We’ve looked at preseason scoring before and have concluded that the Oilers fast track rookies and the first sign is preseason games. I did an item on this last year, and in looking at the seasons 2005-09 it’s a strong trend (that an Edmonton rookie getting a long look in camp will also play at least a game during the season).
Now much of that has to do with the quality of team over those years, but the current Oilers aren’t going to trump the 2005-09 bunch (save for the ’06 crew).
Here’s what the earlier glance at rookie pre-season scoring delivered:
- Fall 2005: Of the 14 rookies who played more than one pre-season game, 11 (or 79%) would eventually spend some time in the NHL in 2005-06. The excluded players (Schremp, Stortini and Troy Bodie) would all eventually play in the big leagues.
- Fall 2006: Of the 17 who played more than one pre-season game, 14 (or 82.3 %) got at least a cup of coffee in the show during the 06-07 season. Slava Trukhno, Jonas Almtorp and Tyler Spurgeon are still on the outside looking in.
- Fall 2007: Of the 9 who played more than one pre-season game, 4 (44.4%) turned the trick and played in the NHL. Tim Sestito, Ryan O’Marra and Bodie have since appeared in the NHL, Trukhno and Almtorp did not make an NHL appearance during a regular season game in the North American stay.
- Fall 2008: Of the 12 who played more than one pre-season game, 7 (58.3%) made the NHL during the 2008-09 season. Spurgeon and Trukhno once again make the list but never got close to the NHL in a regular season game.
- Fall 2009: Of the 9 who played more than one pre-season game, 7 (77.8%) made the NHL during the year. The holdouts were Jordan Eberle and Bryan Young, both of whom played in the NHL (one before, one after).
Since I haven’t seen it published anywhere else, here are the 2010 fall stats. I have those who broke camp with the team and were dressed opening night October 7th in bold, those that were callups in italics.
- Magnus Paajarvi 3, 3-1-4
- Chris Vande Velde 3, 2-2-4
- Alex Plante 2, 0-4-4
- Jordan Eberle 4, 2-1-3
- Linus Omark, 3, 1-2-3
- Taylor Hall 3, 1-2-3
- Colin McDonald 2, 1-0-1
- Jeff Petry 2, 1-0-1
- Teemu Hartikainen 2, 0-1-1
- Shawn Belle 2, 0-1-1
- Ryan O’Marra 4, 0-1-1
- Devan Dubnyk 3, 2.61 .920
Of the 12 who played more than one preseason game, 11 (91.7%) played in the NHL last season. The 2 game rule since 2005 is running at around 75% as a forecaster for callups. It makes sense, the kids are going to either make the grade or be in the mix for callup, and we also have to factor in that ridiculous injury number Edmonton endures each season. With all that said, here are the current rookies with 2+ games in preseason (so far):
- Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 3, 0-3-3
- Anton Lander 2, 1-1-2
- Antti Tyrvainen 2, 1-0-1
- Teemu Hartikainen 2, 0-0-0
- Kirill Tulupov 2, 0-0-0
- Ryan Martindale 2, 0-0-0
- Tanner House 2, 0-0-0
- Tyler Pitlick 2, 0-0-0
There’s a bunch more on the way, I would think Chris VandeVelde, Curtis Hamilton and Taylor Fedun might get another game before getting sent to OKC. It’s already an interesting list, and recent Oiler history suggests 6 of those 8 names will play an NHL game in 11-12.