So far this spring, we’ve been talking about the draft as it relates to the Edmonton Oilers. I like to do my own top 30 for the draft (I post it in the days leading up to draft day) and a lot of it comes from Desjardins’ NHLE’s. Here are the NHLE’s (forwards and blue) for this year’s top prospects.
FORWARDS (per 82 gp)
- Jonathan Drouin, Halifax (QMJHL) 19-30-49
- Sasha Barkov, Tappere Tampere (SM-Liiga) 18-22-40
- Elias Lindholm, Brynas (SEL) 15-25-40
- Nathan MacKinnon, Halifax (QMJHL) 17-22-39
- Max Domi, London (OHL) 15-18-33
- Hunter Shinkaruk, Medicine Hat (WHL) 14-19-33
- Sean Monahan, Ottawa (OHL) 13-20-33
- Anthony Mantha, Val d’or (QMJHL) 17-13-30
- Valeri Nichushkin, Chelyabinsk Traktor (KHL) 20-10-30
- Adam Erne, Quebec (QMJHL) 9-15-24
- Curtis Lazar, Edmonton (WHL) 13-8-21
DEFENSE (per 82gp)
- Seth Jones, Portland (WHL) 6-17-23
- Darnell Nurse, Sault Ste Marie (OHL) 4-11-15
- Rasmus Ristolainen, TPS Turku (SM-Liiga) 3-10-13
- Nikita Zadorov, London (OHL) 2-8-10
That’s the Bob McKenzie list, plus the guys he mentioned during the lottery show, along with an addition from Redline (Erne) and their top 10. When I make my list, I try to keep things fairly clean; by that I mean there’s always someone ranked in the 40′s who has a nice NHLE, but there’s a reason the scouts are nicking him and we have to respect that (even with the plus stats).
I’ve included kids like Lazar because the reports we get (McKenzie mentioned him on the show, Luedeke has told me he’ll move up) suggest he’ll be somewhere in the 12-20 range for the draft. I also included Anthony Mantha because he scored 50 goals and that’s outstanding, plus he’s a big player and they tend to go high. However, Redline is down on him, so that’s worth factoring in.
- (REDLINE REPORT) Anthony Mantha: Will never be accused of playing with too much intensity… or heart… or effort for that matter.
This list doesn’t care about bias, so the attraction of Lazar doesn’t help him on this list. It’s heavy on NHLE, prefers forwards and assumes the stay-at-home defensemen are overvalued (any defense-first D taken in the top 10 is going to be considered a disappointing pick 5 years later).
LOWETIDE TOP 10 (FIRST DRAFT) 2013
- Seth Jones
- Jonathan Drouin
- Sasha Barkov
- Nathan MacKinnon
- Elias Lindholm
- Valeri Nichushkin
- Sean Monahan
- Anthony Mantha
- Rasmus Ristolainen
- Darnell Nurse
As for the Oilers, I honestly believe they trade out if Lindholm or Monahan aren’t there. It’s a perfect storm of bad options in their minds: a Russian in Russia, a bunch of defensemen who may or may not work out and they like a guy who’ll probably be there if they deal down 4 or 5 spots.
- Team Canada coach Steve Spott on Monahan: “his hockey sense, in my mind, is at a National Hockey League level right now. He has elite hockey sense. He is just one of those players who can play in any situation – 5-on-5, 5-on-4, on your [penalty kill]. Sean has that innate ability. He is going to be an elite NHL player. There is no doubt about that.”
- Chris Edwards, Central Scouting: “Sean has high-end puck skills and playmaking ability. He has very good offensive instincts and creates offense every shift.”
- Jonathan Willis, Cult Of Hockey: Monahan’s comparables lack the sizzle of Aleksander Barkov’s, but there’s no doubt he projects as a pretty good player based on his junior numbers. Solely going by the statistics, a projection of him as a regular 50-point in his prime seems reasonable.