RE 11-12: Defensemen

I’ve projected the Edmonton Oilers defenders to score 23 goals this coming season, a decrease of 3 goals from a year ago. Reasons include Ryan Whitney being unlikely to repeat a strong half season in 10-11; Cam Barker posting good not great PP totals and Tom Gilbert playing less on the PP (and more on the PK and EVs). I think some of those PP minutes may go to a forward like Linus Omark or Ales Hemsky.

Either way, offense from defense isn’t the big worry in this group. Finding effective even strength defenders and penalty killers is the main area of importance.

Here are the boxcars for the 11-12 blue:

  1. Ryan Whitney 50, 4-24-28
  2. Tom Gilbert 82, 5-23-28
  3. Cam Barker 66, 7-16-23
  4. Theo Peckham 70, 3-12-15
  5. Jeff Petry 50, 2-10-12
  6. Ladislav Smid 70, 1-7-8
  7. Taylor Chorney 38, 1-5-6
  8. Corey Potter 25, 0-5-5
  9. Andy Sutton 44, 0-3-3
  10. Taylor Fedun 3, 0-1-1
  11. Colten Teubert 4, 0-0-0

Combining F and D for 11-12 I’ve projected the Oilers to score 223 goals this coming season. That would represent an increase of 30 goals for the team year over year. It also puts them 6 goals behind the league average (229) from last season and suggests there is much work to do.

I enjoy doing the RE series and based on the number of page views they get it looks like it’s a popular feature. I was surprised to see my predictions from last season show up in a recent article by David Staples at the Cult of Hockey the other day and even more surprised that David found a way to put my predictions near the top. :-)

All kidding aside, I want to make sure no one EVER enters a pool or bets a dime on any projection this blog manufactures. My methods are about as scientific as marmalade (well a little better than that) and the guys who get paid to do this stuff are way more qualified than me.

Hope you enjoyed the skaters RE. Goalies are next.

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