Sky Pilot (How High Can He Fly)

Taylor Hall has found another gear. When we last visited the Oiler rookie he was outside the top 20 all-time in rookie scoring for the club. He has progressed.

  1. Jari Kurri (80-81) 75gp, 32-43-75
  2. Jason Arnott (93-94) 78gp, 33-35-68
  3. Dave Lumley (79-80) 80gp, 20-38-58
  4. Glenn Anderson (80-81) 58gp, 30-23-53
  5. Sam Gagner (07-08) 79gp, 13-36-49
  6. Andrew Cogliano (07-08) 82gp, 18-27-45
  7. Taylor Hall (10-11) 61gp, 21-19-40
  8. Raimo Summanen (85-86) 73gp, 19-18-37
  9. Miro Satan (95-96) 62gp, 18-17-35
  10. Jordan Eberle (10-11) 48gp, 14-19-33
  11. Jaroslav Pouzar (82-83) 74gp, 15-18-33
  12. Mike Grier (96-97) 79gp, 15-17-32
  13. Kyle Brodziak (07-08) 80gp, 14-17-31
  14. Rem Murray (96-97) 82gp, 11-20-31
  15. David Oliver (94-95) 44gp, 16-14-30
  16. Ales Hemsky (02-03) 59gp, 6-24-30
  17. Jozef Beranek (91-92) 58gp, 12-16-28
  18. Todd Marchant (94-95) 45gp, 13-14-27
  19. Dean McAmmond (93-94) 45gp, 6-21-27
  20. Martin Gelinas (89-90) 46gp, 17-8-25
  21. Mats Lindgren (96-97) 69gp, 11-14-25
  22. Magnus Pääjärvi (10-11) 59gp, 10-14-24
  23. Scott Fraser (97-98) 29gp, 12-11-23
  24. Jason Chimera (02-03) 66gp, 14-9-23
  25. Mike Comrie (00-01) 41gp, 8-14-22
  26. Jarret Stoll (03-04) 68gp, 10-11-21

Hall has reached my projected reasonable expectation number (here) and did it with a large portion of the season to spare; Eberle recently passed my projections (here) and the Swede is going to get there.

What does this mean? Reasonable expectations is designed to be a line in the sand. It isn’t a “shoots out the lights” projection and it isn’t designed to set the bar too low. Hall is going to pass Steven Stamkos as a rookie in the next couple of weeks–that’s a helluva feat and I don’t think we could have reasonably expected it.

Next question: how high can he fly? He may never reach the ground.

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