It’s my experience that when a decade passes without agreement, we’re either talking about Middle East peace or an Edmonton Oiler. Ales Hemsky could part the Red Sea with his ability to divide people on the simplest issues–especially Oiler fans.
RE 13-14: 66, 11-25-36
- Who does he play with? As much skill as possible, and 2nd PP.
- Who does he play with? Probably Boyd Gordon and Ryan Smyth.
- SEXY! I know, but there will be injuries and slumps and learning curves. Hemsky will force the issue based on skill.
- Is there any combination of events that could put him front and center with skill? Eakins has 7 skill guys, 8 if you count Jones. Teams always talk about three scoring lines, but it always ends up being two scoring lines and two lines who can’t pass the puck worth a tinker’s dam. Oiler teams, anyway.
- Who did he play most with last season? Sam Gagner (300 5×5 minutes) and Nail Yakupov (143 minutes 5×5). He did not play well with Gagner (42.1% with, 47.5% w/o) but did play fairly well with the rookie (46.3% with, 43.1% w/o).
- Will he do better this season should they be the 2line at some point? This gets into Dellow’s system work on his big data study, but yes I think so. Gagner-Hemsky have played well together in the past (51.5% together in 11-12) and should be able to do it again. There was some kind of (and this is Dellow’s work) breakdown in system or post face-off structure that caused the line to fold line a cheap tent very often. There’s every chance the same trio could improve markedly just by having a different set of instructions from offensive zone faceoffs, and we’ll all be talking about their incredible improvement–when in actuality it’ll be the blackboard boys who have set success in motion.
- He seems very healthy according to your RE. Well, it’s basically a three year average of GP. Hemsky has been healthy more than half the time over the last three seasons.
- What does he do well? Post offensive numbers, they’re declining but still in the range of a top 6F. He was 2nd among regular forwards in 5×4 offense and in the top 6F’s at 5×5/60 this past season, and I think we all know this wasn’t one of his strongest. He can do it against tougher opponents too. A big item. He has–even on the bad teams–had the puck going in a good direction during most of his time in Edmonton.
- You keep hanging on to this idea that he still has it. Hemsky’s been safely inside the top 6F’s in scoring 5×5 forever on this team, suspect that’ll continue despite the new alignment. He doesn’t play a feature role, but is most certainly capable of pushing the river–something few of these kids can do yet.
- That’s code for Hall territory. A healthy Hemsky is more hell than a little bit. I don’t think there’s any serious doubt about his ability to play on any line for this team. There may come a time when Edmonton has too much established talent on RW to ignore 83, but that day is most certainly not on the horizon.
- His time is over here, you know. I expect you’re right, this is his final season, might be gone by fall–there’s still a chance they get something done, one imagines there will be an August move.
- What will we remember him for? Hemsky was supremely skilled and delivered excitement during a period where there was very little. The one time he had a chance to play on a really good team he led that club in points and then had a terrific playoff run. I’m not sure how anyone can suggest he lacks toughness after seeing him run up against the Regehr’s over and over and over again, but as I mentioned above after a decade fighting about and getting nowhere, let’s move on. Ales Hemsky is either a wonderful player who spent a decade thrilling the home crowd and stood tall in the moment when it mattered most, or he isn’t. I’m done arguing about it.
- So is MacT, apparently. What did he say at the beginning of the summer? “For guys who’ve been here a long time and have suffered through this (rebuilding process), Ales has been a good Oiler for us. I don’t want to talk about him. There is a human side and the last thing I want to do is talk about a guy’s future without talking to him first.”
- Where will he end up? Ottawa.
- When? Late summer through deadline, somewhere in there.
- For what? Colin Greening, maybe Zack Smith.
- Will you write an addition when they do it? Sure. Probably just update the RE.
- Is this a sad goodbye? Not really. Hemsky will win his Stanley like Weight did, and the Oilers have a wonderful future.
- Too bad it had to end this way. If Hemsky were a lesser player, he would have been gone miles ago. Teams rarely say goodbye to hockey players this good when they’re still in their 20′s.
- He turns 30 in seven days. Then we’re right on time.
ALES HEMSKY VOLLMAN SLEDGEHAMMER 2012-13
ALES HEMSKY 12-13
5×5 points per 60: 1.40 (6th among regular forwards)
5×4 points per 60: 5.87 (2nd among regular forwards)
Qual Comp: 4th toughest among regular forwards (second line opp)
Qual Team: 6th best teammates among regular forwards
Corsi Rel: -1.3 (6th best among regular forwards, -12.72 CorsiON)
Zone Start: 50.2% (8th easiest among regular forwards)
Zone Finish: 48.0% (10th best among regular forwards)
Shots on goal/percentage: 82/10.98% (5th among F’s>70 shots)
Boxcars: 38, 9-11-20
Plus Minus: -6 on a team that was -15
LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE
We’re back after a relaxing long weekend, this morning at 10 on Team 1260. Scheduled to appear:
- Tyler Dellow from mc79 hockey. Dellow will guide us through the C situation sans Nuge, and we’ll talk Hemsky’s future.
- Terry McConnell who co-wrote the book I’d Trade Him Again. We’ll talk about ‘the trade’ from the Pocklington pov.
- Michael Parkatti from Boys on the Bus. Michael and I will talk Hemsky, and try to find him a slot on the current roster that best uses his skill set.
- Brian King breaks down the Eskimo loss on the weekend.
- Guy Flaming from the Pipeline Show. Guy broke some news last week–San Jose is using Corsi for junior players and the draft!–we’ll talk about that, the Ivan Hlinka, the Oil Kings and where their graduates are headed, plus more.
@Lowetide_ is the best way to reach me during the show, and 10-1260 gets you on the air if you make Connor laugh. Hope you can tune in!