The 2011 entry draft was a “good news, good news” draft that allowed the Oilers to take the BPA and address need on the blue. Two years in, are we still happy with the 2011 entry draft?
BOB MCKENZIE’S LIST
- #1: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
- #21: Oscar Klefbom
- #41: David Musil
- #51: Samu Perhonen
- Honorable Mention: Travis Ewanyk
- Honorable Mention: Dillon Simpson
- Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
- Oscar Klefbom
- David Musil
- Samu Perhonen
- Travis Ewanyk
- Tobias Rieder
OILERS DRAFT LIST
- #1 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
- #19 Oscar Klefbom
- #31 David Musil
- #62 Samu Perhonen
- #74 Travis Ewanyk
- #92 Dillon Simpson
- #114 Tobias Rieder
- #122 Martin Gernat
- #182 Frans Tuohimaa
I believe the Oilers “picks in play” are #1, #19, #31, #62, #74 and #92. One guy should be an impact player for more than a decade, and after that the club should expect a legit career of 400+ games from Klefbom and another fellow to pass 200 NHL games during his career. Three useful players. Nuge, Klefbom, and? Not a clue. That’s why we watch the games. I will guess below.
12-13 NHLE’s (Nuge’s numbers are his Oiler totals extrapolated over 82gp)
- Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 7-42-49
- Tobias Rieder 13-13-26
- Dillon Simpson 4-15-19
- Oscar Klefbom 0-17-17
- Martin Gernat 3-11-14
- David Musil 4-8-12
- Travis Ewanyk 3-7-10
- The Impact Man: Even in a season when he’s playing hurt, you can see the exceptional skill at both ends of the ice. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins is vital to the Oilers because he’s a center, highly skilled, and has a terrific defensive side. I believe he’ll be a complete player soon, one of those franchise guys who helps in every zone. A wonderful addition to the supremely talented Oilers of the ’10s.
- 2-way winger: Rieder had a down arrow season and then got himself traded to the Coyotes. I think he’s got a very good chance to become an NHL player down the line, and hope everyone remembers MBS and his group drafted him. Rieder’s range of skills make him a good candidate to become that ‘Pisani winger’ the Oilers are always looking for every summer.
- Fighting Sioux: Dillon Simpson represents exceptional value at the point he was taken in the draft. Plucked at about the same spot as Erik Gustafsson in 2012, Simpson has completed three NCAA season at age 20. He’s increased his offensive output, his playing time and importance on the depth chart with each season, and I expect he’ll be a huge signing next spring.
- Shutdown Blue: A quality defender in the SEL as a teenager, Klefbom’s range of ability is impressive and his strength is a perfect match for the porous Oilers. I’m not sure when he’ll arrive–defenders take awhile and 2014-15 seems reasonable–and he has some injury issues. Those items aside, he’s a terrific prospect.
- Chaos Incorporated: Martin Gernat is either a 15-year NHL player or a mirage, there’s no in-between. He’s big, strong, a little mean, has plus speed, skill and a terrific shot–he’s a can’t miss prospect the Oilers refuse to sign. Lordy.
- Stay-at-home: The problem with David Musil types is that there’s no real way to know if they’re Chris Hajt or Cory Cross. It’s tough to spend a second round pick on someone like Musil, but he’s probably going to deliver 200+ NHL games based on how well he plays the defensive game. The guys who get to 1,000 games from his player-type are the ones who can keep up with the play. We wait.
- Energy: Back in the olden days, Fred Shero used to have a bunch of “energy” forwards. The most famous was Bob Kelly, who used to step on the ice to thunderous applause. Kelly would proceed to run everything that moved (all of his hits were charging penalties under today’s rules) and create “energy” for the next shift. It was kind of a “kill zone” for the Flyers, a “Running Man” short designed to damage the opposition. That’s Ewanyk.
WHAT DOES IT ALL MEAN?
The Oilers under MacGregor are basically running four different races:
- The #1 overalls. MBS is completely risk averse here, Nuge appears to be a terrific choice at #1 overall two seasons after the selection. Although his offense suffered this season and he did have offensive issues, it’s clear he’s a quality player at 20.
- The ranked/combine group. This is the heart of the MBS group-6 players either made the McKenzie list or the combine list or both. Nuge should play for 15 years at a high level, with Klefbom a favorite to have a quality NHL career and several hopefuls beyond that (notably Musil and Simpson).
- The walkabout bunch. This is the group that sees Edmonton grab players inside the top 100 who are not ranked in the top 100 and were not included in the combine group. There are none in this category from the 2011 group.
- The overage college kids. Again, none from this group in 2011.
As prospects, I ranked them like this and then brackets where they’ll be going on the June list:
- Graduated Prospect: Nugent-Hopkins (wonderful career ahead)
- #3 prospect: Klefbom (may be #1 in June)
- #6 prospect: Gernat (should stay about the same, needs to be signed)
- #8 prospect: Musil (moving up)
- #10 prospect: Simpson (moving up, could end up in the top 5)
- #13 prospect: Rieder (no longer in the organization)
- #23 prospect: Tuohimaa (moving up, slightly)
- not ranked: Perhonen (swing and a miss, won’t make top 30)
- not ranked: Ewanyk (will make top 30)