DRAFT PROFILES: MORGAN RIELLY

Despite an injury that took most of his season, Morgan Rielly remains one of the very best prospects in the 2012 entry draft.

SCOUTING REPORT

  • Corey Pronman:“His speed is good with a dangerous top gear and Rielly can be especially impressive from a standstill with his acceleration, four-way mobility, and his elusive quickness. He can also really make things happen on a power play with his footwork and ability to maneuver in tight spaces. Rielly is a very skilled offensive player with plus puck skills and passing ability who can dangle an opponent out of his skates or thread a bullet pass through a tight lane. He creates a lot with his individual ability but much more so with his hockey sense and ability to control the flow. Rielly is very aware of his time and space and rarely seems pressured when making plays. That hockey sense also translates to the other end of the ice as Rielly reads his assignments well, makes a lot of good little plays defensively, and works hard in that aspect.”
  • Grant McCagg, tsn: Strengths: An elite puck rushing defenceman with creativity, vision and hands. Competitive and decent in his position game, he has good hockey sense and instincts. Strong skater with good mobility. Weaknesses: Not overly big or physical, described by one scout as a ’5-11 rover’ and will have to continue to refine his defensive play. His knee injury will concern some teams and questions will arise concerning how it may affect his mobility. NHL upside: Offensive skills will intrigue several teams in the Top 20 despite his knee injury and he’ll get a solid opportunity to be an offensive defenceman in the NHL.
  • Red Line Report:His most impressive talent is his puck control at top speed, which enables him to generate an exceptional number of even-strength chances off his dangerous rushes. Rielly also has phenomenal power-play abilities as either a quarterback or triggerman, and projects as a top power-play threat at the NHL level.Just by showing the mental fortitude to come back and play in those five playoff games, we think Rielly has pushed himself back into the discussion as a potential top-five pick. At RLR, we feel his upside is the best in this year’s defense crop, ahead of even fellow WHLers Matt Dumba and Ryan Murray, who are still likely to be selected ahead of him come June because of their more extensive bodies of work and exposure this season.

DESJARDINS NHLE (per 82gp)

  1. Ryan Murphy 10-21-31
  2. Cam Fowler 4-21-25
  3. Morgan Rielly 4-21-25
  4. Dougie Hamilton 4-17-21
  5. Brandon Gormley 4-14-18
  6. Ryan Murray 5-12-17
  7. Nathan Beaulieu 4-12-16
  8. Erik Gudbranson 1-13-14
  •  Rielly played in only 18 games during the regular season so the odds of these numbers properly reflecting his offensive ability are not high. Having said that, I think it is fair to suggest he’s among the best offensive defenders in the draft based on his resume and that is reflected here.

THE GOOD

  • Watching Rielly in the post-season gave one the feeling they were observing something special. A wonderful puck rusher, this kid is probably the most skilled defender in the draft.
  • For a team like the Oilers–already boasting some PP dynamite–this fellow might be the player who can transition the puck with authority. Oilers haven’t enjoyed that skill since Lubo, although Ryan Whitney can throw bullets to the forwards tape to tape.
  • Reports suggest he can actually play defense, so we’re not looking at a pure chaos gunslinger.
  • Speed.
  • If he can play defense as suggested, Rielly comes close to having the complete skill set the Oilers are no doubt looking for in their franchise defender.

THE BAD

  • Rielly lacks the size NHL teams look for in their defensemen. He’s 6.00, 200.
  • Knee injury a concern, although he did come back for the postseason and looked impressive.
  • Lacks the edge I believe the Oilers value highly. 2pims this past season in 18 WHL games, 21pims in 65 the previous season.

THE REST

  • I don’t think the Oilers would hesitate selecting Rielly but probably like other options more.
  • Rielly is a bit of a risk due to the injury but someone is going to get a blue chip defenseman who may be one of the few blue who can impact offensively.
  • I hope the Oilers seriously consider this player should they end up trading out of the #1 overall slot. Imagine having this skill set behind the brilliant young forwards on the PP!

MORGAN RIELLY WILL BE ONE OF THE NHL’S TOP 10 SELECTIONS AT THE 2012 ENTRY DRAFT

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34 Responses to "DRAFT PROFILES: MORGAN RIELLY"

  1. franksterra says:

    As a second 1st round pick if we trade up with a package (e.g. 2nd rounders, a player). As a first pick? Hmm, a serious good young roster player would have to be in there to justify dropping from 1st to 8th-9th and taking Rielly.

