Pat from Black Dog Hates Skunks had a great suggestion last night: a “look back” at a previous top 20 to see how things have gone. I chose winter 2007 for two reasons–one, the winter edition always allows me a better look at the new drafts and two, that 2007 draft had a lot to do with Kevin Prendergast’s exit.
The original list is here, with links to articles on each. It’s funny how quickly some of these names are forgotten. Now. Here’s their output:
2007 TOP 20 AND THEIR RESULTS 07-12
A few things:
- Gagner is and should be the class of the group, but Nash and Plante gave very little production for a year when THREE first rounders were Edmonton’s. Opportunity pissed away.
- Gilbert was known to us by then but Petry wasn’t; Jeff Petry worked a lot to get to where he is. In 2007 spring it wasn’t a certainty he would emerge.
- The 4 biggest GP totals are in the top 6, which seems reasonable. The biggest surprises are players 9-11, Dubnyk along with Petry and Peckham.
- Trukhno and Wild are complete misses, probably more about my personal bias than an actual reflection of how things took place.
- If you have a draft of these 20 players, I think it would go Gagner, Gilbert, Petry, Brodziak, Dubnyk, Cogliano, Peckham. After that, meh.
- If we’re scoring this honestly, those 7 players are probably the only “make the grade” prospects from the 20. It’s still a good number.
- I think the current 20 (posted yesterday) trumps the current group by a lot.
- For those of us who would gladly deal a Musil or a Rieder for immediate help, the ranking 9-11 suggests we might want to re-think our rush for immediate help.
Fun stuff. We’ll do another one soon.
Nation Radio hits the air at noon today on Team 1260. Among the scheduled guests:
- James Mirtle from the Globe and Mail. We’ll talk about the NHL/NHLPA negotiations along with a quick trip through the Canadian NHL cities and their summer acitivity.
- Benjamin Wendorf from Arctic Ice Hockey. Benjamin will tell us about the Jets summer and how they’ve spent their dollars.
- Rob Vollman from Hockey Abstract. Vollman is a brilliant hockey mind and has introduced “usage charts” to inquiring hockey minds. It’s a revelation.
- Corey Pronman from Hockey Prospectus. Corey’s Oilers top 10 prospect list is a must read and his insights are valuable for any hockey fan.
- Eric Tulsky from NHL Numbers. Eric has been looking at some information collected through the Philadelphia Flyers 11-12 season and it reveals astounding results in regard to possession, zone entries and the importance of neutral zone play. This is some ground breaking stuff.
Emails welcome to firstname.lastname@example.org and you can twitter @lowetide_ or @ItsNationRadio. You can also post thoughts and questions in the comments section of this post. It’ll be fun. Bring your brain.