Long time readers of this blog will know that I set a ‘line in the sand’–a reasonable expectation–for all Oiler and Baron players at the beginning of the season. This year, the Barons had a lot of movement and that impacted the RE. Who is the big winner? Loser? Here we go.
- Toni Rajala: RE was 25, 3-1-4 and he delivered 46, 17-28-45, 39 more points than expected. I knew he had talent and felt he would earn some playing time in OKC, but the numbers he posted were sensational. I won’t make that mistake again.
- Mark Arcobello: RE was 73, 17-23-40 and he scored 74, 22-46-78, 37 more than RE suggested. That’s a crazy season, as Arcobello sliced through Josh Green to gain playing time on the skill lines when the NHLers were there, and slipped onto the top line when Nuge went for shoulder exams and WJ’s. A watershed season, it could result in an NHL career.
- Phil Cornet: RE was 52, 12-10-22 and he went 46, 15-18-33, 14 more points than projected. I thought he’d get left behind this season and in the first half he played only 8 games. When the lockout ended, he emerged on a skill line and delivered.
- Chris VandeVelde RE: 50, 4-4-8 Actual: 57, 7-13-20 VV was 11 points better than expected and once again spent some time in the NHL.
- Teemu Hartikainen RE: 70, 21-22-43 Actual: 47, 14-23-37. Harski completed his entry level contract by going +8 on RE.
- Ryan Martindale RE: 30, 2-3-5 Actual: 41, 6-8-14. Scored better than expected (+7), perhaps he can build on it.
- Anton Lander RE: 70, 7-16-23 Actual: 47, 9-11-20. Lander (+5) showed a pulse and once again spent time in the NHL.
- Tanner House RE: 20, 0-2-2 Actual: 55, 7-2-9. Veteran role player was a little above RE (+3).
- Antti Tyrvainen RE: 41, 3-3-6 Actual: 32, 3-2-5. Finn delivered at expectations.
IN THE RED
- Magnus Paajarvi: RE: 76, 22-29-51 Actual: 38, 4-16-20. This is misleading in that he played his AHL season when the lockout was on, so the available skill minutes were being given to skilled NHL players. He was -6 RE.
- Curtis Hamilton RE: 66, 8-11-19 Actual 61, 5-4-9. Young man is in trouble as a pro player, -9 RE and it appears he’ll play his entire entry level deal under a cloud of injury of underperformance.
- Josh Green: RE: 70, 17-31-48 Actual 49, 9-15-24. Veteran suffered injury problems but was well below expectations.
- Tyler Pitlick RE: 72, 16-26-42 Actual: 44, 3-7-10. His last good offensive season (Medicine Hat, 20+ EV goals) is a distant bell now, he was -16 RE and would need a quality season in 13-14 to establish himself as a legit prospect. Had a healthy late season run and playoff, perhaps showing some promise for next season.
The Oilers have a 4th rounder and a free agent signing in the ‘winners’ category and a first rounder plus two seconds ‘in the red.’ I expect the development template to shift next season, we’ll see if they get different results.