One of the fringe forwards to watch this summer will be Jean-Francois Jacques. With the LW depth chart full (Penner, Nilsson, Torres, Moreau) and possibly even more crowded by draft day (Glencross) the possibility exists that Jacques might be headed out of town for a draft choice.
But only if he’s healthy.
A May 1st item from Jim Matheson mentioned he was “on the mend” from a disc problem in his back. If he is well enough to trade, does he have enough of a track record of success to get something useful in return? What about Schremp? Pouliot?
First, let’s put together an approximate depth chart and include Glencross just for fun:
Let’s take 14-16 one at a time.
- The best “trade comp” I found for Jacques in the last 2 seasons was the deal from June of last year that sent Chris Thorburn from Pittsburgh to Atlanta for a 3rd rd pick (2007) that became D Robert Bortuzzo at the draft. It was the 78th overall selection.
- Thorburn is a big winger who can play a physical game and scores goals when in the AHL. He’s carved out a role that would fit JF Jacques pretty well.
- Considering Jacques injury problems, the fact that he will be exposed to waivers and the impressive quality and depth of this draft I’d peg Jacques value as something south of slot #100. Fair?
ROB SCHREMP TRADE VALUE
- The best “comp trade” for Schremp is the Pavol Demitra trade from June 2006: Los Angeles Kings traded Pavol Demitra to the Minnesota Wild for Patrick O’Sullivan and a 1st round selection in 2006. The pick became Trevor Lewis.
- O’Sullivan is a better pro prospect than Schremp and has been since they turned pro in 2005(O’Sullivan) and 2006(Schremp). O’Sullivan’s AHL points-per-game (at at 20 for each) number trumps Schremp (1.19 to .768) and he’s now pretty much an established NHL player (22-31-53) at age 23.
- Considering Schremp is a lesser prospect than O’Sullivan and that a first round pick was also included in the package for Demitra, I’d say the Oilers could deal Schremp and the pick at 22 for a slightly less impressive veteran player than Demitra (who is two years from UFA status). We also must include in this scenario the idea that the Wild may have been willing to overpay somewhat because Demitra was their target.
- Considering all the numbers and equations in point #3, and because of the depth of this draft, and because he is unproven and does have issues, I’d peg Schremp’s trade value in terms of draft slot at about #50. Fair?
MARC POULIOT TRADE VALUE
- The best “comp trade” I could find is a trade involving Edmonton from Jun 26, 2004: Edmonton Oilers traded Jason Chimera and a 3rd round selection in 2004 to the Phoenix Coyotes for a 2nd (#57, Geoff Paukovich) and 4th round selections in 2004.
- Chimera was more established at the NHL level at the time of his trade (he’d played 130 games and Pouliot has played 78 at this time) but Chimera had also played 5 pro seasons to Pouliot’s 3 pro season. At the age Pouliot was last fall (22), Jason Chimera had played 4 NHL games compared to Pouliot’s 54.
- Considering all of these elements involved I’d peg Pouliot’s value in terms of draft slot at #45. Fair?