In a conversation the other day between a bunch of us, Bruce McCurdy, Alice 13 and a few others were mulling the idea of setting a number–a line in the sand–to demonstrate walkabout selections inside the top 100 overall. Alice’s (I believe it was Alice) suggestion was 50% as a walkabout guideline.
- alice13: A simple rule of thumb might be draft no, plus 50% Even works for the small no’s if you round up.
Let me show you how it looks for this past draft, using Derek Zona’s Top 100 Consensus list as a guideline.
OILERS 2013: SEARCHING FOR WALKABOUTS
- Darnell Nurse at #7–He was consensus #8 on Zona’s list, so he would have been a walkabout selection #5 or higher. Nurse easily falls into “normal” range. It’s interesting how quickly players in this range (in this year) become ‘value’ picks, as Nichushkin at #10 (he was #5 Consensus) has been described as exceptional value.
- Marc-Olivier Roy at #56–He was consensus #59 on the list, so he would have been a walkabout selection #39 or higher. Again Edmonton delivers a player in the range and Roy can be considered good value at his number.
- Bogdan Yakimov at #83–Consensus #85, so he would have been a walkabout selection #57 or higher. Simply put, if the Oilers had taken Yakimov with the 2nd rounder they owned after Roy, he would have barely qualified as a normal selection. Right on the edge of walkabout. As it is, Yakimov is considered good value where he was taken.
- Anton Slepyshev at #88–Consensus #68, so he would have been a walkabout pick at #45 or better. Slephyshev is an interesting selection, I wonder if the Oilers will attempt to find a way to get him over for the 2013-14 season. His numbers suggest he could probably push for an NHL job now.
- Jackson Houck ar #94–Pronman at #91, meaning he would have been walkabout at #61 or better. I’m using Pronman now because his list goes beyond #100, and since we don’t have Consensus #101 Pronman serves as a more than able fill-in.
- Kyle Platzer at #96–Pronman at #151, meaning he was a walkabout selection, but barely (#101 outer marker).
Basically, the 2013 draft has one (narrow) walkabout in Platzer and the Chase selection makes up for it. I’ll run these numbers back a few seasons if we can agree this has value. Thoughts?