When it comes to assessing pure offensive ability for prospects, it’s important to let all of the air out of their tires. We do that by Desjardins or Vollman NHLE, but we can also help ourselves by looking at even strength offense. There’s no way to pad the stats, even strength goals are the toughest thing on the ice surface to come by, even for the great ones. Here’s a look at even strength offense for top draftee forwards 2007-13.
- 2009-10 Taylor Hall 57, 22-33-55 (.965)
- 2011-12 Nail Yakupov 42, 18-22-40 (.952)
- 2006-07 Sam Gagner 53, 14-33-47 (.887)
- 2010-11 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins 69, 20-27-47 (.681)
- 2009-10 Ryan Martindale 61, 13-28-41 (.672)
- 2012-13 Marco Roy 65, 16-25-41 (.631)
- 2007-08 Jordan Eberle 70, 25-19-44 (.629)
- 2009-10 Curtis Hamilton 26, 7-8-15 (.577)
- 2012-13 Jackson Houck 69, 15-24-39 (.565)
- 2012-13 Greg Chase 69, 13-23-36 (.522)
- 2010-11 Tobias Rieder 65, 17-14-31 (.477)
- 2011-12 Daniil Zharkov 50, 14-8-22 (.440)
- 2012-13 Kyle Platzer 65, 4-17-21 (.323)
- 2010-11 Travis Ewanyk 72, 12-10-22 (.306)
- 2011-12 Mitchell Moroz 66, 11-8-19 (.288)
A few notes:
- As one might expect, the twin OHL wingers are the big time offensive prospects from the group. It’s interesting to see how close they were in the draft seasons at even strength in the OHL. I’m never going to suggest Nail Yakupov is a better hockey player than Hall, but if it ends up being true we can look back and see there wasn’t a lot of offensive clearance in their final junior seasons.
- Nuge is trailing the wingers, and I think that’s fair–they’re better offensive players–but there’s a small item worth mentioning. He’s an April 1993, Nail an October 1993, but Nuge was a 2011 draft with Nail a year later. I’m not an expert on age and its impact, but there’s a story there (both Yak and Hall were at the beginning of their draft year eligibility). I think we’re safe in stating that RNH is shy of the wingers offensively.
- Gagner’s an interesting player in this group, TOI and Patrick Kane-as-linemate probably helped the number. Still, he’s in nice company.
- Ryan Martindale shows well and he always looks good in training camp and pre-season. I wonder what he’d do if he got a game with some very skilled linemates in pre-season?
- Roy shows well in this look, he’s a nice prospect. Can’t wait to see the numbers he posts this winter.
- Eberle is down the list, but his team was a pretty weak one and 25 EV goals is a very good total.
- All of the guys over .600/game at evens who are old enough to push for NHL jobs have in fact done it (save Martindale). Let’s be real, there are three #1′s and a lottery pick in there, so it’s a bright group. A nice little glimpse into Roy’s season, though.
- I didn’t alter the results for scoring rates over seasons, that might tighten things up some.