    From NHL Mock Draft:

    Wild
    7
    Morgan Rielly
    Ht/Wt:6′ 0″/190 lbs
    Position:D
    Team: Moose Jaw (WHL)

    Canes
    8
    Teuvo Teravainen
    Ht/Wt:5’10″/161 lbs
    Position:LW
    Team: Jokerit (Fin)

    Jets
    9
    Jacob Trouba
    Ht/Wt:6′ 1″/185 lbs
    Position:D
    Team: USA U-18

    Bolts
    10
    Radek Faksa
    Ht/Wt:6′ 2″/183 lbs
    Position:C
    Team: Kitchener (OHL)

    Any deals in there for a big, good #2 C, a top young PF winger or a top pairing D?

  2. spoiler says:

    Rielly won’t be there at 8 or 9, I don’t think.

    Out of all the defenseman in the draft, he’s the guy I want the most.

    Coffey didn’t have much of an edge either. If that’s what the Oil were looking for it would be Dumba Dumba all the way. Edge is not a consideration here considering all the talk Murray is getting.

    This kid is bigger than Murphy or Ellis. Same size as Murray and Dumba. Size is not a consideration here.

    I’m surprised we never get to see Ellis’ draft year NhLE, since he’s talked about in trade speculation. Nice to see Gormley’s though. This is his second outstanding tourney of the year. He’s better than Ellis.

  3. Lowetide says:

    Ellis was 9-29 his draft year.

  4. spoiler says:

    Lowetide:
    Ellis was 9-29 his draft year.

    Yeah, I was pretty sure Murphy had him nipped. That was a helluva season he had. Who do you like better, Ellis or Gormley, LT?

  5. Lowetide says:

    Gormley. He’s a complete player imo. Oilers should grab that guy rfn.

  6. spoiler says:

    Yeah, I agree. Get him. I think Phoenix would rather trade Rundblad and I’m cursing the fact that the Cats are in the Memorial Cup Showcase, but I think this player is more easily obtainable than OEL.

    I wonder what it would take. Phoenix is always short on scoring and Cs, but if we trade Gagner, that’s another hole that needs to be fixed. Like whack-a-mole.

  7. spoiler says:

    A guy like Bogo is probably further along defensively and can help the Oil more now.

  8. gd says:

    Is Gormley and Hanzal enough for the 1st overall?

    Phoenix just seems like the perfect trading partner, because they have so much young D talent and almost no young forward talent, plus with the new owner we might be able to take advantage of someone trying to make a splash in their market. To me Rundblad is not worth trading for, as the Oil have prospects as good, and Hanzal is the only Phx forward who is worth anything in a trade.

  9. gd says:

    I really like Reilly and think he could be Murray insurance if the Oil do trade down to around the 5th. He epitomizes why trading down anywhere in the top 10 is probably a safe move as after 1 the next 10 could go anywhere and as they are all either D or big forwards, represent our two biggest needs. So if they are going to trade down the biggest consideration should be what is the best established NHLer they can get from the other teams in the top 10 and not worry so much about the spot.

  10. Simmer24 says:

    I was privileged to see Reilly play in the playoff series in MJ with the Oil Kings. When the puck hit his stick, he dictated the play. The kid could play D as well. MJ had him on a pairing with Dylan McIlrath and I felt bad for Reilly because he would throw laser D to D passes and McIlrath would never be ready or couldn’t handle them.

    I think Reilly has an opportunity to be an impact NHL D man and will go high in the draft. I don’t know what we would have to give up to get him, but boy would he look great in Oil silks making those outlet passes to our wingers. Look how much Karlsson added to Ottawa this year. Not that he is Karlsson, but shows some of the same skating, vision and passing skills.

  11. Ryan says:

    gd,

    Not sure, but Hanzal is definitely a player the Oilers could use. 6’6 228 lbs. His behindthenets look pretty impressive though to the average hockey fan, his boxcars don’t look like much. Played the toughs with a neutral zone start and still had a 5v5 of 1.60.

    Nuge – Gagner – Hanzal seems to inspire more confidence in myself than Nuge – Gagner – Horcoff, but maybe that’s just me.

  12. Maverick says:

    Lowetide:
    Gormley. He’s a complete player imo. Oilers should grab that guy rfn.

    I never really digged deep into the Phoenix roster and now that I have I can see they may provide a good trading partner for the Oilers. A quick glance over at capgeek.com reveals many contracts opening up for 2012-2013 season for Phoenix, perhaps depth issues? It depends who resigns or if they get who they want on July 1st, if not, a nice package deal with the abundance of young forwards we have for a defenseman; Gormley, Runblad might be an option.

    Gormley has looked very good during the MEM cup, but looking at his junior stats are there injury concerns with this player?

