This has been an extremely trying season for Edmonton Oilers minor league prospects. If there were an expansion draft this summer it’s very likely none of them would catch the attention of the new clubs based on this season’s performance (exceptions noted below).
In the photo are (I believe) JF Jacques and (I’m certain) Rob Schremp (what, exactly, is he doing in this photo?), two top flight prospects for the last three or four years.
Earlier this season I had a look at the Oilers’ minor league rfa’s and we talked about which of them might return (and the circumstances). That post is here and this is the update:
- Liam Reddox: His NHL numbers (35gp, 5-4-9 -4) are certainly pedestrian and a possible coaching change with the big club could impact his career in a very big way. However, we don’t know exactly what he is because (unlike the overwhelming majority of these kids) he had a very late kick (starting at 21) to his time as a prospect. One thing we can agree upon is that he’ll get another contract from the Oilers. Will it be a one-way?
- Ryan Potulny: He’s off the pace in the last stretch (15gp, 6-3-9 -7) but his overall numbers are still a team best (53gp, 25-17-42 -11). I suspect he’s in exactly the same spot (obvious signing for Springfield with a one-way deal also in the conversation). His major league audition was solid.
- Ryan Stone: 17gp, 4-6-10 E since the end of January and his numbers for the year are 60gp, 14-27-41 +3 overall. He’s got some size and some grit and it’ll be interesting to see if he can come to camp in the fall and move past people like Brule on the depth chart. Suspect he’s a keeper.
- Gilbert Brule: Huge decline (12gp, 1-4-5) since we last checked, his overall numbers this season in Springfield are 34gp, 12-9-21 -9. The Oilers gave up an NHL regular for him so this trade looks like a poor one after three quarters of a season. It would look even more dreadful if they didn’t give him another contract, but it’s difficult to see how he’d be a strong option for the big team come the fall.
- Devan Dubnyk: Last time we checked his SP was .908 and it has fallen to .904 after a tough run in the last several weeks. I don’t think he’s shown enough but the Oilers have played all of their starters into the ground this year. I hope they bring him back, the math says meh, but he’s a first rounder and the organization is extremely unlikely to cut him loose now.
- Colin McDonald: He had a nice resurgence during this period (17gp, 3-4-7 E) and his season totals are 60gp, 6-9-15 -6. I was very impressed with Jonathan Willis’ AHL “toughness of minutes” study which put McDonald in a positive light and suspect he’ll get another contract for next season.
- Rob Schremp: 17gp, 2-9-11 -6 since we last looked at the rfa’s, he’s now 52gp, 7-30-37 -13 for the season. Already behind a bunch of Oilers kids for the skill slots available (we can safely include Gagner, Cogliano and Nilsson in this category) the Oilers just acquired another smaller skill guy in Patrick O’Sullivan. I can’t imagine a scenario that has him back in the AHL and a member of the Edmonton Oilers organization. There’s really no way to know what his actual trade value is at this time but we can be secure in saying that it’s not what it was a year ago.
- Tyler Spurgeon: He has deep ties (he was a Lowe special) to the organization but didn’t do much in this period (14gp, 0-2-2 -4) to get another contract. Spurgeon is 60gp, 5-13-18 -5 overall and despite this lack of offense my bet is he’ll get another contract due to earlier health issues (meaning that they haven’t seen enough of him to know he’s not a prospect).
- Bryan Young: 17gp, 1-2-3 E over this period and his season (46gp, 1-5-6 -5) shows a trend toward stronger play in the second half of the season. All the younger kids have pushed him toward the door and he might be done as an Oilers prospect.
- Sebastien Bisaillon: 4gp, 1-0-1 -3 recently and 31gp, 5-7-12 -1 for the season. The organization seems to be souring a little on him and he’s had two stints in Stockton. The math says sign him and play him but we’ll see what the Oilers do this summer.
- Mathieu Roy: 13gp, 0-1-1 +1 in Feb/Mar for a season total of 37gp, 2-10-12 -23. I don’t think he’ll come back.
- Stephane Goulet: 4gp, 0-1-1 E in the last few weeks and now stands at 18gp, 1-3-4 +2. You never know with wingers who are 6.03, 210 and scored a bunch in junior but he sure looks like this is his outer marker.
- David Rohlfs: Spending the season in Stockton, unlikely to get another contract with the Oilers.