Junior hockey is underway, the college kids will soon be playing (except Riley Nash, Cornell’s first game is in March) and the minor league rosters are sussing themselves out.
Read more here.
Big year for Dubnyk and a .915 SP is my bottom line – a .920 would be even better to solidify his potential as a solid starter down the road. Time to put up the numbers or be considered an underachiever.
Tyler Spurgeon probably earns a call up.
Coachs at all levels love him, he’s shown he can score at the minor pro level, and now he’s added crazy fitness levels to the resume.
Nice numbers asiaoil – lofty.
.920 seems like a bit of a stretch for Dubnyk this season given the professional experience of the back end.
If success comes to Springfield this year, it’ll be because they are winning the high scoring games with Dubnyk making the key saves at critical times – which might just work out fine as this has been his MO since Kamloops.
If Dub can get a taste for winning, I think the save percentage will be a second thought and in the end take care of itself.
Will Springfield score?
He needs to win.
Is Riley Nash’s first game really in March??!! Wow, that is horrible!
Torres with a separated shoulder:
rob: He got me with that one too. It’s actually some time in November.
I’ve threatened to do this for years but have been too lazy. There is likely a very nice AHL-NHL save percentage equivalent out there and I figure it’s probably in the range of 0.10-0.15 off the top of my head. So lofty in AHL becomes ordinary-mediocre in the NHL quickly if it’s near the upper end of that range as I believe it may be.
If you can’t put up elite numbers in the AHL against 2nd tier shooters – why believe a guy can do that against far better shooters in the NHL? That’s always been my line on JDD – and it will be the same with DD unless he puts up some serious results this year.
Asia: It’s probably not fair to mention that the quality of forwards in the NHL is better if you fail to mention that the quality of defencemen also improves – that must help to offset some of the suffering.
(I totally agree with the fact that SV% drops, however)
asia: isn’t SP% misleading in a similar way to +/-? If a team has a group of poor/inexperienced defenders the quality of shots is bound to be higher.
May as well add Pouliot to your list. The Oilers (with the pickup of Steve MacIntyre) seem committed to adding a goon to the roster, and we know that means either Pouliot beats both Schremp/Brule cleanly, or Deslauriers gets sent out.
I think Pouliot’s done.
Based on the number of shots Springfield gave up last season, even if Dubnyk’s got a GAA of 3.00 or higher, he may very well wind up with a save percentage of the suggested 915%.
I think it’s reachable.
On Torres: I was looking forward to watching some early BJ games to check out all their new players and I always wondered if the 14-37-34 line from ’06 just caught lightning in a bottle or was it something that could’ve been duplicated.
I read a game story today from the CBJ Dispatch and Hitch said those two guys have chemistry and Peca had set up Raffi for a tap-in just before he got hurt.
I think the reason Raffi was dealt was for off-ice/maturity issues but by the time he got dealt he was a guy who could keep his head above water while playing tough comp and I’m always a fan of that. And if he wasn’t always consistent on the ice, here’s a time where he goes out and goes too hard and fights in an EX game and now he’s out until November.
I totally agree with your comments about save% dropping from AHL to NHL.
My point is that there are goalies where save% is the critical stat and IMO there are goalies where it may tell the wrong story.
DD has never won (those Blazer teams were really bad). I’d suggest if he gets the opportunity to play behind a quality team, and discover the ‘winning mentality’, we could see the emergence of the DD some of us have been waiting for…
Relic….sure SP will dip a bit behind a really bad defense – but even then a good goalie will still be a good goalie and stop a high percentage of shots. Take a look at Luongo’s stat’s playing with a bunch of horrible FLA teams.
Bendelson….sure I’ve followed DD pretty closely since his draft year and the potential is there – but sooner or later you have to put up results. Just like shooters who sooner or later you have to put up the points or the potential label wears off. That time is now for Dubnyk in his 3rd year as a pro.
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