    As for Reilly, he will be taken in the top 6, my guess is Anaheim would take a shot at him.

  13. TheOtherJohn says:

    We may be very surprised, I know I would be, but it is possible that the Oilers may surprise the shit out of with what they do with this pick. In a good way. Have no difficulty moving 1st OV for outstanding offensive D man or a package. Do not think Schenn and #5 is a package, actually think it’s a joke but he was at WHC for no apparent reason. I would do Gormley/Hanzal in a heart beat. It fills 2 holes: big body 2C and all around young gun D. Do not think Maloney would do deal.Added advantage would be Rickibear gets another WJHC allstar defenceman = star narrative

    Agree with Spoiler completely player acquisition/trades is like whack a mole, acquire one to fill a hole, another one pops up. That’s why it’s imperative that FA/RFA acquisitions cannot be 5 or 6 out of 10. We sign Belanger for more $$ over 3 years and Phx signs Boyd Gordon for less money over 2 years. They get the better player. It’s moves like that have us constantly filling in holes.

    Reports are that Winnipeg has some issues with Evander Kane off ice, wonder if bigger package of 1st OV and Gagner could get us Kane and Bogo?

  14. speeds says:

    I know it’s pretty cliched to compare draft eligible players to whichever NHL has just had a great season, but I’ve got to admit that reading about Rielly sounds kinda/sorta like Karlsson.

  15. godot10 says:

    @ricoh waiting for pregame warmup

  16. godot10 says:

    Green and trembly outt, green took pregame

  17. jfry says:

    reilly seemss like a neids comparable. i just don’t get it for murray.

  18. rickithebear says:

    I look at all the discussion and dynamics of pick.
    I post hertl’s NHLE next to yakupov’s
    I continue to wonder why he lumbers at the 20′s.
    Hertl 6’2″ 198LB CHL production 1.67 PPG equivalent.
    NHLE 19G 21A
    Yakupov
    5’11″ 190 chl 1.64 PPG
    NHLE 18G 21A
    Any discussion for a dman should involve insuring we get Hertl in the 15-20 range. Unless Carolina pulls another skinner move and takes him at #8.

    LT: equivalency are great. but age dictates potential ceiling.
    sept. 93 is expected to have a cieling of 50% of CHLproductoion.
    sept 94 in the draft has the potential for 75% of chl Production.

    Hertl bigger, faster, more physical, productive, and younger.

    Reilly to constatly here teams refer to 6’0″ Dman as liabilities.
    I have complete faith rielly can physically handle a line of Richards, Carter, Penner.

    Watching Rhienhart is watching Plante.

    If we come out with aDman and Hertl in the draft smiles

  19. godot10 says:

    Pk units: vandevelde n house lander n paajarvi

  20. godot10 says:

    Pp units: cornet Argo keller,,,paradise potluck harty

  21. godot10 says:

    First over, 1-O tor pp goal, edge in play for okc. Scrivens good!

  22. Gerta Rauss says:

    http://atdhenet.tv/45066/watch-ahl-toronto-marlies-vs-oklahoma-city-barons

    seems to be working..I think we’re in the first intermission

  23. Bruce McCurdy says:

    Rielly was plenty impressive in the Warriors-Oil Kings series, especially given it was his first action in several months. Buddy can really wheel, and he can handle and move the puck while in top gear. He reminded me a little bit of Brian Campbell.

  24. TheOtherJohn says:

    Bruce McCurdy:
    Rielly was plenty impressive in the Warriors-Oil Kings series, especially given it was his first action in several months. Buddy can really wheel, and he can handle and move the puck while in top gear. He reminded me a little bit of Brian Campbell.

    Bruce

    You weren’t suggesting Reilly was notably overpaid ….right? :-)

  25. godot10 says:

    Game Wrap:

    OKC had a slight edge in play, but 2 PP goals against, a brutal giveaway by Lander (I think), and one bad goal let in by Danis. Scrivens was really good early.

    The ice was tilted in the Barons favour when Hartikainen, Vandevelde, and Paajarvi were on the ice. And they kept bringing the Barons back. That would be a pretty good 4th line next year with the big club if the Oilers wanted to roll four lines.

    Paajarvi’s goal was really pretty.

    I wish Nelson would have pulled a “Mike Keenan” on the last power play, called a time out, and went with the guys who were going (Hartikainen, Vandevelde, and Paajarvi), rather than start it with Arcobello’s line.

    Apart from the bad giveaway, Lander played pretty well. Ditto Pitlick.

  26. Lowetide says:

    Thanks, Godot10.

