Dubnyk has allowed 29 powerplay goals this season out of a total of 79 total goals against for the Falcons while shorthanded (36.7%). He’s done this while playing 35.95% of the total minutes on the team. His ability to be his club’s best penalty-killer has been a problem in the past so those numbers (they are a wash, well within the range where we can argue the results are completely random) appear to be an improvement.
DD’s save percentage (.906) has been up and down all season and he currently ranks in a tie for 30th overall and tied for 7th among rookies in this category.
His problem is with consistency and it’s probably fair to suggest that he’ll need at least one more full season at the AHL level before we even begin to discuss his NHL future. Should the Oilers trade Dwayne Roloson this summer and bring in Jeff Deslauriers as the big league backup, Dubnyk would become the #1 starter in the minors which is the next logical step.
As it is, the clearance between Deslauriers and Dubnyk in the AHL isn’t huge based on the numbers:
GAA: JDD 2.89; DD 3.08
SP: JDD .912; DD .906
The difference is SP is 6 shots.
FINAL GRADE: 70%