Jason LaBarbera has been a player of interest for the Oilogosphere since Tyler Dellow began waxing poetic sometime last decade. Oiler fans who read the blogs are very used to an intelligent expose on available players, but we’re not used to the town team actually procuring those players. What’s up, doc?
RE 13-14: 30, 76 2.53 .9196
- This looks very similar to Dubnyk. I’m not sure that DD is the better goalie, you can make a case for LaBarbera as this generation’s Dwayne Roloson.
- Oh Christ, did Bergeron fall on him too? Bergeron didn’t fall on Roloson, that would have been less damaging. He pushed ANDREW LADD onto Roloson, which made it much much worse. Anyway, Roloson’s career as a starter didn’t take off until he was 32–JL is 33 now. You never know. LaBarbera has been posting some consistent numbers for years now, maybe all he needs is a chance.
- That’s not how it works for the Oilers. JL will come here, shoot lights out and then sign elsewhere for big money. Yes, well point made. But, this is going to be a nice team to backstop for the next few years. This is like going from Gilles Meloche playing goal for the Seals to, well, Meloche playing goal for the North Stars.
- If my math is right, you have the Oilers giving up 206 goals. Yes, plus another 12 EN goals. The total is 218 GA, which means the Oilers are slated to be +13, as I have them scoring 231 goals overall.
- A dozen EN goals? It isn’t a crazy number and honestly it could be more based on Eakins style. Jeff Veillette: Down by two with a powerplay with ten minutes left in the game? Six attackers. It’s bound to happen once or twice a season, and pulls closer to the clock but still rather early are common in games where the team is behind.
Is +13 a playoff team? The Oilers GF-GA per game is 2.82-2.66, which means they’re improved in GF and in goals against per game from last season (based on the RE). Last year, the Oilers were 2.56-2.73 so most of their improvement (based on my estimation) is going to come from the young impact forwards and Justin Schultz. But there’s also defensive improvement here.
- Shouldn’t the defense be much better this year? Well, a couple of things. First, at 5×5 this team was an absolute disaster as reflected by Travis Yost’s insane rolling corsi graph, so they could improve a lot and still be poor. Second, I do think there was a wobbly coaching technique or two in there, but we’re talking reasonable here. A massive change in own zone minutes could very well improve this team by more than I’m estimating, but I don’t think it’s reasonable to assume it happens overnight.
- Give me the reasons you believe the GA won’t improve that much. I have the GA improving by just 6 goals, but the EV GA improving by several. The EN GA is increased (from 9 to 12) and the PK is punished because of turnover (this could be wrong, maybe Eakins has a terrific system–but we can’t assume that) in personnel. I have the Oilers giving up 50 5×4 and 5×3 and 4×3 goals in total, plus 3 PS goals. So, their EV GAA is 1.87, compared to 2.00 last season–and that’s using 82 games as the full meal as opposed to minutes played. That’s a nice improvement at even strength.
- Why do you hate the PK? First, the Oilers PK works a lot. Last season, the club was shorthanded 175 times, that was 5th most in the league. However, they only gave up 29 goals against, giving them the 9th best PK in the league. This summer, they’ve flushed Horcoff, Belanger, Smithson, Petrell from the group and we don’t know if they can cobble together an effective group from the current roster.
- Gordon will help. Oh yes, he’s excellent. I have him replacing Horcoff, but there’s no one really for Belanger. My list for PK is Gordon, Smyth, Gagner and Jones, plus Lander.
- Gagner? This graph suggests Gagner might be a candidate for increased PK time although as always this is an extremely small sample. Either way, the Oilers get punished a little on the PK this season, but they do improve at evens–maybe not as much as we’d like, but again this is reasonable we’re talking here. Maybe Eakins uses Hall or Eberle or Nuge, who knows?
- You know, we haven’t talked about LaBarbera much. No, that’s the trouble with the RE, the backup goalie is the final part of the equation. I do think he’s a really good signing, have to say the Oilers did some good things this summer.
- Why hasn’t he played more? Consistency was the problem in previous seasons, but he’s been good the last several years. There are complaints about lateral movement and soft goals.
- That’s the DD complaint list! Yes, big goalies look slow, just like big forwards. The results have been good for quite some time, however. He’s probably an underrated player by plenty at this point in his career.
- How will we know if JL is taking over the position? Well, if he gets a lot of starts, that’s a clue.
- Such a dink! Also, if MacT mentions Roloson that’ll be a tell.
- Why this song? Because rechauffe is such a cool word and the lyric fits. Plus it’s subtle and this was a subtle signing.
- So that’s it for the RE? Yeah.
- Do you enjoy doing these? Yes. Quite.
- You missed about 50 Bowie songs. It’s incredible. Honestly. I could have done two per player. Barely touched 1980+.
- I guess it’s knowing your audience. Ass.
JASON LABARBERA 2010-11
- Boxcars: 17, 3.26
- SP: .909
- WLT: 7-6-3
- SP behind starter: trailed Bryzgalov by 12 points
JASON LABARBERA 2011-12
- Boxcars: 19gp, 2.54
- SP: .912
- WLT: 3-9-3
- SP behind starter: trailed Mike Smith by 18 points
JASON LABARBERA 2012-13
- Boxcars: 15, 2.64
- SP: .923
- WLT: 4-6-2
- SP behind starter: 13 points clear of Mike Smith