The Oil Kings are in action tonight against the red hot Kamloops Blazers. Injuries and inconsistency are taking their toll, and I imagine there’s the usual championship hangover that seems to come with success (have no idea if true, just read it a lot).
Two of my favorite Oiler bloggers have written in recent times about Mitchell Moroz. He’s a favorite subject here for a few reasons: the author of this blog is a fan of Stu’s bunch, the author of this blog is a fan of ‘guys with size who can actually play’ and of course as an Oilers fan I want all of the draft picks to be Hall of Famers.
My feeling about Moroz is this: he was a fairly large reach pick (BM had him #56, he went #32) and the Oilers clearly liked him a lot.
- My point on draft day: The pick at 32 was somewhat disappointing. The players we talked about this morning were available at that number. My picks were Pontus Aberg, Dalton Thrower and Matt Finn–you may have had other names.
It is a subject I’m interested in: what are the elements that made a risk averse fellow like Stu MacGregor and his staff go walkabout. Since taking over as the scouting director, MacGregor has gone off the charts twice in the top 40 (Lander and Moroz) using McKenzie’s numbers.
Anyway, one of my favorite bloggers (Scott Reynolds) wrote an item on Moroz and comparables this summer. It’s interesting because it shows a big of a track record for this type of pick. The other terrific blogger (Jonathan Willis) recently wrote about the early part of Moroz’ season.
At some point, opinions don’t matter: Moroz will succeed or not and opinion will give way to fact. Marc Pouliot is a favorite of mine–hell I’m still cheering for him–but you can’t say he was a strong pick in 2003. Reasons don’t matter, facts are facts and as a group we pass judgement as time rolls.
In Reynolds item, he lists the comparables. I thought it might be interesting to list their performances in their first year after draft:
- Shawn Matthias 64, 38-35-73 1.14
- Eric Tangradi 56, 24-36-60 1.07
- Milan Lucic 70, 30-38-68 .971
- Colton Gillies 58, 24-23-47 .810
- Blake Comeau 65, 24-23-47 .723
- Brett Clouthier 65, 13-26-39 .600
- Mitch Moroz 10, 0-4-4 .400
- Dane Byers 65, 11-9-20 .308
As Jonathan detailed, Moroz has had a slow start. It isn’t over, but the early returns suggest Byers is a better comp than Lucic.
Lets hope for better days.