There is some very good news behind last night’s 5-4 opening night chaos loss to the Winnipeg Jets. Along with the villains, there were several heroes on the stats sheet–beginning with our man Corsi.
Yesterday on the LDWLT, I mentioned the “game within the game” and suggested that even a loss last night wouldn’t mean the end of the earth IF the Oilers could win the shot differential (Corsi) game. And they did, despite a serious second period dip (using Parkatti’s numbers)
- 1st period Corsi events: 19-10 Edmonton
- 2nd period Corsi events: 23-13 Winnipeg
- 3rd period Corsi events: 17-9 Edmonton
- Total Corsi evens events: 49-42 Edmonton
In Parkatti’s excellent game notes (here) we find out that the Oilers won the Corsi game 6 times last season in 48 games (12.5%). I’m sure there are some reading this thinking this is grasping at straws, but the fact is: if you win the Corsi battle consistently, good things are going to happen. History is on your side, and if you’re cheating Corsi (as Toronto did a year ago) it will eventually bite you in the ass (as it did during the final period of their season) because your team isn’t built to win the “game within the game”: field position.
TRAVIS YOST’S ROLLING CORSI 2012-13 (EDMONTON OILERS)
Would you look at this? Just LOOK at it! We lived it, ladies and gents, and it was not good. Parkatti COUNTED it (if he needs therapy we should all chip in) a year ago and the meter clicked black just 6 times. SIX! Holy hell. Last night’s loss is doubly tough because it was winnable, but the coach should have the full attention of his 22 this morning. There is some good news in the secondary stats and that’s a very good thing.
- Devan Dubnyk: A tough outing for DD, I’m not one to turn on the goalie (his resume is solid) but it’s also true that the last line of defense is going to stand out when at least 2 of the GA were “ones he’d like to have back” in a one goal outcome. He needs to be better.
- Taylor Hall: I thought Eakins summed up Hall’s evening perfectly (without ever saying Hall’s name) when he talked about turning the puck over 1-on-3 and then the errant cross-ice pass that led to the tying goal. Every great player who ever played the game had a bad night or several, and there were good things, too. I’d bet on Hall 100 times out of 100, the young man will no doubt come back better than ever Saturday. Hall’s Corsi (12-17, -5) came against the best available opposition, so Eakins didn’t appear to be shying away from tough v tough matchup (and rightly so).
- Ryan Smyth: He looked unable. Absolutely heartbreaking.
- Jesse Joensuu: Had a terrific evening. We have to temper the verbal a little because he did it against the soft parade, but Joensuu was outstanding (16-11 Corsi) all night long. I’m thrilled with his play, and suspect he’ll see more than 14 minutes on Saturday night.
- Boyd Gordon: Had the best Corsi on the night, scored on the PP and generally looked like he knew what he was doing. Gordon’s tip on the PP suggests we might be looking at a strong set of boxcars if he keeps getting these chances.
- Jordan Eberle: A wonderful night to my eye, I think the Oilers might have an insane partnership in Eberle-Perron.
LOWDOWN WITH LOWETIDE
Today on the show, we’ll talk to Michael Parkatti at 10:05 and break down this thing six ways to Sunday, talk development with Tim Fragle at 10:25 and at 11 Alan Hull from Copper and Blue will give his take on G1. We’ll round out the morning with Corey Graham as the Oil Kings hit the road and acquire a player (Reid Petryk, who should be familiar to Oilers fans from rookie camp).
@Lowetide_ or 10-1260 via text. TSN 1260 10am, hope you tune in!