The Oklahoma City
Barons Oilers are going to be loaded this winter. How many points can we expect from the Nuge?
During the last lockout, the impact kids were Jason Spezza (117 points) and Mike Cammalleri (109 points) and believe me the AHL 04-05 was loaded (Vanek, Parise, Eric Staal) with tremendous young talent. So, if there were two kids over 100 points last time, how many will there be this time? Can the Nuge post 100 points? Will Eberle do it too?
NHLE from Gabriel Desjardins suggests the average AHL player will take 44% of his offense with him to the NHL. If we use that number to work backwards and run RNH’s rookie NHL season through the NHLE we get this:
- (Age 18) 62, 41-77-118
Spezza had a helluva support group, with Denis Hamel, Antoine Vermette, Brandon Bochenski, Chris Kelly and Josh Langfield all ripping it up (the Binghampton Senators top 6F scored 189 goals that season). The Nuge might have Jordan Eberle on the team, and the Barons will also have Hartikainen, Paajarvi, Josh Green and Mark Arcobello in the top 6, and Phil Cornet led OKC with 24 goals a year ago.
I’ll guess Ryan Nugent-Hopkins scores above a point per game but does not deliver at the same level as Spezza in the last lockout. Strength of team and Spezza’s age (he was 21) would be the main items for me.
What then would be a good estimate? I’ll say 70, 28-57-85 1.21/pts per game.
What’s your estimate?