This is David Musil. Edmonton took him 31st overall at this year’s draft, ending their “top of the draft” business with three selections.
If the Oilers had decided that the better bet would be to trade back into the first round, what value would picks 31 and 62 (their next pick) have?
According to the latest attempt at a draft value chart, those two picks should have allowed the Oilers to trade into the 15-16 area.
The writer is Michael E. Schuckers, from St. Lawrence University. His main article (an interesting read, Mr. Schuckers appears to be a better writer than the previous folks on the subject) and the draft trade chart make for interesting reading.
I believe that scouting and drafting have become more stable (fewer ridiculous selections) since the timeline studied by Mr. Schuckers, but it certainly shows (and well) the value of the first three rounds and has interesting insight into drafting defensemen at the top of the table (something I don’t believe gives value compared to F’s).
Anyway, he’s done some interesting work here, so I wanted to pass it along.