We can all agree that the Oilers have a logjam at the level of development just below the NHL. The “waiting room” has been full since the lockout when Lowe’s plan was to gather assets and then dealing Pronger and Smyth for picks and prospects only increased the stockpile.
This can be a good thing but these assets need to be used in a timely fashion or they die on the vine. The Oilers have made decisions since the lockout on Jani Rita, Tony Salmelainen and Alexei Semenov then last summer they let Brad Winchester go and got nothing in return.
The Oilers have a plethora of restricted free agents this summer and it is possible some will not be offered contracts. Among the rfa’s who might be “on the bubble” are Danny Syvret, Troy Bodie, Jonas Almtorp, Glenn Fisher, Fredrik Johansson and TJ Kemp.
A level above that group are players like JF Jacques and Marc Pouliot, who might be offered contracts or traded depending upon how the organization moves forward. Rob Schremp is not an rfa but would have to be considered in that group.
I’ve been wondering about trade values for such a player. We can talk about Rob Schremp’s skills and future but he is an unproven talent and most organizations have players who are bubbling under and looking for an opportunity. For the Oilers to get good value for Schremp he’d need to be clearly better as an option. Although we don’t really know which organizations might be interested in him (I haven’t seen any of those “needs” lists by team yet) we can look back and see what NHL teams have been getting in return during the summer months.
Below is a list of prospects who have been traded for picks or talent since summer 2006. Please add any I’ve missed to the comments:
- June 24, 2006: Minnesota traded their 1st rd pick and Patrick O’Sullivan to Los Angeles for Pavol Demitra.
- June 24, 2006: Toronto trades Tuukka Rask to Boston for Andrew Raycroft.
- August 17, 2006: Atlanta trades Karl Stewart, a 2nd rd pick and a conditional 4th rd pick to Anaheim for Vitaly Vishnevski.
- June 22, 2007: Pittsburgh trades Chris Thorburn to Atlanta for a 3rd rd pick.
- June 30, 2007: Minnesota trades Manny Fernandez to Boston for Petr Kalus and a 4th rd pick.
- July 23, 2007: Boston trades Hannu Toivonen to St. Louis for Carl Soderberg.
- September 11, 2007: New York Islanders trade Petteri Nokelainen to Boston for Ben Walter.
Now these are just the summer deals and I’ve excluded the blockbuster trades because it gets harder to identify value. From these deals, can we make any definitive statements? Probably not, but there are some interesting things. Minnesota’s dealing of Fernandez might be viewed as a bit of a salary dump so we need to factor that into the value received in return but the others appear to be hockey trades.
So, although Rob Schremp is shy of Patrick O’Sullivan’s resume could he be half of a cornerstone in a trade that gets Edmonton a player of a quality similar to Demitra? Could the Chris Thorburn value give us a clue as to the current value of JF Jacques?
Based on the extreme lack of picks the Oilers have in their arsenal currently I’d say that at least one of the prospects we’re familiar with (say Schremp, or Jacques) will be heading out of town at or near draft day. I’d place Schremp’s value at about 35-45 (mid-2nd round) and Jacques probably 50-75 (late 2nd to mid-3rd) and Pouliot probably has a little better value than either of them.