2013 DRAFT POST #1: NHLE FOR OILERS 2012 SELECTIONS

This month, we’ll look  at the 2013 draft indepth and see just how large the offensive gap between player #4 and player #7 is this summer. Before we move forward, let’s have a look back one season to see if there’s any progress among last season’s Oiler crop.

Last season’s “Harvest Moon” post is here.

  • #1 overall: R Nail Yakupov. NHLE 2011-12: 82, 18-22-40 (.488). Actual 2012-13: 48, 17-14-31 (.646). Yak City met expectations, and then tore up the blacktop at the end of the season just to make his point. I don’t think the English dictionary has the words.
  • #32 overall: L Mitchell Moroz. NHLE 2011-12: 82, 6-3-9 (.110). NHLE 2012-13: 82, 5-7-12 (.146). Scoring at about the same clip as Zack Stortini, and I think that’s a fair comparable offensively.  Clearly faster, may be a better fighter. I do wonder if he’ll play a more offensive role this coming season, and suspect the Oil Kings will use him on a top 2line in 2013-14.
  • #63 overall: C Jujhar Khaira. NHLE 2011-12: 82, 6-11-17 (.207). NHLE 2012-13: 82, 5-18-23 (.280). Nice improvement season over season, and of course we have to consider that he moved from tier 2 to college and playing time was no doubt reduced. I think Khaira is the best prospect outside Yakupov. I don’t think we’re looking at a top 6F based on his resume so far, but there’s plenty of time for him to show us.
  • #91 overall: L Daniil Zharkov. NHLE 2011-12: 82, 11-7-18 (.220). NHLE 2012-13: 82, 10-8-18 (.220). One of the more promising offensive players from last season’s draft ran in place in the same league he’d played in at 17. It isn’t catastrophic, but it isn’t a great sign either. Off to Russia, who knows if we’ll see him again.
  • #93 overall: D Erik Gustafsson. NHLE 2011-12: 82, 5-6-11 (.134). NHLE 2012-13: unavailable. I don’t have an NHLE for the Allsvenskan, but he did have a good offensive season (49, 7-16-23) so I’d guess his NHLE is a little north of last season’s number.
  • #123 overall: D Joey Laleggia. NHLE 2011-12: 82, 9-21-30 (.366). NHLE 2012-13: 82, 9-16-25 (.305). A dip in production, but he’s clearly a very skilled  rearguard. I will be interested to see how he performs this coming season.
  • #153 overall: R John McCarron. NHLE 2011-12: 82, 6-12-18 (.220). NHLE 2012-13: 82, 7-12-19 (.232). Little progress season over season, and of course he’s 21 now. Still, you never know.

Earlier this spring, I did an Oilers top 20 prospects list at Oilers Nation. Here’s how I ranked the prospects (Yak has graduated).

