Falcons D Plus Minus an Interesting Story

This is Sebastien Bisaillon. Signed as an undrafted free agent in the very fertile land of the French Canadian (the Oilers have done very good things in Quebec since 2001), he falls into the “Marc Andre Bergeron” family of terrific finds by scouts who know what the hell they’re doing.

I don’t know the name of the scout who is in charge of telling the boss about good players in the QMJHL but the man deserves a raise and thank goodness the cross checkers stay the hell out of his way.

We’re now at the 7 game mark in the AHL which is about 10% of the schedule. Still too soon to get a complete read on players but we can at least get a glimpse into how these kids are being handled and the results they’re putting up in 08-09.

Based on boxscores I believe the Falcons defense lines up thusly in terms of toughness of minutes:

  1. Jake Taylor
  2. Theo Peckham
  3. Cody Wild
  4. Taylor Chorney
  5. Bryan Young
  6. Mike Gabinet
  7. Sebastien Bisaillon

Josef Hrabel seemed to play against fairly tough opposition in his one game. If you’ve seen any Falcons games or read about line matching from Truitt et al please post it. Anyway, from observing the boxscores it appears that Peckham is facing the toughest opposition and Bisaillon the easiest among the prospects. Here’s the plus minus run:

  1. Sebastien Bisaillon +5
  2. Jake Taylor +3
  3. Cody Wild +3
  4. Mike Gabinet +1
  5. Theo Peckham -1
  6. Bryan Young -2
  7. Taylor Chorney -5

Hrabal was -2 in his game. If my “toughness of minutes” are correct, that means Bisaillon is playing the soft parade and it is paying off for the coach, Theo Peckham is playing the tough minutes and doing well (basically a draw), Taylor Chorney is playing mid-level competition and struggling and Cody Wild can make an early season argument that he’s the best of the bunch.

A quick note on how I’ve reached these conclusions. As an example, Bisaillon has been on the ice for plenty of EV goals for, and in looking at the boxscores for the other side during these events the forwards are (for the most part) not terribly famous or productive. In the Albany game, Bisaillon was on the ice for two goals for, and the opposition forwards for the first goal were C Nicolas Blanchard (6gp, 1-1-2 minus 4), RW Ryan Weston (5gp, 0-0-0 minus 2), LW Mike Angelidis (6gp, 1-0-1 minus 5). It was scored by Ryan Potulny with assists from Rob Schremp and Bisaillon, so I imagine that is just about the best slot for a young D. Soft parade, the best forwards your team can ice.

That goal was followed by another Potulny goal agains the same line with someone named Yannick Tifu (6gp, 0-0-0 minus 3) drawing in for Weston (Blanchard and Angelidis were on the ice for both goals).

So, it’s a road game, the Albany River Rats coach has Angelidis (107 AHL games), Ryan Weston (12 AHL games) and Yannick Tifu (30 AHL games) and Nicolas Blanchard (77 AHL games) out there against Schremp and Potulny (Stephane Goulet was on that line this particular evening). Meanwhile, Dwight Helminen (over 250 AHL games plus experience in Europe), Jakub Petruzalek (144 AHL games and having a nice start) and Marc Cavosie (over 270 AHL games) were not matched up against the Falcons top line. I assume Bisaillon would get credit for soft minutes in this game if we had access to the proper information.

It is most certainly an imperfect way of doing it but it isn’t completely clear to me it’s a bad one compared to watching an internet feed either. Anyway, I welcome any kind of input.

Finally, based on the numbers above (and their offense) here’s how I would rank the Springfield defense in terms of their early season performance:

  1. Jake Taylor 7gp, 1-2-3 +3
  2. Theo Peckham 7gp, 2-1-3 -1
  3. Cody Wild 4gp, 1-1-2 +3
  4. Sebastien Bisaiilon 6gp, 1-1-2 +5
  5. Taylor Chorney 7gp, 0-3-3 -5
  6. Josef Hrabal 1gp, 0-1-1 -2
  7. Mike Gabinet 3gp, 0-0-0 +1
  8. Bryan Young 7gp, 0-0-0 -2

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12 Responses to "Falcons D Plus Minus an Interesting Story"

  1. Guy Flaming says:

    The scout in question is Bill Dandy. Also responsible for Bergeron, Stephan Goulet and most recently Phil Cornet.

  2. Lowetide says:

    Guy: Would he also be partially responsible for Hemsky, Pouliot, Jacques?

  3. T. says:

    Bissaillon’s been one of my favourites since the poor kid got ice time during the post Smyth trade dark days. “Here ya go kid – from your Junior team to the NHL during one of the most brutal periods in team history. Good luck!”

  4. Asiaoil says:

    Not trying to be smug here LT – just restating my TC point that Chorney and Peckham have a lot left to do in the AHL before they are anywhere near ready for the speed and talent in the NHL – they are substantially behind Smid who is no danger form being passed by those guys this season.

  5. Lowetide says:

    No worries, Asia. We just disagree on that point.

  6. raventalon40 says:

    Well then LT has a point, because Bergeron was a relative steal considering his bullet from the point. Cornet is looking to be a late round steal as well.

  7. Guy Flaming says:

    LT: You bet but those guys were high round picks so were seen by all of the scouts.

  8. Jonathan says:

    Hey, Lowetide, check out this article. It was one of my first posts, and it breaks down the entire Oilers scouting staff by which leagues they scout, and who is responsible for which areas. It’s based on an article off the Oilers website from about a year ago.

  9. Lowetide says:

    Jonathan: Very cool. Thanks, and good stuff in your scouting category.

  10. Jonathan says:

    Thanks, LT.

    RE: Smid being threatened by Chorney/Peckham. I really don’t think that Smid should be in any danger, but he may be anyway. Despite the fact that Smid’s (IMO) easily clear of Peckham, the organization is giving Peckham quite a push, and it seems inevitable that he’ll be on the big team next year, barring a train wreck the rest of the way.

    On another note – Jake Taylor sounds like an interesting player. Size, RH shot, lots of experience at a young age – what’s holding him back? From the sound of the player type (I’ve never seen him play) he sure seems like a fit in the Staios/Strudwick mold, so if I were to guess footspeed was an issue, would I be right?

  11. Bruce says:

    I really don’t think that Smid should be in any danger, but he may be anyway… Smid’s (IMO) easily clear of Peckham

    Jonathan: I have marked Smid as a “player of special interest” this year and am following his progress closely. Ladi’s early returns are looking pretty solid, judging from behind the Net data summarized here.

    Thanks for the push.

  12. oilerdiehard says:

    I can only tell you from listening to the games on the radio. As well as purchasing and watching a couple online so far.

    By my eye the top 3 toughest minutes go to:

    Jake Taylor
    Theo Peckham
    Taylor Chorney

    Cody Wild has been in and out of the line up. I would say he is the one grabbing the middle level opposition.

    A lot of Chorney’s minus is coming against the top lines. Having followed WBS close that year. Tom Gilbert was sheltered much more than Chorney. Gibby was mostly bottom pairing and PP minutes at least in the first half of the season. Chorney is logging at lot of ice in at ES as well as special teams.

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