 Responses to "AHL Report Cards: Devan Dubnyk"

  1. Mr DeBakey says:

    But despite that minuscule six save difference, the Oilers had a crippled M Garon on the bench against Vancouver,
    so that Deslauriers could rush back to Springfield for an important game.

    That says something about where the two prospects are right now.

    Interesting D for Springfield last night – some old, some new, some borrowed, some might even have been blue – Young, Rourke, Kemp, Peckham, Anderson & Wild.

  2. Lowetide says:

    Deslauriers certainly has more experience in the AHL but imo Dubnyk is the more interesting prospect. Deslauriers’s SP, based on how many times he’s seen triple A hitters, isn’t anything special.

  3. breakerdog says:

    I think it is fair to say that at this point JDD is ahead of DD in terms of development. However, I think that DD has a higher ceiling than JDD. I don’t think that Deslauriers will ever be anything more than a career back up in the show. Dubnyk has a shot at being a #1.

  4. doritogrande says:

    “Interesting D for Springfield last night – some old, some new, some borrowed, some might even have been blue – Young, Rourke, Kemp, Peckham, Anderson & Wild.”

    And not one of them appears to be worth a second glance. How fucking bad is our defense when our goalies consistently face 40 shots a night?

  5. Lowetide says:

    dorito: 4 of those guys are kids. Young is in his second pro season, Peckham is finishing his first and Wild and Anderson are still unpacking.

  6. Asiaoil says:

    DD got the keys to the Springfield car while JDD was in EDM – did great his first game, crappy in the second and only OK in the third. I’m a fan but that’s not good enough and I don’t care how bad the team is in front of him or how many shots he faced – not like this is something new to him playing in Kamloops throughout his junior career.

    So for me this season has been one where DD has shown some flashes but not often enough. Next year will tell the tale though – he MUST be a top 10 AHL goalie in terms of SP next year if he hopes to be in EDM any time soon. Simple as that – and if he isn’t able to do it – well then a serious revision of his potential may be in order.

    As for JDD – tough call – he’s UFA next summer unless he gets into a goodly number of NHL games next season. I can’t see that happening unless he clears waivers after TC (no problem IMHO) and he sits on the bench after we trade Rolo at the trade deadline. But is he even worth bothering with? You can get a goalie of his caliber or even better any time for damn near nothing. If we could trade say Roloson and Schremp or JFJ to the Habs for Halak – then I would simply walk away from JDD and bring in a career AHL vet to tandem with DD.

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