  • #4 (#16 in fall) C Jujhar Khaira:  For NCAA freshman, even getting ice time is an issue, but Khaira got  plenty and in all kinds of situations. He’s 6.03, 195, playing center, has some bite in his game and took only two weeks to move all the way up the depth chart at Michigan Tech. He is currently the top ranked forward prospect on my list, although that is likely to change in the coming months.
  • #7 (#9 in fall)L Daniil Zharkov: Big forward who can skate, Zharkov is also an impressive offensive prospect. Aggressive in the offensive zone and a player who gets multiple scoring chances on the same shift, Zharkov scored 25 goals during the regular season after a poor start (he was 30, 8-3-11 -3 before New Year’s and 29, 17-15-32 +21 after January 1). 6.04, 212 now. 
  • #9 (#14 in fall) L Mitchell Moroz:  He can make plays, but consistency isn’t there and his passing/taking a pass ability need improvement if he’s going to play with skill at the next level. Discipline is a problem, and I do wonder about the way he’s been handled since the Oilers drafted him. Credit to the organization, there’s been very little effort (that I’ve seen) to push him into more of an offensive role–and that was certainly discussed as a possibility last fall among the fanbase–and the Oil Kings appear satisfied with Moroz on a shutdown line. He has been effective in that role. 
  • #13 (#18 in fall) D Erik Gustafsson: 49, 7-16-23 +12 in the Allsvenskan (league below SEL). Swedish puck mover had a terrific start and then fell off offensively. Then he caught fire again and went 22, 4-11-15 to end the year–Corey Pronman was impressed with him, saying”has a fair amount of skill and mobility. Several times he showed the ability to be an effective puck carrier who can make impressive plays and be a starting point for offense. He’s a little undersized which won’t help him, but considering that I thought he defended at an ok level as his reads were fine.
  • #16 (NR in fall) D Joey Laleggia: Undersized skill D who plays for U. Denver, Laleggia’s numbers were off this past season but there’s little doubt he’s an exceptional offensive weapon on the PP. The big question for Laleggia will be how well he can play defense (he’s 5.09, 180) and he’s in the ‘longshot’ area of the top 20 because of it.
  • #20 (NR in fall) R John McCarron: NCAA power winger (6.02, 225) hasn’t found his offensive game but plays a physical style and should adjust well to the pro game. Oilers have two more years (he was a sophomore at Cornell this winter) to make a decision on him.
  • If I had to bet money on this draft and how many make it (aside from Yakupov) my guess is Khaira has a really nice chance to get a contract when he turns pro, Moroz will qualify under the “Ewanyk” plan for a pro deal and that Laleggia kid is worth watching.

    What say you?

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    39 Responses to "2013 DRAFT POST #1: NHLE FOR OILERS 2012 SELECTIONS"

    1. Racki says:

      Hey LT, are you planning (or do you already have) an NHLE post coming for the 2013 crop of eligible draftees?

      Man, Yakupov really slaughtered his NHLE. Of course, as you noted, a lot of that was at the end, but still. To get nearly equal the amount of goals in almost half the time is supremely good. Disappointed about most of the rest of the group, especially Zharkov. Laleggia’s numbers are nice, but small d-men aren’t too common (although Torey Krug is off to a flying start).. so guarded optimism there.

    2. Lowetide says:

      Top 10 forwards are here
      http://lowetide.ca/blog/2013/05/sean-monahan.html

      Jonathan Drouin, Halifax (QMJHL) 19-30-49
      Sasha Barkov, Tappere Tampere (SM-Liiga) 18-22-40
      Elias Lindholm, Brynas (SEL) 15-25-40
      Nathan MacKinnon, Halifax (QMJHL) 17-22-39
      Max Domi, London (OHL) 15-18-33
      Hunter Shinkaruk, Medicine Hat (WHL) 14-19-33
      Sean Monahan, Ottawa (OHL) 13-20-33
      Anthony Mantha, Val d’or (QMJHL) 17-13-30
      Valeri Nichushkin, Chelyabinsk Traktor (KHL) 20-10-30
      Adam Erne, Quebec (QMJHL) 9-15-24
      Curtis Lazar, Edmonton (WHL) 13-8-21

    3. russ99 says:

      Wow, this is scary. Hope everyone in OKC stays safe.

    4. Lowetide says:

      Defense
      http://lowetide.ca/blog/2013/05/monk.html

      Seth Jones, Portland (WHL) 6-17-23
      Darnell Nurse, Sault Ste Marie (OHL) 4-11-15
      Rasmus Ristolainen, TPS Turku (SM-Liiga) 3-10-13
      Nikita Zadorov, London (OHL) 2-8-10

    5. Rondo says:

      LT,

      If Oilers have to choose between Lindholm and Nurse at the 7 spot .

      Who do you think they take?

    6. Lowetide says:

      Rondo:
      LT,

      If Oilers have to choose between Lindholmand Nurse at the 7 spot .

      Who do you think they take?

      Lindholm.

    7. Rondo says:

      Lowetide,

      I noticed on Bob Mackenzie’s top 10 his new one he has Zadorov ahead of Nurse.

