I’ve paid close attention to the 2010 entry draft since it passed for a lot of reasons. The Oilers had the #1 overall pick and several top 100 picks–the kind of draft that could help build a foundation for success.
In hindsight, I probably should have been less bullish about the Stu (Magnificent Bastard) MacGregor draft era. I get about 20 contacts a month that say something to the effect of “well I guess that Stu MacGregor isn’t the genius you thought he was, huh?” which suggests I’m seeing things others do not see.
Lets go back then to 2010 and review my reasons for being so strong on the 2010 entry draft. In the Harvest Moon edition I wrote the following:
- Overall impressions: A good, good draft. Hall clearly is going to be the story of this draft, but nice value in the second round (Pitlick, Marincin) and later (Davidson) tell us the Oilers set up their draft board well. I also like the Hamilton and Bunz selections, leaving only the Martindale pick as a question mark (they drafted for need) among the team’s most dear selections. I think MBS is an outstanding scouting director and if he can find a way to push those “saw him good” picks back another round he’ll be even better. Blain, Czerwonka, Pelss and Jones are probably scouts picks, payment for all those nights driving to little towns all over the world in search of the next Taylor Hall. These men are going to be under pressure to deliver more than an average number of NHLers to the show for the next several seasons and it looks like they’ve delivered this season. Report card day is around 2015 summer. See you then.
I’m a big fan of players with a “wide range of skills.” I’m also a believer in drafting players within the range of their projected draft number. “Reach” picks should be limited to the #100+ selections, where “saw him good” and scouts favorites and enforcers and hunches belong.
2010 Oilers draft (Bob McKenzie numbers)
- Taylor Hall selected #1, ranked #1 (attended combine)
- Tyler Pitlick selected #31, ranked #25 (attended combine)
- Martin Marincin selected #56, ranked #71 (attended combine)
- Curtis Hamilton selected #48, ranked 57 (attended combine)
- Ryan Martindale selected #61, ranked 58 (attended combine)
- Jeremie Blain selected #91, not ranked
- Tyler Bunz selected #121, not ranked (attended combine)
- Brandon Davidson selected #162, not ranked (attended combine)
- Drew Czerwonka selected #166, not ranked
- Kristians Pelss selected #181, not ranked
- Kellen Jones selected #202, not ranked
This is the point where I started to see MBS’ draft style. The combine list is important to the team and of course the McKenzie list marched in (mostly) lock step with the Oilers list. Blain was a “touch list” area scout selection and we could put Czerwonka, Pelss and Jones in the same category.
The kids who attended the combine–and some who did not–had a wide range of skills. Tyler Pitlick was a typical selection; quoting McKenzie’s draft summary: “A late 1991 birthdate, he was an offensive player in the Minnesota high school system but will have to prove he can put up numbers with each step up in competition, but he plays a solid enough all-around game to garner first round consideration.”
In 10-11, Taylor Hall, Tyler Pitlick, Curtis Hamilton, Ryan Martindale, Martin Marincin and Tyler Bunz appeared to be the stars of the show. One year later, Hall was still in the winner’s circle, but others were falling back. This season? I think Pitlick, Marincin, Martindale, Bunz and Davidson are looking pretty good. Here’s a quick glance at early season OKC scoring and plus minus for the group:
- Martin Marincin 3, 2-0-2 +6
- Ryan Martindale 2, 0-2-2 +2
- Tyler Pitlick 3, 0-1-1 +2
- Brandon Davidson 2, 0-0-0 E
- Curtis Hamilton 2, 0-0-0 -1
- Kristians Pelss 1, 0-0-0 E
Hall hasn’t played yet, and Bunz is in Stockton waiting for a call. The Oilers didn’t sign Blain or Czerwonka–the scouts’ picks imo–and we’re waiting on Kellen Jones.
Eight players signed out of 11, and I’d suggest that Marincin is emerging as the best MBS selection outside the first round. A little early, and he’ll have some competition, but he’s showing well early in his first pro season.
So, lets dispense with the Magnificent Bastard stuff, maybe I’m too strong on this draft and the Eberle pick and the rest. Based on the returns so far–and we have a ways to go–I’d suggest the 2010 entry draft was a good one based on what we know.
Considering that 25% of the OKC Barons comes from this draft–and this is in fact the first year they would project to be pro’s–at what point can we call this a success? If Marincin and another player join Hall as NHL regulars? Do Hall, Marincin and two others need to make the grade? I think the 2010 entry draft is trending well. And that includes the genuine concern Curtis Hamilton.
I’ll have a GDT thread up later, looking forward to your opinions on the 2010 draft so far.