Over lunch yesterday, a friend and I began talking about Mitchell Moroz. I said “well, the thing about Milan Lucic is that he can take and make a pass and the play doesn’t die on his stick” and my buddy (who posts here often ) chuckled “why do people always use Lucic? He’s the ultimate outlier.”
Which is true. Milan Lucic is scoring at a clip John Ferguson couldn’t manage, and the big Vancouver kid scored 30 goals and a point per game the year after he was drafted. That’s lightning in a bottle stuff, and predicting the next Lucic is a fool’s game.
When we talk about comps for Mitchell Moroz–and I don’t think we can really look at this until season’s end, when we have a complete season (at 18) from him–then using more reasonable comps like Mike Bloom is probably a fair way to proceed.
- Lucic at 18 (WHL) 70, 30-38-68 on a team that scored 3.40 gpg
- Bloom at 18 (OHA) 58, 20-33-53 on a team that scored 5.53 gpg
- Moroz at 18 (WHL) 15, 3-6-9 on a team that is projected to score 3.73 gpg
Lucic is at a point-per-game on a team that scored fewer goals than Moroz’ Oil Kings are projected to do this season. Bloom also scored more, but in a more dynamic offensive era and on a team with Marcel Dionne as its star.
Over the next few months, we should add some possible comps and run them through the exercise above. And we should also agree that if Moroz has a “Mike Bloom” career that’s a win.