      1SJ
      2NM
      3JD
      4AB
      5VN
      6EL
      7SM
      8Rasmus Ristolainen
      9Nikita Z
      10DN

    8. Rondo says:

      Craig Button list is different

      1SJ
      2NM
      3JD
      4AB
      5SM
      6EL
      7DN
      8VN

      If his list is correct would Oilers take VN or Dnurse

    9. VOR says:

      LT,

      Is your top ten forwards list missing Kerby Rychel who outscored both Erne and Lazar?

    10. Lowetide says:

      VOR:
      LT,

      Is your top ten forwards list missing Kerby Rychel who outscored both Erne and Lazar?

      I have him later on.

    11. Lowetide says:

      Belov’s capgeek page
      http://capgeek.com/player/2513

    12. fifthcartel says:

      I wonder if Calgary takes Lindholm to get a more offensive potential #1 center, leaving us Monahan to pick up.

    13. Lowetide says:

      5th: that’s possible. I do think the Oilers probably have Monahan at 5 based on what they’ve said publicly. Of course, they may be pulling a counter trey.

    14. Racki says:

      So the Avalanche and Panthers both said they will drop down in the draft for the right return. I wonder what cost that would come at. We’d set ourselves back on the year, I believe, if we had to give up someone like Gagner… but maybe the right package could be made.

      I don’t know where I read this, but someone (Craig Simpson??) mentioned we’ve always traded that one guy for a few long shots in the past. He suggested we need to start thinking the other way now.. take our group of maybe prospects, and package them for 1 good player. That could be the #1 or #2 pick (if we include #7 too), or it could be a bigger name D man, for example.

    15. RickDeckard says:

      OKC game is cancelled. Flooding in the rink.

    16. Rebilled says:

      Any chance you think MacT will go for Jeff Schultz?

    17. Racki says:

      Rebilled:
      Any chance you think MacT will go for Jeff Schultz?

      Collecting all the same named people is Tambellini’s M.O., not MacT’s.. lol

    18. Rebilled says:

      Racki,

      but it probably would mean they’re trading Nick.

    19. Rebilled says:

      and Jeff Schultz did just ask for a trade.

    20. Racki says:

      Oh ok, I suppose that is acceptable then. :P

    21. Doug McLachlan says:

      So is the Raanta deadline tomorrow in North America or in Finland? Anxious much? Only ask ’cause its 5:24 in Helsinki.

    22. Lowetide says:

      Doug McLachlan:
      So is the Raanta deadline tomorrow in North America or in Finland?Anxious much?

      Not sure. I’ve been google sdearching like a demon.

    23. BlacqueJacque says:

      LT, did you manage to ask Pronman about Hall/Nuge/Murray vs Drouin/MacKinnon/Jones?

    24. Doug McLachlan says:

      Lowetide,

      Good. Kids’ bedtime is again impacting my hockey stalking of this poor Finn.

    25. Lowetide says:

      BlacqueJacque:
      LT, did you manage to ask Pronman about Hall/Nuge/Murray vs Drouin/MacKinnon/Jones?

      I asked him last time he was on. He said it was too difficult to do, but would pick Hall among those who had already played and MacKinnon among this year’s group.

    26. Gerta Rauss says:

      http://video.oilers.nhl.com/videocenter/console?catid=4&id=252228&lang=en&navid=DL|EDM|home

      Mac T at the combine-Tom Gazzola interview via the Oilers website

      …and if you let the video run next up is Stu MacGregor

      http://video.oilers.nhl.com/videocenter/console?catid=4&id=252228&lang=en&navid=DL|EDM|home

    27. Gerta Rauss says:

      Racki:
      So the Avalanche and Panthers both said they will drop down in the draft for the right return. I wonder what cost that would come at. We’d set ourselves back on the year, I believe, if we had to give up someone like Gagner… but maybe the right package could be made.

