RE: Ethan Moreau

It was a crazy year for Ethan rifles. The captain came under fire for taking a higher-than-usual number of harmful penalties (he’s always been good at it) and for comments that were either taken the wrong way or were not consistent with what we associate with leadership.

On the other hand, he won the Clancy trophy for leadership on and off the ice. Go figure.

Moreau’s math marks offer us the same mixed bag. Way too minor harmful minor penalties were offset by playing tough opposition at par and scoring 13 EV strength goals (tied for 3rd on the team). Ethan Moreau turns 34 this fall and has 2 years left on a generous contract. 577 games and 103 goals into his Oiler career, he might be leaving town in the next 12 months.

  • Boxcars: 77gp, 14-12-26 133pims
  • Shots: 159
  • Plus Minus: EVEN
  • Corsi: -11.4
  • GF/GA ON: 37-39
  • 5×5/60: 1.50
  • 5×4/60: 0.00
  • Quality of Competition: toughest available
  • Quality of Teammates: 3rd level
  • FO %: 30.6% in 36 sorties
  • 09-10 Cap Hit: $2.0M (capgeek)
  1. What do these numbers tell us? He scored well at even-strength even though Moreau wasn’t on a featured line. He was healthy all season and despite a poor Corsi he managed to play at even +/- and his GF/GA ON isn’t a disaster. Plus it came against tough opposition (toughest among LW’s, tied for 2nd toughest overall among F’s with Pisani). Ethan did many good things this season.
  2. How could the numbers be better? He took a lot of minor penalties (43, seventh among NHL forwards). Even without running the numbers anyone who saw the club this past season would come away thinking he was either trying too hard, had lost his cool or some combination of the two.
  3. What about Injury? He missed some games with a scary (at the time) eye injury but played with abandon all season. He didn’t show any signs that the shoulder or leg injuries of recent seasons had an impact on the year. For this season at least it really was “go time” for the world’s most famous Mandelbaum.
  4. Will Quinn continue to play him against tougher opposition? I don’t know how Quinn will handle him but suspect it’ll be on the top 3 lines.
  5. What Else? One of the crazy things about this team since 2006 is the silly dismantling of left wing. I’m not talking exclusively about Ryan Smyth, but also Raffi Torres and even Curtis Glencross. Moreau may have been far more effective last season with some help from one of those three men.
  6. How important is Moreau to this team? He’s the captain and has been an Oiler for a long time (he was a teammate of Kelly Buchberger’s from trade deadline until season’s end 1999). His reputation and captaincy suggest he’d be a guy new coach Quinn (and Renney) would look to for leadershpip. Which makes some of his comments from last season rather curious but last year’s club was a trainwreck. I don’t know if Oiler fans are in a forgiving mood, but suspect the organization has no plans to replace Moreau as captain. That could certainly change with another poor season by the team, as veterans like him might be the first men sent out of town (likely at the deadline).

Quick Facts

  • 07-08 5×5 per 60m: 1.21
  • 08-09 5×5 per 60m: 1.50

Predictions Past 08-09

  • Predicted: 50gp, 10-7-17 (.340 per game)
  • Actual: 77gp, 14-12-26 (.338 per game)

Prediction for 2009-10: 65gp, 12-11-23 (.354)

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