  27. spoiler says:

    Buzzing the Net’s Neate Seager has an article on some scouts ranking Galchenyuk 1st overall. It’s hot-linked through the Yakupov 25 min link LT provided at the bottom of the Grig thread.

    I’ve been thinking that it was Yak stirring the drink, and that he was clearly better than Galch. Now I am not so sure. If there’s a high end centre available (and I don’t think Forsberg is that player), I could see a trade down that brings a defenseman and then pick up a centre. To me that makes more sense than trading down for a defenseman and then drafting a defenseman.

    If there is a trade down, the traded for player and the drafted player should probably play different positions, or we’re back to whack-a-mole.

    Pelss! Good goal, no Clouseau review this time.

  28. spoiler says:

    Very good pass to get out of trouble on the PP by Reinhart there.

  29. spoiler says:

    Lowe interview between periods:

    “Just talked to Steve and he said no timeline on new coach. Ideally we’ll have it done before the draft but we will take longer if necessary.”

  30. PunjabiOil says:

    Never been high on Lander – seems like he doesn’t bring enough offense at both the AHL and NHL level.

    Honestly don’t see anything in him. He’s Ryan O’Marra 2.0

    Better we get some value out of him via the trade market while he still carries some.

    Guy who I wanted in 2009 in the second round was Elliot. He went 9 picks later.

    Not a whole lot of NHL material in between. Maybe it’s time to start turning second round picks for NHL players like Sutter did (Tanguay, Bourque, Kiprusoff)

  31. godot10 says:

    PunjabiOil:
    Never been high on Lander – seems like he doesn’t bring enough offense at both the AHL and NHL level.

    Honestly don’t see anything in him.He’s Ryan O’Marra 2.0

    Better we get some value out of him via the trade market while he still carries some.

    Guy who I wanted in 2009 in the second round was Elliot.He went 9 picks later.

    Not a whole lot of NHL material in between. Maybe it’s time to start turning second round picks for NHL players like Sutter did (Tanguay, Bourque, Kiprusoff)

    Lander made one bad play. He didn’t suck. At even strength, Pitlick, Lander, and Tyvainen, did fine, and although they were not dominant like Hartikainen’s line, they probably still did manage a slight edge in play.

    They were probably the second best line tonight for OKC at even strength.

    So he projecting as a 3rd line centre at best. Nothing wrong with that. Renney didn’t do him any favors this year.

  32. Lowetide says:

    Lander had a pretty good season at 19 in the SEL, I don’t think we should give up on him. We know he’ll be a checker but he would still need to post some offense in order to play significant EV minutes. I think he’ll get there, although this season was mishandled by the Oilers.

  33. Gret99zky says:

    The more I think about the draft the more I wonder what MBS will do in the later rounds.

    Surely MBS know his job is more sucure than Tambi’s.

    Tambi is full on piggybacking MBS at this point. Just hoping for that next big surprise.

  34. franksterra says:

    gd:
    I really like Reilly and think he could be Murray insurance if the Oil do trade down to around the 5th. He epitomizes why trading down anywhere in the top 10 is probably a safe move as after 1 the next 10 could go anywhere and as they are all either D or big forwards, represent our two biggest needs. So if they are going to trade down the biggest consideration should be what is the best established NHLer they can get from the other teams in the top 10 and not worry so much about the spot.

    Yes, and as others have said, end the whack-a -mole game, now six years and running. IF we trade down, the roster player we aquire has to fill a hole as of October 2012. I’d prefer that player to be a young forward- PF winger, or 2nd line C with size (just an example, CBJ’s Johansen), or even an all-rounder 2nd/3rd line C with size, two way play, PK, etc (examples, Hanzal, or Brian Boyle if he came with del Zotto or M.Staal). I’d plug the D-line hole(s) with an FA or two for 2-4 years, willing to see what the likes of Marincin, Musil, Klefbom, Gernat can do thereafter. Of course Sutton, Barker, maybe Whitney will be gone soon, keeping a spot open for a rookie evn prior to that timeframe.

    We have very good D prospects, more questions with the forwards. In whack-a-mole terms, it is harder to justify keeping Sam much longer, as he will 100% need larger, grittier, two-way players to make any line he anchors effective for a solid playoff team. Committing to Sam means a young PF winger is a vital necessity. Hall is not enough. Having someone like Johnasen at 2nd line C, a Hanzal at 3rd line, the two-way grit+skill balance looks much better going forward, and the whack-a-mole holes less glaring.

    A stronger c means expereimenting on the wing a bit more with the Harskis, MPs…who knows, maybe even Linus could have impressed as scoring board worker who doesn’t backcheck! Good C’s can make good duos over three lines.

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