      I’m paraphrasing Roy’s comments but he said something along the lines of “the teams picking in the top 3 are going to get a really good player”

      I guess my feeling is Roy’s comments were a little bit of bluff and posturing, but if he did move down I can’t see the Avalanche moving out of the top 3, and for that matter, any of the top 4 teams moving down to 7. I just can’t reconcile why they would move out of the top 4 and pass on an “elite prospect” and settle for a “really good” prospect.

      I really hope I’m wrong, but I think trading up is going to be really difficult, especially with Calgary bidding up the price, and the Flames having more and better bullets to boot.

    28. SoxandOil says:

      It was very interesting when MacT was being interviewed by Rishaug.

      Rishaug: “There was a report you interviewed Paul Maurice this week, what can you tell us about what you’re looking to do on the coaching front?”

      MacT: “Well that, that, that we’ll have a announcement about that later, but right now its a bit of a internal matter so i’d rather not comment on that.”

      Sounds more like something rather then nothing.

    29. Rondo says:

      SoxandOil,

      I’m betting there will be a new head coach with Krueger as an assistant

    30. Racki says:

      SoxandOil:
      It was very interesting when MacT was being interviewed by Rishaug.

      Rishaug: “There was a report you interviewed Paul Maurice this week, what can you tell us about what you’re looking to do on the coaching front?”

      MacT: “Well that, that, that we’ll have a announcement about that later, but right now its a bit of a internal matter so i’d rather not comment on that.”

      Sounds more like something rather then nothing.

      Sounds like MacT was completely caught off guard and not expecting any questions around that… so he hadn’t prepared a guised response. So yah, I’d say there’s definitely something to this, even if it’s not Maurice, or even a coaching duo rather than a replacement.. something is definitely going to happen. I am sure Krueger won’t be axed, but I think he could use a hand with the more technical aspects, so I think this is going to be great.

    31. commonfan14 says:

      Anton Belov is the #1 search on hockeydb.com.

      We are a sick bunch.

    32. rickithebear says:

      rannta’s best option is NJD.

    33. supernova says:

      commonfan14,

      The power of the Oil fans.

      Wasn’t the Oilers app also the top downloaded sports app ever in the first 24 and 48 hours as well.

    34. WeridAl says:

      After watching Mitchell Moroz the full year, and knowing he was asked to be a shut down forward. Knowing this and that he did a great job do you have a frigging clue what you’re writing about.

    35. Ribs says:

      “We have [Oscar] Klefbom, we have [Martin] Marincin and we have [Martin] Gernat and we have [David] Musil and Dylan Simpson at North Dakota,” Lowe said. “We’ve drafted a lot of defensemen that we think have a good chance at playing. Is there a stud top-two defenseman [at No. 7]? You’re never going to turn your back on one of those. But I think we’re in a good position where we probably could lean to [take the] best player available and not have to draft for need.”

      http://www.nhl.com/ice/blogpost.htm?id=18145&cmpid=nhl-twt

      Always good to hear from these guys.

    36. delooper says:

      Greetings from Deutschland!

      Read this article and thought of all you alls!

      The current world reigning grande heavyweight champeen of advanced stats, turns his mind and machinery to the NHL:

      http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/05/31/why-cant-canada-win-the-stanley-cup/

    37. Lowetide says:

      WeridAl:
      After watching Mitchell Moroz the full year, and knowing he was asked to be a shut down forward. Knowing this and that he did a great job do you have a frigging clue what you’re writing about.

      I understand that, and agree. However, offensively he really didn’t progress that much and projects as a 4line L. And I was joking a little in my assessment (MAY be a better fighter than Stortini) but the offense is a worry–that’s what NHLE does–and we’re probably not looking at Ethan Moreau.

    38. tcho says:

      delooper,

      Of particular note:

      “Finally, and related to the excess demand for hockey in Canada, Canadian teams routinely sell out their arenas at high ticket prices — whether or not they are any good. This may reduce their incentive to compete.”

    39. gcw_rocks says:

      Wow, outside of Yak the Oilers likely wasted an entire draft. That is the kind of draft class that should get scouting departments fired.

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